Evan Silva

Goal Line Stand

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Silva's PPR Top 150 Rankings

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Lots of people have asked me to publish points-per-reception (PPR) league rankings, so I accommodated them in this post. The difference between "standard" and non-PPR leagues is often overstated, but there are certainly players it affects by a substantive margin. Season-long fantasy football is a week-to-week matchup game. I love the consistency of a player I know will get me five catches every week just as much as the next guy, but philosophically my goal is always to acquire and stockpile week winners. Players capable of blowing up in a given week, and tilting the score in my favor. I want to get weekly wins.

As usual, this is my attempt to essentially map out a fantasy draft, and provide readers with an idea of where I value players. Average Draft Position (ADP), position scarcity, upside, and projected role are all strongly considered in the rankings. I do bump up players I want readers to draft -- sometimes aggressively -- because I think they should pursue them. I bump down players I do not want readers to draft because I believe there is evidence suggesting they're to be avoided.

As is always the case in these Top 150s, I devalue quarterbacks because it is a devalued position in standard, one-quarterback leagues. I think securing a top-four tight end provides owners with a significant week-to-week edge. I recommend an aggressive approach at this position.

For comprehensive player writeups and outlooks, consult the 2014 Rotoworld Draft Guide, which is absolutely jam-packed with league-winning information.

Round One

1. LeSean McCoy -- Just turned 26. Premier rushing talent in NFL's best rushing O.
2. Jamaal Charles -- Only NFL back who carries both his team's run & pass games.
3. Matt Forte -- 74 catches in '13. Won't come off field due to Bears poor RB depth.
4. Adrian Peterson -- 29 1/2 now, but heavy-volume workhorse. Still a beastly talent.
5. Demaryius Thomas -- Could set records with Decker's 136 targets/11 TDs gone.
6. Calvin Johnson -- More mouths to feed. Still Stafford's go-to guy in pass-first O.
7. Dez Bryant -- Cowboys will be a shootout team with Dez as offensive focal point.
8. Jimmy Graham -- Leads NFL in TD catches since 2011. A certified week winner.
9. Eddie Lacy -- My No. 5 player in non-PPR. Downgrades to No. 9 in PPR drafts.
10. DeMarco Murray -- Could catch 80 balls under Linehan with 250+ rush attempts. 

11. Julio Jones -- Will tear up the league if foot cooperates. Dominating preseason.

12. A.J. Green -- Hue Jax will get him 1-on-1s. 10-184 across 63 preseason snaps.


Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a $1,000,000 Fantasy Football Contest for Week 1's games. It's only $25 to join and first prize is $100,000. Starts Sunday, September 7th at 1pm ET. Here's the link.

Round Two

13. Jordy Nelson -- Rodgers' 1A target. 94/1,559/12 pace last year w/ ARod healthy.
14. Montee Ball -- If he stays healthy, could lead all running backs in fantasy points.
15. Rob Gronkowski -- Practicing in 11-on-11s. Higher fantasy ceiling than Graham.
16. Brandon Marshall -- "Safe" WR1. 100+ catches in five of his last seven seasons.
17. Julius Thomas -- Was Peyton's No. 4 option most of 2013. Now Peyton's No. 2.
18. Keenan Allen -- 76-1,179-10 last 15 games. Philip Rivers' No. 1 passing option.
19. Roddy White -- Target monster post-Tony G. Sleeper to lead NFL in receptions.
20. Marshawn Lynch -- PPR downgrade, but no indications his carries will dwindle.
21. Alshon Jeffery -- Went 89-1,421 as a 23-year-old. Room for growth on his 7 TDs.
22. Zac Stacy -- Not sweating Cunningham. Bellcow runner on run-committed team.
23. Doug Martin -- Logan Mankins was top-4 run-blocking guard last year, per PFF.
24. Le'Veon Bell -- May lose a few TDs to Blount, but will stay steady PPR RB1/2.

Round Three

25. Antonio Brown -- Don't see him repeating 8 TDs. Commonly overvalued in drafts.
26. Randall Cobb -- No TE in Green Bay. Should push for 100 catches behind Jordy.
27. Andre Johnson -- Severely undervalued. His QB play couldn't be worse than '13.
28. Giovani Bernard -- Overvalued at 2nd-round ADP. Will lose work to Jeremy Hill.
29. Drew Brees -- Tossup between Brees/Rodgers at QB1. NO has better weapons.
30. Aaron Rodgers -- Packers ran 80 plays 3rd preseason week. Big year coming.
31. Peyton Manning -- Regression inevitable against NFL's 2nd-toughest schedule.
32. Shane Vereen -- If Vereen stays healthy, he will likely finish as an RB1 in PPR.
33. Jordan Cameron -- Regardless of QB play, will be focal point of CLE pass game.
34. Toby Gerhart -- Way better athlete than given credit for. Will be true 3-down RB.
35. Arian Foster -- Prefer late flier on Jonathan Grimes to Foster at 2nd-round ADP.
36. Michael Floyd -- Slightly less appealing in PPR, but big TD & yardage ceilings.

Round Four

37. Torrey Smith -- Playing Andre Johnson/Garcon "X" role in Kubiak/Shanahan O.
38. Michael Crabtree -- SF will have to throw a lot this year due to defensive losses.
39. Larry Fitzgerald -- Playing high-vol Hines Ward/Reggie Wayne role under Arians.
40. Alfred Morris -- Pass-game zero. Especially in PPR, will frustrate if Skins stink.
41. Victor Cruz -- Slot guy running high % routes in new quick-hitting passing game.
42. Vincent Jackson -- Josh McCown will love throwing jump balls to 6'5/240 V-Jax.
43. Joique Bell -- I expect Bell to lead DET in carries & rush TDs. Good receiver, too.
44. Reggie Bush -- Will be a suped-up Sproles under ex-Saints assistant Lombardi.
45. Andre Ellington -- Worrisome injury history. Bad OL, and unlikely to get GL work.
46. Ryan Mathews -- Run-first team's feature back. Chargers playing faster this year.
47. C.J. Spiller -- Boom-bust RB utilized improperly. No RZ or third-down involvement.
48. Frank Gore -- Expect Gore to be primary RB with Hyde getting 6-8 carries/week.

Round Five

49. Marques Colston -- Crazy undervalued. Please draft Colston over Brandin Cooks.
50. Mike Wallace -- Solid WR2, great WR3. Will be funneled the rock by Bill Lazor.
51. Rashad Jennings -- Low-ceiling RB2. Will lose goal-line work to Andre Williams.
52. Ben Tate -- Don't trust him to stay healthy, but upside clear in run-dominated O.
53. Bishop Sankey -- Beat writers still expect Sankey to emerge as Titans lead RB.
54. Rueben Randle -- Will be Giants No. 2 option in pass game & No. 1 in red zone.
55. Cordarrelle Patterson -- Natural-born playmaker albeit with QB & usage concerns.
56. DeSean Jackson -- Better bet than Garcon at 'Z' position in Jay Gruden's offense.
57. Matthew Stafford -- Definite candidate to outplay draft slot. Way better weapons.
58. Golden Tate -- Will be Stafford's No. 2 target behind Megatron. Rock-solid WR3.
59. Eric Decker -- Geno has looked good since November '13. Great news for Decker.
60. Percy Harvin -- Likely to be limited-snap player in wide receiver-unfriendly offense.

Round Six

61. Pierre Garcon -- With D-Jax in D.C., could lose 50-75 targets off last year's 182.
62. Cam Newton -- Still like him as a QB1, but rushing usage a worry. Already hurt.
63. Reggie Wayne -- Best bet to lead Indy in catches. Value at late-7th-round ADP.
64. Jason Witten -- Will be No. 2 option in pass game for pass-dependent Cowboys.
65. Fred Jackson -- Designated RZ & third-down back on league's run-heaviest team.
66. Steven Jackson -- Back on track for Week 1. Intriguing value at late-7th-rd ADP.
67. Emmanuel Sanders -- Beware preseason hype. ADP soaring into 4th/5th rounds.
68. Tom Brady -- Can rediscover elite QB1 stats if Gronkowski plays 13-14 games.
69. Jeremy Maclin -- If he stays healthy, good bet for 70 catches & about 1,000 yds.
70. Kendall Wright -- No TDs & depends on volume. Will he get it under a new staff?
71. Wes Welker -- The concussion concerns are obvious. Still worth a shot this late.
72. Kyle Rudolph -- Safest bet of this year's TE breakout candidates in Norv's offense.

Round Seven

73. Dennis Pitta -- Lacks the ceiling of Rudolph, but consistent TE1 in PPR leagues.
74. Bernard Pierce -- RB2 in Weeks 1-2 with shot to run away with Kubiak's RB job.
75. Lamar Miller -- Signs now pointing toward Miller-Moreno RBBC to begin season.
76. Jeremy Hill -- Will have bigger role than ppl expect. Better inside runner than Gio.
77. Jordan Reed -- Big concern for Reed is how awful RG3 has looked in preseason.
78. Stevan Ridley -- Roster spot shaky in New England. Boom-bust RB3 at this point.
79. Jay Cutler -- Cutler + McCown '13 stats = QB5 overall. Surrounded by TD scorers.
80. Andrew Luck -- Colts seem to be embracing pass-first O and will rush for points.
81. Nick Foles -- Great weapons/Eagles will play super fast. Locked-in ev-week QB1.
82. Tony Romo -- Shootout QB with Dez-Witten-Murray-Williams. Great O-Line play.
83. Matt Ryan -- Lacks Romo's weapons, but another shootout QB. Atlanta D is bad.
84. Zach Ertz -- Better breakout bet than Kelce & Ladarius G. Candidate for 10+ TDs.

Round Eight

85. Ray Rice -- Boom-bust pick on 2-game suspension. Too costly at 5th-round ADP.
86. Pierre Thomas -- Will be reliable PPR RB2/flex. Nice target for wait-on-RB drafters.
87. Kelvin Benjamin -- Usage & routes in preseason very promising. Will score TDs.
88. Terrance Williams -- No better than Dallas' No. 4 option. Could frequently frustrate.
89. Julian Edelman -- So many mouths to feed on Pats. I'll avoid Edelman this year.
90. T.Y. Hilton -- Targets will dip sharply with Reggie Wayne & Dwayne Allen back.
91. Robert Griffin III -- Looks like he doesn't know how to play quarterback anymore.
92. Maurice Jones-Drew -- Low-ceiling RB3/flex. May lose GL work to D. McFadden.
93. Brandin Cooks -- 6th-round ADP doesn't make sense. May top out at 90 targets.
94. Justin Hunter -- Figures to mix a handful of blowup weeks with sporadic clunkers.
95. Mark Ingram -- Should lead Saints in carries/rush TDs. RB2/flex to open season.
96. Dwayne Bowe -- Price is right at mid-ninth-round ADP. I'd take him as my WR4.

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Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter .
Email :Evan Silva

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