Renee Miller

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FanDuel NFL Bargains: Week 16

Wednesday, December 20, 2017


Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your FanDuel lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $7000 for QB, $6000 for RB/WR, and $5500 for TE insomuch as possible.

 



Quarterback


Drew Stanton $6000: Remember last week when Nick Foles headlined this column? Same logic here. Foles proved that you can come in cold against the Giants and exceed value by more than anyone. While Stanton doesn’t quite have the weapons that Foles does, he should meet little resistance against a pass defense that ranks first in fantasy points to quarterbacks, allowing 30 TD with only 7 INT.

 


Mitchell Trubisky $6800: The low total on this game is concerning, as is the fact that Trubisky hasn’t thrown more than one touchdown pass in any game this season. However, he surpassed 300 yards last week and faces a generous pass defense vs. Cleveland. The Browns have given up 27 passing touchdowns while intercepting just six passes this season. If there was a week for Trubisky to go off, this is it.

 

 


Running Back

 

Mike Gillislee $4500: It’s a revenge game for Gillislee, and while he hasn’t been active for the past six games, it stands to reason that he’ll be utilized vs. the Bills. New England is a huge home favorite, so using Gillislee to run out the fourth quarter with a big lead is very possible. He’d also be the most likely candidate to receive any goal line carries.

 


Bilal Powell $5400/Elijah McGuire $4800: While the Chargers rank as one of the best pass defenses in the league, you can run on them a bit. To this point in the season, they rank 10th in fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs, and rank third in rushing yards per game allowed. Powell has had some December success in recent years, and McGuire is coming off a nice game himself, catching 3-of-3 targets including one for a touchdown. Powell is dominating carries, but can be a threat in the passing game as well. He’s the safer choice, while McGuire is the risk/reward play.

 


DeMarco Murray $6000: I hold a torch for Murray like @MattFtheOracle holds a torch for Jordy Nelson. The opportunity is there and there’s no reason to think that ends this week in a premier rushing matchup with the Green Bay Packers. A Christian McCaffrey-esque performance is within his range. But so is 6 fantasy points, so use him in a limited fashion.

 

 

 

Wide Receiver

 

Roger Lewis $5200: Lewis has 21 targets in the past two weeks, and Eli Manning has no one else to throw to besides Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram. Speaking of Manning, he’s throwing the ball a ton—103 attempts in the last two games. Look for Lewis to be a solid cash-game fill in this week.

 


Kendall Wright $5100: If I like Trubisky, I like Wright even more. The two appear to finally be on the same page, as Wright has 188 receiving yards on 17 catches in the past two weeks. The Browns are very generous to QBs and TEs, which Chicago doesn’t feature, but Wright has high enough usage in a variety of formations to pay off in any format this week.

 

 


Tight End

 

Ricky Seals-Jones $5200: If you’re looking to stack a cheap QB-TE combo this week, and pay up for WR and RB, the Stanton-Seals-Jones package fits the bill. Seals-Jones has at least five targets in four of his last five games, and while he’s gone scoreless in the last three, the Giants appear to be doing everything in their power to get opposing tight ends receptions in the end zone (Giants have allowed 13 TD to TEs).

 


Antonio Gates $4500: With Hunter Henry sidelined for the season (sadness), it looks like Gates will be more involved in the Chargers passing attack. Keep your expectations in check but 5/65 or more for this price would be a reasonable return.  

 

 


Defense

 

Kansas City Chiefs $4500: The Chiefs are at Arrowhead, still a formidable stadium, to face a Dolphins team that ranks fifth in fantasy points allowed to opposing defenses. Miami is second only to the Browns in interceptions, with 20, and has fumbled six times. The Chiefs don’t have great numbers in terms of stopping the run or limiting opposing passers, but do rank 10th in total takeaways. At this discount, you’re hoping for a pick-6 or two.

 


Cleveland Browns $4100: A desperation salary-saver, especially considering that I do think Trubisky and Wright are going to score some points this weekend, the Browns DEF saving grace is the Bears history this season. They are a turnover prone team (12 INT, 10 FUM), and a low scoring team, barely edging out Cleveland and a few others to average a 28th-best 16.7 points per game. The salary discrepancy between the Bears and the Browns feels a bit undeserved. 



Renee Miller, Ph.D. is a neuroscientist and has been a daily fantasy sports fanatic since 2011. She is the author of "Cognitive Bias in Fantasy Sports: Is your brain sabotaging your team?". You can find her on twitter @reneemiller01.
Email :Renee Miller



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