NEW ROTOWORLD BETA SITE

Michael Finewax

The Roundtable

print article archives RSS

The Roundtable: Week 9

Monday, December 3, 2018


This week’s question is:

 

What kind of season is William Nylander going to have the rest of the way?

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld’s Season Pass is now available for the low price of $19.99. You get plenty of extra articles including the minor league report, the power play report and much, much more. Buy it now!

 

Don’t forget, for everything NHL, check out Rotoworld's Player News, and follow @Rotoworld_ HK and @mfinewaxhockey on Twitter.

 

Ryan: It's really hard to predict because I think there's a physical component to it and a mental component and it's the mental that I'm not at all sure about.  In terms of the physical component, I'm worried about rust.  He's missed training camp, more than a quarter of the season, and all the Maple Leafs' practices that have happened so far.  It's going to take him time to get up to speed and because of that, I'm not optimistic about his performance for the rest of the season.  The mental component is how he handles the noise that comes with being such a dramatic holdout.  Will the pressure of trying to justify his big payday after deciding it was worth sitting out for so long get to him?  Does he feel like he needs to prove himself to fans and critics any more than usual and if so, will that fuel him or just mess with his game?  Related to that, if he struggles early on, is he more likely to allow that to snowball because of that added pressure?

 

The Maple Leafs have 55 games left.  I would guess he'll miss another 2-3 games just getting up to speed before making his debut.  I'll pencil him in for -25-30 points this season, which is subpar compared to what he's capable of, but not a disaster.  Which is fine.  The Maple Leafs have shown that they don't need him to make the playoffs anyways.  Where they're going to really want him to step up is during their playoff run and by then he should have long since settled in (barring any complications, like an ill-timed injury).

               

 

Brian: I'm a little more optimistic than Ryan about Nylander's prospects this season. If you factor in a little rust for the training camp and the 27 games Nylander has missed, and a little growth on his part as well as potential linemate Auston Matthews, I think he's going to be at the same .75 point-per-game level he's been the past two seasons. That adds up to about 40 points over the Buds' final 55 games. That makes him a top-100 player for the balance of the campaign. 

 

Corey: I see Nylander producing around 40 points this season.  I agree with Brian that he will still manage to be around what we've seen in the past from him from a points-per-game perspective, while skating alongside Auston Matthews, who has been an offensive machine this year when he's been healthy.  They have a great deal of chemistry with each other and I don't think it will take them long to click again.  Playing on the second power-play unit isn't ideal, but he only had 12 of his 61 points in 2017-18 on the man advantage, so it's not a situation I would worry about.  I think Nylander is going to reward fantasy owners who kept him stashed away all this time, but I do think there will be some rust at first as he gets back up to game speed.  

 

Daniel: Nylander was very wise to sign his deal, as it would've been a shame for him to have to find a platform later in spring to stream the parade down Yonge Street. Now he can be a part of it! Well, that's what the feeling is from the center of the hockey universe, as things continue to look up in the 'real' Hockeytown. There will be rust, like the others said, and it will be interesting to see how his teammates accept him, too. While most understand it is a business, it wouldn't be surprising to see him get a chilly reception initially. Kasperi Kapanen will see a decrease in fantasy value, too, which is lost in this situation. Nylander will eventually make everyone forget about this, especially if he comes in and the team continues to win even more regularly than the first third of the season. This ugly business chapter will be in the rear-view mirror when Nylander flirts with 35-40 points and starts performing at a point-per-game clip just in time for the Stanley Cup playoffs to begin.

 

Joey: It will take Nylander some time to get up to game speed because other players in the league have gone through training camp and two months of regular season action. Still, I think many are overestimating how long it will take the 22-year-old to fit right now. Nylander has put together back-to-back 20-goal and 60-point seasons and he'll get to play with at least one elite offensive player like John Tavares, Mitch Marner or Auston Matthews. I fully expect him to continue producing at a similar pace. If he rolls at a 0.74 points-per-game pace, he'll pick up somewhere close to 13 goals and 40 points, which is far from terrible for a guy who missed training camp. 

 

 

Michael: Most players who sit out a couple of weeks as an RFA, never mind two months, have a tough time having a good season. Look at Johnny Gaudreau who missed 10 games two seasons ago. He had 61 points in 72 games, but looking at the previous year when he had 78 points in 79 games and last season’s 84 points in 80 contests, you have to think that there will be some regression. The difficulty with this thought process is that he has John Tavares, Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner around him and they could carry him for a while. Daniel is correct that Kapanen’s fantasy value will take a hit as the Maple Leafs should quickly restore Nylander to Matthews’ wing, otherwise it will look punitive. I expect 35-40 points but it would not surprise me if he was around 30 points if he is able to play the last 50-plus games of the season.



Michael Finewax is entering his 14th season as the Senior Hockey Writer and Editor for Rotoworld. You can follow him on Twitter @mfinewaxhockey.
Email :Michael Finewax



Highest Searched Players over the last 7 days



Video Center

  •  
    Player News: Week 15

    Player News: Week 15
  •  
    DFS Analysis: Cooper, Martin

    DFS Analysis: Cooper, Martin
  •  
    Dose: Wentz Questionable

    Dose: Wentz Questionable
  •  
    Dose: Conner Back for Wk 15?

    Dose: Conner Back for Wk 15?
  •  
    Dose: Ekeler in Doubt

    Dose: Ekeler in Doubt
  •  
    NBA Waivers: Melton, Burks

    NBA Waivers: Melton, Burks
  •  
    Dose: Kittle explodes vs. DEN

    Dose: Kittle explodes vs. DEN
  •  
    Week 14 Starts: Baker Mayfield

    Week 14 Starts: Baker Mayfield