Six more teams go on byes in Week 8, three of which (New England, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati) have two or more every-week fantasy starters. With your lineup most likely down at least one stud, let's try to find some sleepers by breaking down the entire weekend game by game.
1:00PM ET Games
Seattle @ Dallas
It will be interesting to see how Miles Austin responds when opponents begin game planning for him, but he's currently an every-week play. He'll see a lot of Seahawks LCBs Josh Wilson and Marcus Trufant (on third downs) Sunday. Trufant will be rusty after missing the first six games on PUP...Austin's breakout has made Tony Romo a top-six QB. He has five TDs (four to Austin) and is averaging 331 yards in Austin's two starts...Roy Williams is merely a WR3 option, though he'll eventually benefit from less double coverage...Jason Witten is almost impossible to sit, but may have to block quite a bit because of Seattle's potent pass rush (eighth most sacks).
Tashard Choice's removal from the Cowboys' tailback rotation was unexpected. The second-year back is averaging 6.0 yards a touch compared to Marion Barber's 5.2. But owners have to move on and realize that Dallas has resumed its MB3-Felix Jones committee. It didn't show up in last week's box score, but Barber showed plenty of first-step burst and power. He's healthy, will get more touches this week, and is a legit RB1 versus a middling Seattle run defense...Felix's usage will be inconsistent as usual. He's a bye-week FLEX option, but is never a good bet to score.
Playing inside at Cowboys Stadium is a plus for passing, but it's hard to imagine Matt Hasselbeck not being terrorized all day by Dallas' blitzes. New $78M man DeMarcus Ware is red hot with four sacks in his last two games, and Seattle won't get back either of its starting offensive tackles (Walter Jones - knee, Sean Locklear - ankle). Hasselbeck is only a two-QB league option...John Carlson figures to spend most of the game providing "help" blocks for fill-in LT Damion McIntosh. McIntosh, 32, was a street free agent for the season's first seven weeks.
Nate Burleson is a better play than T.J. Houshmandzadeh. While both are only WR3s because Hasselbeck will be hurried so often, Burleson will mostly square off with beatable Dallas RCB Mike Jenkins. LCB Terence Newman (5'11/195) has the size to check Housh (6'1/199)...Julius Jones' confidence is so shaky week to week that he's not even a good FLEX play. Third-down back Justin Forsett is a better fit for the offense because of his superior blitz-pickup and receiving skills. QBs under pressure need their backs to pass protect and get open on check downs.
St. Louis @ Detroit
Donnie Avery has been so brittle that owners must always consider the possibility of an in-game injury before using him. He left in the second quarter of Week 6 with a hip injury, never to return, and came out of Week 7 with a new rib issue. The injuries haven't threatened his playing status and Avery won't get a better matchup all year, but they prevent him from being a confident play...Steven Jackson still doesn't have a TD, but averages 24 touches and 115 yards a game. Detroit surrenders the fifth-most YPC (4.6) in the NFL and third most rushes of 20+ yards (8).
After a hot two-game run, Marc Bulger predictably came back to earth last week against a stout Colts pass defense, throwing for just 140 yards and two picks. He now faces the league's worst secondary, though, and is a solid two-QB league bet at domed Ford Field...St. Louis oddly named Keenan Burton a captain for this week, but appears poised to activate newly acquired Brandon Gibson. Expect a timeshare between the two going forward...Slot man Danny Amendola still has a firm hold on the third receiver job. The Wes Welker clone is averaging five catches a week in the last three games and is worth adding in deep PPR leagues.
The Lions call anyone that isn't 100% "limited," but Matthew Stafford practiced every day this week and will likely start against the Rams. St. Louis lost promising RCB Brandon Fletcher (torn ACL, LCL) for the year in Week 7, improving an already favorable matchup. Consider Stafford a top-notch two-QB league play should Calvin Johnson (knee, thigh) dress for the game...Johnson is questionable, but we'll know his status early Sunday. He's a must-start against the Rams' hopeless pass defense if he goes. Only five teams give up more YPA (8.1) and passing TDs (11).
The Rams' run defense was bad before, but it's even worse now. Without Will Witherspoon, teams can successfully run to any area of St. Louis' defense. Even Colts special teamer Chad Simpson ripped off a 31-yard touchdown in last Sunday's loss, with Joseph Addai and Donald Brown pouring on 125 more total yards and another score. Consider it a shock if Kevin Smith's YPC average doesn't balloon after this one...Brandon Pettigrew, Dennis Northcutt, and Bryant Johnson are worth a look in this matchup if Calvin Johnson is out. Otherwise, keep them benched.
Miami @ NY Jets
Shonn Greene was deservedly this week's No. 1 waiver add. He was terrific coming off the bench last Sunday, delivering blows and exhibiting an explosive first step in the hole. But this is a "wait and see" week for the rookie, as Miami is fourth in the NFL against the run. Greene will be a legit RB2 in Week 9 versus Jacksonville if he finds a way to produce against the Dolphins...Thomas Jones gets a nice bump in PPR value following Leon Washington's season-ending injury. Washington had been dominating passing-down work. Most of those duties will now go to Jones.
The Jets have scaled back the playbook for Mark Sanchez after he hit the rookie wall. He tried just 15 throws to New York's 54 runs in Week 7. Jerricho Cotchery's (hamstring) return will help, but Sanchez's upside is crushed by a decidedly run-first mindset and now-limited ability to get aggressive in the passing game...Cotchery and Braylon Edwards will both be covered by rookie corners Sunday, as LCB Will Allen's (torn ACL) replacement is Vontae Davis. Expect Davis to stick with Cotchery, while Edwards sees more of Fins second-round pick Sean Smith.
There are sizable leaks in the Jets' run defense, which has plummeted to 22nd in the NFL since losing NT Kris Jenkins. Modestly talented Justin Fargas exploited the unit up the gut last week, frequently breaking into New York's secondary and busting a 35-yarder. Ricky Williams, the No. 10 overall fantasy back, is a legit RB2 in what usually isn't a favorable matchup. Ronnie Brown already dropped 88 yards and two TDs on the Jets once this year...Anthony Fasano's involvement has risen slightly since Chad Henne ascended to the starting QB job, but he's still only a TE2.
The Jets' secondary is their strength on defense. Headed by likely All-Pro CB Darrelle Revis, New York ranks seventh against the pass and only the Colts give up fewer yards per throw. The Jets' three passing TDs allowed are third least in the league. Henne isn't even a good two-QB league option, while the Dolphins' new four-receiver committee should be avoided entirely. There are strong indications that Ted Ginn Jr. will lose his starting job to rookie Brian Hartline, and the playing time split between Davone Bess and Greg Camarillo is entirely matchup based.
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Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter . |
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