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John Daigle

By the Numbers

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Available Targets & Air Yards

Wednesday, August 22, 2018


Organizations must evaluate their rosters every offseason, which typically leads to several players leaving in free agency. Those roster spots are usually shored up by incoming rookies and other acquisitions.

 

Specific roles and talent certainly help players thrive, but opportunity remains the most important aspect as it pertains to fantasy production. This is why targets and carries are oft-discussed by analysts — opportunity is king. Moreover, as players leave for other teams, they leave behind production that could be considered opportunity for whomever replaces them.

 

The Rams entered last season with the second-most raw targets (296) and percentage of Air Yards (66%) available due to the losses of Kenny Britt, Lance Kendricks, Brian Quick and Benny Cunningham. This helps explain why Robert Woods, despite going undrafted in most fantasy leagues, was a value in hindsight. With that newfound opportunity, Woods finished with 85 targets and accounted for 21.3% of Los Angeles’ Air Yards.

 

For those yet to be introduced to Air Yards as a statistic, Josh Hermsmeyer defines this metric as, “The total number of yards thrown toward a receiver on a play in which he is targeted, both complete and incomplete. If you add them up over a game or a season, you get a receiver’s total Air Yards.”

 

Below is a list of all 32 NFL teams’ targets, target share (percentage of team targets), Air Yards and percentage of Air Yards available. As players are re-signed, this chart will be updated to reflect available opportunity for every team. This will be key when discussing ADP and forecasting potential value prior to the 2018 season.

All targets and Air Yards data is compiled from Pro Football Reference and Josh Hermsmeyer’s AirYards.com.


Available Targets and Air Yards by Team

 

TeamTargetsTarget%Air YardsAir Yards%
Baltimore Ravens 332 59.1% 2,829 71.3%
Cleveland Browns 251 44.3% 2,734 51.8%
Dallas Cowboys 272 56% 2,645 68.8%
New England Patriots 256 43.8% 2,613 48.1%
Arizona Cardinals 271 45.7% 2,589 45.7%
Seattle Seahawks 226 42.9% 2,308 43.7%
Chicago Bears 216 46.9% 2,197 61.5%
Jacksonville Jaguars 237 45.8% 2,136 51.9%
Carolina Panthers 172 34.9% 1,847 42.3%
Miami Dolphins 290 49.4% 1,718 34.1%
Green Bay Packers 165 29.7% 1,714 41.2%
Philadelphia Eagles 146 26.3% 1,490 27.9%
Oakland Raiders 163 29.5% 1,472 31.3%
Denver Broncos 209 37.7% 1,447 30.2%
Buffalo Bills 118 25.2% 1,276 30.3%
Pittsburgh Steelers 84 14.3% 1,217 22.5%
Indianapolis Colts 155 32.8% 1,173 32.9%
Washington Redskins 123 23% 1,152 27.8%
Los Angeles Chargers 136 23.8% 1,096 22.5%
Los Angeles Rams 106 20.7% 1,086 26.8%
New York Jets 162 32.7% 927 23.2%
Tennessee Titans 136 28% 898 20.1%
New York Giants 166 27.5% 869 19.5%
Detroit Lions 121 21.4% 804 17.6%
Cincinnati Bengals 93 19% 752 18.2%
Atlanta Falcons 83 16% 747 15.7%
New Orleans Saints 86 16.2% 666 19.4%
Kansas City Chiefs 119 22.5% 634 14.7%
San Francisco 49ers 107 17.8% 363 7.4%
Houston Texans 38 7.3% 342 6.4%
Minnesota Vikings 110 21.1% 336 8.4%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 68 11.4% 217 3.4%

 

These lists will be depleted by re-signings and franchise tags.

These lists will be supplemented by releases.

This page will stay updated deep into the offseason.



You can follow John Daigle on Twitter @notJDaigle.
Email :John Daigle



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