Renee Miller

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FanDuel NFL Bargains: Week 10

Wednesday, November 8, 2017


Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your FanDuel lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $7000 for QB, $6000 for RB/WR, and $5500 for TE insomuch as possible.

 

 

Quarterback

 

Jacoby Brissett $6600: Brissett is a competent quarterback, and just like last week when he was initially a huge underdog to the Texans, he’s in a spot to thrive at a very low price in Week 10. He has two 300+ passing yard games, both in the last five games, has back-to-back 2-TD games in the last two, and is a threat to rush one in as well. The Steelers good on-paper QB/passing defense reflects some very bad opponents, and I think Brissett is getting better every week.

 

C.J. Beathard $6300: As Beathard is possibly fighting for his job right now, the things a team looks for are not necessarily the things I look for in a bargain QB. Beathard has thrown three times as many picks as touchdowns, yet has attempted no fewer than 36 passes in his four games, and finished with no less than 13 fantasy points. He gets a solid matchup with the Giants this weekend, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing QBs, and lead the league with 18 passing touchdowns allowed. I think Beathard continues to improve and I feel pretty comfortable with him at this price.

 

 

Running Back

 

Orleans Darkwa $5300: San Francisco is the league’s best running back matchup, so I was thrilled to see Darkwa’s price remain so low. He is clearly the lead back for the Giants, and hasn’t been terrible in DFS despite facing Denver, Seattle, and Los Angeles over the past three weeks. He should have the volume as well as the goal line work if Eli Manning can get them close.

 

Duke Johnson, Jr./Isaiah Crowell $5500: Cleveland is coming off the bye and their offense is firmly off the radar, but Johnson and Crowell are the Browns’ best chance at staying in this game in Detroit. Detroit gives up the 10th-most fantasy points to running backs, and both backs are involved in Cleveland’s offense. Picking one is admittedly a challenge. I lean Duke, but hedging with one tournament lineup containing each back is the way to go.

 

Derrick Henry $5100: DeMarco Murray’s knee doesn’t seem to be bothering him as he practiced Wednesday, but Henry is fully healthy and seeing double-digit touches in each of the last three games. He deserves a chance to thrive like he did vs. Indianapolis and while my two cents on that doesn’t mean much, a sound game plan vs. the Bengals includes a lot of rushing attempts. The Bengals are pretty good at limiting opposing passers, but are vulnerable on the ground. Henry is a tournament only option with a really good salary.

 

 

Wide Receiver

 

Adam Humphries $4800: With Mike Evans serving a one-game suspension this week, it is likely to be the DeSean Jackson and Cameron Brate show in Tampa Bay, but Humphries doesn’t need a lot of volume to pay off this low salary. The Jets are a top 10 QB/WR matchup in fantasy, and Ryan Fitzpatrick targeted Humphries seven times when he started against Arizona in October.

 

Marquise Goodwin $5300: The WR1 for CJ Beathard vs. New York at this price is a tempting little stack. If you buy that Beathard is improving and like Goodwin’s speed and potential, this duo affords you a lot of cap space for elite running backs.

 

Mohamed Sanu $5900: Sanu has been effective as the Falcons’ WR2, and Matt Ryan has certainly looked to him in the end zone. Julio Jones’ status is up in the air for Sunday, but that will just determine if Sanu is a good play or a must play. The game vs. Dallas has the highest Vegas total of the week, and Atlanta is the small favorite. Getting some exposure to Ryan and Sanu is going to be smart.

 

Kendall Wright $5000: Wright has been anything but impressive, and now the Bears have Dontrelle Inman competing for targets in their run-first scheme. In Wright’s favor is the Packers decimated defense, which has allowed almost 30 points per game over their last four, and the fact that they no longer have an offense capable of controlling the clock and dominating possession. I love Jordan Howard in this one, but I think Wright can eke out a 2-3X value day if he improves his efficiency—and/or Mitch Trubisky improves his accuracy-- just a little bit.

 

 

Tight End

 

Tyler Kroft $5400: I’m a believer in Kroft’s talent and the Bengals’ desire to have a featured pass-catching tight end as a key cog in their offense. He and Andy Dalton seem to be developing good chemistry, and Tennessee’s secondary certainly doesn’t scare me.

 

Kyle Rudolph $5400: Rudolph is seeing consistently high volume—9,9,7,7 targets in his last four games—and while he is as touchdown-dependent as most tight ends, he’s no stranger to the end zone. He finally caught one from Case Keenum in Week 8, and Washington is the fourth-most generous defense to tight ends.

 

 

Defense

Pittsburgh Steelers $4600: The Steelers are huge favorites vs. the Colts, who give up the most fantasy points to opponent defenses. I do like Brissett in this game, and I’m obviously not using them in the same lineup, but the Steelers are a solid, by-the-numbers play for cash games.

 

Chicago Bears $4300: The Bears are my digging deep salary relief defense this week. I mentioned the sad state of the Packers defense, and their offense under Brett Hundley is struggling even more. With no passing threat the run game can’t get going and Hundley is not providing much of a passing threat. In fact, he’s very sackable given how long he holds the ball, and the Bears rank ninth in sacks this season (with 23). The Packers own one of the lower implied team totals this week, and I always like a home favorite for my defense.

 



Renee Miller, Ph.D. is a neuroscientist and has been a daily fantasy sports fanatic since 2011. She is the author of "Cognitive Bias in Fantasy Sports: Is your brain sabotaging your team?". You can find her on twitter @reneemiller01.
Email :Renee Miller



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