Brett Lockwood

In The Crease

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Hold or Sell?

Tuesday, October 25, 2011


Patience is important in fantasy sports. While you may be tempted to overreact to a poor start, your concerns may not be real. This week’s In the Crease will focus on underperforming picks that you made in the first six rounds.  Hold or sell, that is the question.

 

 

Jarome Iginla – Moderate Sell

Iginla is on the wrong side of 30, a fact that fantasy experts take seriously. His slow start is due to a combination of poor team chemistry and a lack of goal scoring. Through the team’s current three-game home stand they have just four goals total. The shots are there for the Flames, however Iginla has just 2.4 shots/game. In comparison, his career average is 3.3 shots/game.  If you can get full value for Iginla (and his 10 straight 30+ goal seasons), then I would pull the trigger. With Rene Bourque supposedly on the trading block, Iginla’s fantasy value can take a major hit.

 

 

Henrik Zetterberg – Moderate Hold

Zetterberg is the opposite of Iginla at this point. While he too is on the wrong side of 30, his game has not shown age. Through six games Zetterberg has 4.8 shots/game. His teammates look energized and ready for another deep playoff run. Running-mate Pavel Datsyuk has a strong start to his name so it is likely Zetterberg picks up his game too. As long as the power play time remains and the shot total is high, he is a hold candidate.

 

 

Jeff Carter – Strong Sell

The Blue Jackets brought Carter in to provide some help for stud Rick Nash. So far he has looked lost (and injured). Columbus looks like a mess offensively, defensively and in goal. Carter will get his goal totals but it will come at a steep plus-minus hit. For now Carter will not have much value because he is week-to-week. If you are to sell you will have to wait for his health to kick back in.

 

Ryan Getzlaf – Strong Hold

The Anaheim Ducks offense got off to a very weak start. The top line combination of Getzlaf, Corey Perry and Bobby Ryan did not record a point until the fourth game of the season. Do not be fooled here, this is the best point production line in the league. If you can get your hands on Getzlaf you will be incredibly thrilled with your move.

 

 

Lubomir Visnovsky – Strong Sell

Visnovsky recorded career-year numbers in 2010-11. It is likely that you landed him at an inflated rate and now have buyer’s remorse. Like Getzlaf above, the Ducks will be a solid team this year. Saying I believe Visnovsky will regress significantly. If you can get last year’s value for him I would sell right away. Defensemen I would rather own include: Mark Streit, Christian Ehrhoff, Nicklas Lidstrom.

 

 

Overall, the most important aspect to look at is playing time and shots on goal. If production is at a minimum it is likely because of these two aspects. To make an accurate assessment of your top-tier talent make sure to not sell them short. There was a reason you took them so early in drafts. If in doubt, stick to your guns.






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