Jonathan Bales

By the Numbers

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Week 6's Interesting Stats

Monday, October 13, 2014


Led by a shocking Cowboys victory in Seattle, a thrilling Green Bay last-second comeback win in Miami, and a strange 37-37 tie between the Bengals and Panthers, the NFL’s Week 6 action had us on the edge of our seats. Here are the most interesting player stats with over one-third of the young season already complete.

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $500,000 Fantasy Football league for Week 7's games. It's only $10 to join and first prize is $40,000. Starts Sunday, October 19th at 1pm ET. Here's the link.
 

 

10.7: Average depth of Bryan Hoyer’s targets
 

Browns quarterback Brian Hoyer’s passes have traveled an average of 10.7 yards past the line-of-scrimmage, according to Pro Football Focus, which ranks him fourth in the NFL. When a quarterback generally attempts deeper passes, we’d naturally expect them to have a lower completion rate.
 

In Week 6 against the Steelers, Hoyer completed fewer than half of his passes. That’s not a good thing in a vacuum, but Cleveland can live with it since the quarterback still managed to throw for 217 yards despite connecting on just eight throws—27.1 yards per completion!
 

Hoyer’s 60.4 completion rate on the season isn’t bad, but it’s his 8.22 yards per attempt that really counts—a number that ranks him fourth in the NFL, ahead of Peyton Manning.
 

 

2: Number of quarterbacks with a better touchdown-to-interception ratio than Hoyer


Hello ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to another episode of the Brian Hoyer show here on RotoWorld! Today, let’s take a deeper look at a quarterback who has thrown seven touchdowns to only one pick in 2014, aiding him in compiling a passer rating of 99.5! Only Philip Rivers (15 touchdowns, two interceptions) and Aaron Rodgers (15 touchdowns, one interception) have been better.
 

Hoyer’s passer rating isn’t even representative of how well he’s played, either. Since passer rating is skewed heavily toward quarterbacks who 1) complete a lot of passes and 2) throw a lot of touchdowns, Hoyer doesn’t stack up quite as high as he (arguably) should. What matters is that he’s moving the Browns’ offense in an efficient manner, and if that continues to happen, more touchdowns will follow.

 
 

16: Number of running backs closer to No. 2-ranked rusher Le’Veon Bell’s yardage total than Bell is to rushing leader DeMarco Murray’s total
 

Running behind a rejuvenated Dallas Cowboys offensive line, Murray has been absolutely sensational this season. He’s somehow managed to rush for over 100 yards in all six games this year, including in tough matchups against the Niners and, most recently, the Seahawks. Murray is averaging 130.8 rushing yards per game and, if he could somehow keep up this pace, he’d approach 2,100 rushing yards on the year.
 

Murray has been so good that the difference between his total and that of Bell (No. 2 in rushing yards) is greater than the difference between Bell and the next 16 running backs! That’s a pretty ridiculous number that speaks to the Cowboys’ dominance on the ground this season.
 

 

346: Antone Smith’s total yards
 

Falcons running back Antone Smith has tallied 346 yards in 2014—not bad for a backup running back, right? Well, that total might seem a little more jaw-dropping when you consider that Smith has touched the ball only 23 times more than you and I this year.
 

With 346 yards on 23 touches, Smith is averaging 15 yards every time he touches the football in 2014! He has also scored once every 4.7 times he has touched the ball. There’s clearly explosiveness to the 29-year old back’s game—explosiveness that has resulted in all seven of his career touchdowns coming from no closer to the goal-line than the opponent’s 38-yard line.
 

Smith has scored 1.64 fantasy points each time he has touched the ball in 2014, and no other running back with more than 10 touches has recorded even half of that total.

 
 

0.94: Andre Holmes’ fantasy points per route in Week 6
 

If you didn’t know the name Andre Holmes before Week 6, you know it now. The Raiders receiver busted out for 121 yards and two touchdowns, including 0.94 fantasy points per route, according to Pro Football Focus, which ranked him fourth on Sunday.
 

The question is whether or not Holmes can keep up the success, and there are positive signs. First, he figures to see the targets necessary to be productive moving forward. Second, he has a quarterback in Derek Carr who might be the real deal. And most important, Holmes is simply really talented; the 6’4”, 210-pound receiver has good speed and recorded a ridiculous 10’10” broad jump coming out of college—a metric that is arguably the most overlooked (and predictive) used to gauge explosiveness.



Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series and founder of RotoAcademy -- a fantasy football training school. He can be found on Twitter @BalesFootball.
Email :Jonathan Bales



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