Matchups: Train Rolls to Tampa

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September 26, 2009
Matchups: Train Rolls to Tampa
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Tennessee @ NY Jets

Titans FS Michael Griffin is a Pro Bowler, but he's trying to do too much with Tennessee getting manhandled by the pass. In Week 2, Griffin blew his assignment on Andre Johnson's second-quarter 72-yard touchdown, leaving Johnson one-on-one with 35-year-old LCB Nick Harper. With RCB Cortland Finnegan also playing overaggressive, Mark Sanchez could have a third straight solid game. Keep Jerricho Cotchery and tight end slot receiver Dustin Keller going...The Titans' run defense has been the league's stingiest through two weeks, surrendering a league-low 1.9 yards per carry and no rushing touchdowns. That's bad news for Thomas Jones, who was outplayed (53 yards, 15 touches) by Leon Washington (16-76) in Week 2. The Jets, by the way, are employing a true 50:50 rotation. Rookie Shonn Greene remains without a game-day role.

The Jets have used lockdown CB Darrelle Revis to shadow No. 1 receivers, but it's unclear if he'll keep it up against Justin Gage. Nate Washington was more productive last week, and usually lines up on the offensive right (Revis' side). It's best to avoid the situation entirely. New York hasn't given up a passing touchdown yet and is holding opponents to an NFL-low 4.8 yards per attempt.

As NBC's Peter King pointed out on Twitter this week, the deciding factor in this game may be Chris Johnson's touches total. Rex Ryan's club has been ridiculously stingy in all facets, but hasn't faced a mauling offensive line like Tennessee's yet. Obviously, Johnson is the Titans' best bet for a big play, so OC Mike Heimerdinger will likely get him the ball early and often. Something like 30 touches is within reach...Johnson gets all the work in crucial situations and this game figures to be a low-scoring war of attrition. Don't expect anything from LenDale White.

Green Bay @ St. Louis

Left tackle Chad Clifton's high ankle sprain is a concern for Aaron Rodgers, but not on Sunday. St. Louis' RE rotation of James Hall and Chris Long has just one sack so far. Rodgers will take hits, but panicking should cease until Jared Allen attacks his blind side in Week 4...Rams top CB Ronald Bartell held T.J. Houshmandzadeh to 46 yards in Week 1 and Malcolm Kelly to 41 yards last Sunday. Don't chase the Week 2 line of 6-99-1 for Donald Driver, who should see Bartell in primary coverage.

On the other side, Greg Jennings is very likely to rebound from his catch-less Week 2. He faced emerging shutdown CB Leon Hall last week, but the drop-off is severe to likely Week 3 man-on Jonathan Wade. Recall that ever-mediocre Nate Burleson burned Wade for most of his 74 yards on seven grabs with a TD in Week 1...Jermichael Finley showed signs of life last Sunday, improving to 56 yards after his six-yard opener. He's still only a desperation fantasy play, but could rack up a few big gains against the St. Louis safeties, who relentlessly bite on play-action. TEs John Carlson and Chris Cooley have combined for 13-178-2 against them so far.

Laurent Robinson has proved he's for real against Skins RCB DeAngelo Hall and Seattle RCB Ken Lucas. It's hard to recommend any passing-game player against Green Bay in an offense like St. Louis', but RCB Al Harris, 34, showed some age against Chad Ochocinco last week, and Robinson is a poor man's version. He's merely a WR3, but Robinson can reaffirm his status as the Rams' No. 1 receiver.

With just 48 yards through two games, Donnie Avery is on the verge of droppable in 10-team settings. Blanketed for two yards on one grab in Week 2, he'll likely be shut down again by Charles Woodson...Good ol' Cedric Benson showed there was some leak to the Pack's new 3-4 by raining down 141 yards on the unit last week. Ideally, the Rams will get Steven Jackson a similar number of touches (29). It's the only way St. Louis will stay in this game.

San Francisco @ Minnesota

Enough has been said of Adrian Peterson's rookie-year meeting with San Francisco (three yards on 14 carries). The Niners are playing the run well, but Peterson is more likely to turn their 2.7 YPC against on its head than get shut down again. He's gunning for Greg Manusky's unit...Brett Favre is apparently fun to bash, but he's been near perfect through two games (league-high 77.1% completions, 0 INTs) and showed improved rapport with Bernard Berrian last game, as the duo hooked up six times. No Vikings receiver (Percy Harvin included) is worth more than WR3 consideration, but the passing offense should start clicking deep down the field as the season moves forward...Visanthe Shiancoe, however, needs to be dropped or benched all year. Harvin is vulturing Shiancoe's targets (three so far), and the rookie slot man will get better by the week.

Frank Gore's Week 2 ankle injury was more of a tweak than a sprain. He'll start at the Vikings, whose run defense has been surprisingly mediocre (15th overall with 4.0 YPC allowed). That will change, but Gore is likely to get 25 touches and can't possibly be benched...Vernon Davis is the only 49ers pass catcher we'd consider in this one. The Vikes served up 40 yards on four grabs to Brandon Pettigrew last week (his first NFL production) and 60 on four receptions with a score to Robert Royal in Week 1...Josh Morgan is blocking his tail off, but must show something before he sees the light of day in fantasy lineups. Shaun Hill didn't target him once last week. Isaac Bruce may get the "shadow" treatment of Vikings Pro Bowl CB Antoine Winfield on Sunday.

Jacksonville @ Houston

Not that Matt Schaub needs it coming off a four-TD, 357-yard breakthrough, but the Jacksonville secondary is a proven cure for struggling pass attacks (see Kurt Warner). Keep that in mind for future matchup purposes, and get Schaub and your Texans pass catchers going. Kevin Walter missed the first two weeks with lingering hamstring woes, but is a sneaky play if he's active. The Jags are getting no pass rush (one sack on the year), and RCB Derek Cox is now dealing with a concussion.

Jacksonville's new 3-4 defense looked good in Week 1, but Tim Hightower and Chris Wells exposed the Reggie Hayward-less front seven for 116 yards and a score on 22 carries (5.3 YPC) last Sunday. Despite being arguably the league's worst starting tailback through two weeks (26 carries, 51 yards, three fumbles), don't bench Steve Slaton. The Jags will have to stay in a dime defense to stop Houston's red-hot passing game, creating lanes for the Texans' runner.

Mario Manningham was a hotter waiver pickup, but look for Mike Sims-Walker to pay more immediate dividends (and not to toot my own horn, but this is coming from a predictor of Mario's breakout game). In a matchup of arguably the AFC's two worst secondaries, the game sets up well for Jacksonville's only big-play wide receiver. Sims-Walker would benefit if Houston jumps out to an early lead. In that scenario, the Jags will have to throw to catch up. It's exactly how he managed 106 yards and a TD last week.

Expect a high-scoring affair, with Maurice Jones-Drew the best bet to score on either side. MoJo's Week 2 effort vs. Arizona (83 yards, 17 touches, no TDs) was fairly disappointing, but the Cards rank fifth in the league in run defense. Houston is in dead last and has already surrendered four rushing touchdowns...David Garrard is a legit QB1 play in this matchup, but Torry Holt is only a WR3. Holt continues to exhibit poor speed and is already complaining about Dirk Koetter's play calls.

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Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter .
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