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FanDuel NFL Bargains: Week 17

Wednesday, December 27, 2017


Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your FanDuel lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $7000 for QB, $6000 for RB/WR, and $5500 for TE insomuch as possible.

 

Week 17 offers a lot of cheap players, but that doesn’t necessarily mean value. There are plenty of new starters that won’t appear here, because I want to offer some bargains that have the possibility to deliver at least 2-4X value. A backup with limited reps coming in to face a top defense with something to play for is not my idea of a great situation. With that in mind, here are some ideas for saving in Week 17:

 

Quarterback

 

Jacoby Brissett $6600: Brissett has faced four of the stingiest pass defenses in the league, in terms of yards per game and fantasy points per game allowed, in his last four games. He’s managed 12-14 fantasy points in three of those, but this week gets a Texans defense that has all but thrown in the towel, allowing 29 passing touchdowns, and the third-most fantasy points to opposing QBs. Brissett threw for 300 yards and two touchdowns against them seven weeks ago, and is in perfect position to bounce back this week. I love him with T.Y. Hilton this weekend.

 

Sean Mannion $6000: The Rams are going to largely rest their starters, making Mannion a candidate for significant work. I’m not jumping on all the backup options that are going to be available dirt cheap this weekend, but Mannion is intriguing vs. a 49ers defense that ranks second in fantasy points to opposing QBs. I’m impressed with the way this team has been coached and executed their game plan, and feel pretty confident in Mannion’s ability to reach value as a cash game alternative to Drew Brees or Philip Rivers.

 

Running Back

 

Charcandrick West $4900: The Chiefs are talking about resting their starters since they can’t move up or down in the AFC seeding. West would be the lead back in that scenario, and could theoretically smash value. He had one of his signature breakout games in this same matchup two years ago, so while I’m not targeting Patrick Mahomes or any of the Chiefs receivers this week, West is a tournament play for me.

 

T.J. Yeldon $4800: If the Jaguars rest Leonard Fournette this weekend, Yeldon would potentially benefit the most. He’s coming off a strong game in which he rushed for a touchdown and converted 10 targets into 7/64 receiving and has shown that he can be productive in this role when Fournette missed time earlier in the year. He’s not an auto-play, however, because Tennessee has quietly allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game this season. Because of his pass-catching ability, he is someone to get limited exposure to.

 

Theo Riddick $5700: Detroit said they weren’t going to rest anyone this weekend, opening the door for Riddick to post one more big game in 2017 against one of the more fantasy-friendly defenses (Green Bay).

 

Malcolm Brown $4500: Brown is one of those guys I meant when I said I wouldn’t go crazy for cheap players, but if you absolutely need someone at the minimum, he’s going to get work against a terrible 49ers run defense.

 

Alfred Blue $5000: Blue has outplayed Lamar Miller in each of the past two weeks, rushing for 163 yards in the process. Indianapolis has allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game this season, but Blue needs Houston to get any sort of offensive momentum going in order to reach value, even at this price. He’s a tournament only option for me.

 

Wide Receiver

 

Ted Ginn Jr. $5800: I mentioned Ginn’s big play ability in my Starting Points article Tuesday, and can’t overlook him here. The Saints are playing in a meaningful game against the league’s best WR matchup that also has the highest Vegas and implied team totals of the week. I’m only using him in GPPs because his floor is low, but his ceiling is 2 TDs.

 

Chris Godwin $5400: On the other side of this would-be shootout game, Godwin is very much in play again if DeSean Jackson remains out. The Bucs have no real reason to push Jackson at this point, providing additional confidence in Godwin who is getting more comfortable in the offense. The Saints secondary has improved dramatically this year, but I expect their primary focus to be on Mike Evans.

 

T.Y. Hilton $6700 and Demaryius Thomas $6800: These guys are both over the limit, but underpriced relative to how much I like them this week. I mentioned Brissett above, and with Houston having allowed 18 TDs to opposing wideouts, Hilton could be in for a 30-plus point day. Thomas I like for the matchup—the Chiefs defense has been one you can pass on when they’re actually trying—and also for the fact that he’s Paxton Lynch’s best option to make himself look good heading into the offseason. Hilton and Thomas profile as bargain plays with major upside this week, with an added bonus that they may go overlooked amid all the cheaper plays.

 

Tight End

 

Charles Clay $5600: It seems to me that good things usually happen when the Bills get Clay involved. He was uncharacteristically inefficient with 10 targets in New England last week, but the 10 targets were a season high for him. This is a must win for the Bills, and Miami has proven vulnerable to tight ends (second-most fantasy points allowed).

 

Eric Ebron $5600: Ebron has put up three quality games in a row, as a direct result of seeing more targets (26 in that span). He’s scored twice, and with Detroit finally getting what they hoped out of Ebron and claiming not to be resting any starters, Ebron should make for a fine cash game option this week at home vs. Green Bay, a game in which the Lions are favored by more than a touchdown.  

 

Defense

 

Indianapolis Colts $4300: Houston is a hot mess right now, with awful quarterback play negating the run game. Bad decision making, combined with poor execution are allowing opposing defenses to feast. Houston has scored 16 points or fewer in each of the last five games, with 13 combined points in the last two. The Colts are at home, and it’s hard to see them not getting 2-3 sacks and at least two turnovers this Sunday.

 



Renee Miller, Ph.D. is a neuroscientist and has been a daily fantasy sports fanatic since 2011. She is the author of "Cognitive Bias in Fantasy Sports: Is your brain sabotaging your team?". You can find her on twitter @reneemiller01.
Email :Renee Miller



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