Evan Silva

Goal Line Stand

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Silva's Post-Draft Top 150

Sunday, May 22, 2016

With the Rotoworld Football team currently in the throes of pre-season magazine writing, Pat Daugherty, Nick Mensio, Ray Summerlin, Rich Hribar, and I will soon submit positional rankings to be converted into a composite score and the Rotoworld Draft Guide's official rankings. I thought this would be a good time to publish a preliminary draft of my overall Top 150.

I've done about 15 drafts so far this offseason and think I have a good feel for public valuation of players as well as changing draft tendencies. The public is understandably leery of this year's running back class -- chock full of rehabbing studs, small-sample heroes, and committee members -- while the raised floors, reduced injury risk, and higher raw point totals of target monster receivers have begun to dominate round one. In PPR leagues last year, ten wide receivers scored more fantasy points than Adrian Peterson, who finished as the overall RB2. He was outscored by two tight ends in points per game. 21 quarterbacks outscored Peterson, but only 12 start in 12-team leagues whereas 36-plus receivers are typically required. While quarterbacks are devalued, wideout and running back production are at premiums. Those thoughts are reflected in these rankings, which depict how I believe players should be valued in a 12-team fantasy draft.

Editor's Note: For updated rankings, projections, player profiles, positional tiers, mock drafts, sleepers and busts, exclusive columns and plenty more, check out our Draft Guide!

1. Antonio Brown (WR1) -- Has 152 catches & 2,039 yards in Ben's last 16 healthy games.
2. Odell Beckham (WR2) -- Beckham's receiving stats in his last 16 games: 108-1,635-14.
3. Julio Jones (WR3) -- Career average of 95.4 receiving yards/game is 1st in NFL history.
4. A.J. Green (WR4) -- Set up for career-best year w/o Marvin Jones & Mohamed Sanu.
5. Dez Bryant (WR5) -- Has finished WR3, WR6, and WR4 in his last 3 healthy seasons.
6. Allen Robinson (WR6) -- TDs (14) may regress, but catch total (80) has room to grow.
7. DeAndre Hopkins (WR7) -- Drew 112 targets in the first half of '15; 80 in second half.
8. Ezekiel Elliott (RB1) -- Complete back. NFL's best offensive line & weakest schedule.
9. David Johnson (RB2) -- Including playoffs, totaled 123.4 yards/game in rookie starts.
10. Todd Gurley (RB3) -- NFL's most talented back. Bad offense, limited receiving role.
11. Lamar Miller (RB4) -- HOU has ranked 1st, 5th in rushing attempts under Bill O'Brien.
12. Keenan Allen (WR8) -- Was on a 134-1,450-8 receiving pace before his Week 8 injury.

13. Rob Gronkowski (TE1) -- 3 overall TE1 finishes in last 5 seasons. Pats WRs banged up.
14. Le'Veon Bell (RB5) -- Would be my No. 1 overall player if not for PCL/MCL recovery.
15. Alshon Jeffery (WR9) -- Alshon's receiving stats over his last 16 games: 95-1,314-11.
16. Jamaal Charles (RB6) -- On 1,731-total yard, 16-TD pace before October ACL tear.
17. Devonta Freeman (RB7) -- 5.3 YPC Weeks 3-7 last year. 3.3 in other 26 career games.
18. Adrian Peterson (RB8) -- Will be 31 1/2 in Week 1. Only 61 catches in last 31 games.
19. Brandin Cooks (WR10) -- Not yet 23. Was the PPR WR8 from Week 4 on last season.
20. Jordy Nelson (WR11) -- ACL reports positive. Last 3 healthy years: WR2, WR11, WR2.
21. Brandon Marshall (WR12) -- 32yo. Last three healthy seasons: WR2, WR5, WR3.
22. Mike Evans (WR13) -- Awful TD luck in '15. Still had 74 catches/1,206 yards at age 22.
23. Mark Ingram (RB9) -- The overall RB3 in PPR before his season ended in Week 13.
24. Eddie Lacy (RB10) -- Will Fat Ed bust again or bounce back? Betting on the latter.

25. LeSean McCoy (RB11) -- Still elite talent going on 28. Karlos Williams is TD threat.
26. T.Y. Hilton (WR14) -- 130+ targets 3 straight years. Andrew Luck coming back healthy.
27. Demaryius Thomas (WR15) -- Increasingly inefficient, aging with worrisome QBs.
28. Amari Cooper (WR16) -- Cooper finished as the overall WR19 in PPR as 21yo rookie.
29. Randall Cobb (WR17) -- Jordy back helps. Could not win vs. cloud coverage last year.
30. Jarvis Landry (WR18) -- High floor, high volume. Topped 75 yards just 5 times in '15.
31. Doug Martin (RB12) -- Had 2 catches or fewer in 11 of the Bucs' 16 games last season.
32. Matt Forte (RB13) -- 31 in December. Was top-12 PPR RB despite 3 missed games.
33. Golden Tate (WR19) -- PPR WR12 & WR21 through 2 years in Detroit. Now no Calvin.
34. Julian Edelman (WR20) -- PPR WR6 through Week 9 last season. 2 foot surgeries.
35. Jordan Reed (TE2) -- Last year's overall TE1 in points/game. Target total likely to dip.
36. Tyler Eifert (TE3) -- Led all TEs in TDs (13). Targets will rise without Sanu and Jones.

37. C.J. Anderson (RB14) -- Avg'd 5.57 YPC in November, December, January last season.
38. Jeremy Maclin (WR21) -- Quietly set career high in receptions (87) with Alex Smith.
39. Thomas Rawls (RB15) -- Limited receiver, serious ankle injury, C.J. Prosise drafted.
40. Sammy Watkins (WR22) -- Foot fracture/surgery dropped him nearly 2 full rounds.
41. Larry Fitzgerald (WR23) -- Turns 33 in August. Hit 70 yards in just 1 of last 8 games.
42. Dion Lewis (RB16) -- PPR RB7 before Week 9 ACL tear. Will Pats sign Arian Foster?
43. Carlos Hyde (RB17) -- Should be Chip's every-down back. Game flow biggest worry.
44. Eric Decker (WR24) -- Had 80+ yards and/or TD in all 15 of his appearances last year.
45. Kelvin Benjamin (WR25) -- Missed '15 with torn ACL. Was PPR WR15 as 2014 rookie.
46. Doug Baldwin (WR26) -- Never topped 5 TDs before exploding for 12 in last 8 games.
47. Donte Moncrief (WR27) -- This year's Allen Robinson? Coming off turf-toe surgery.
48. Cam Newton (QB1) -- 2015's overall QB1 by 50-point margin w/o Kelvin Benjamin.

49. Aaron Rodgers (QB2) -- Still finished overall QB7 with career-worst supporting cast.
50. Drew Brees (QB3) -- Was the QB3 from Week 4 on. Added Fleener, Michael Thomas.
51. Latavius Murray (RB18) -- Still doesn't have imposing competition. 2015's PPR RB10.
52. Michael Floyd (WR28) -- Notched 70+ yards and/or TD in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games.
53. John Brown (WR29) -- Last year's PPR WR23 despite year-long hamstring injuries.
54. Jordan Matthews (WR30) -- Frustrating player changing systems. Boom-bust WR2/3.
55. Emmanuel Sanders (WR31) -- Outplayed Demaryius on per-target basis in 2015.
56. Kevin White (WR32) -- Missed rookie year w/ stress fracture in shin. T.O.-like talent.
57. Allen Hurns (WR33) -- Regression candidate scored 10 TDs on just 64 catches in 2015.
58. Michael Crabtree (WR34) -- Avg'd 73.9 yards/game in 1st half of '15; 41.5 in 2nd half.
59. DeVante Parker (WR35) -- Pace stats were 59-1,187-8 over Miami's final six games.
60. Jonathan Stewart (RB19) -- Between-20s bellcow doesn't score TDs or catch passes.

61. Matt Jones (RB20) -- His rookie preseason: 7.0 YPC. Real games: 3.40 YPC, 5 fumbles.
62. Ryan Mathews (RB21) -- Competition is 33yo Sproles & rookie Wendell Smallwood.
63. Greg Olsen (TE4) -- Cam's best & most trusted target. Hasn't missed game since '07.
64. Coby Fleener (TE5) -- Ben Watson was PPR TE8 at age 35 in New Orleans last season.
65. Jay Ajayi (RB22) -- Likely 2-down grinder on below-average team with average OL.
66. Travis Kelce (TE6) -- Back-to-back TE6 finishes in PPR. Have we seen Kelce's ceiling?
67. Duke Johnson (RB23) -- High-floor PPR pick. 4th among RBs in receptions as rookie.
68. Corey Coleman (WR36) -- Should be a target & touch monster on low-talent Browns.
69. Frank Gore (RB24) -- Will crush his ADP if Colts rediscover 2014 offensive success.
70. Jeremy Langford (RB25) -- Polarizing in FF community, but flush with opportunity.
71. Danny Woodhead (RB26) -- Last year's PPR RB4. Gordon had microfracture surgery.
72. DeSean Jackson (WR37) -- Hurt all last year. Overall WR17 in 2014, WR10 in 2013.

73. Russell Wilson (QB4) -- May be underselling him. SEA offense is difficult to project.
74. DeMarco Murray (RB27) -- Looked washed in Philly after 497-touch 2014-15 season.
75. Tyler Lockett (WR38) -- This year's John Brown? Was PPR WR15 from Week 11 on.
76. Marvin Jones (WR39) -- I see Golden Tate as the main beneficiary of no Megatron.
77. Dorial Green-Beckham (WR40) -- Inconsistent flashes as rookie. Boom-bust WR3/4.
78. Antonio Gates (TE7) -- Another thin year at tight end. Still offers top-5 TE1 potential.
79. Tavon Austin (WR41) -- Last year's PPR WR29. Potentially big quarterback upgrade.
80. Willie Snead (WR42) -- Low-ceiling WR3/4. Snead is Drew Brees' new Lance Moore.
81. Ladarius Green (TE8) -- Enigma with big upside if he carves out consistent targets.
82. Torrey Smith (WR43) -- Chip's last 3 No. 1 wideouts finished WR10, WR8, and WR20.
83. Giovani Bernard (RB28) -- High-floor/low-upside flex. Unlikely to start scoring TDs.
84. Ameer Abdullah (RB29) -- See Gio Bernard without the heavy passing-game usage.

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Evan Silva is a senior football editor for He can be found on Twitter .
Email :Evan Silva

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