Week 10 Rankings Update

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Gregg Rosenthal
Goal Line Stand
November 9, 2007
Week 10 Rankings Update
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Note: The Week 10 Rankings are after our Fantasy Playoff Preview. They were updated Friday afternoon.

This year's Billy Volek is out there. Volek will forever be synonymous with monstrously performances that happen to fall during the fantasy playoffs. It happens every season; last season Ron Dayne churned out 334 rushing yards and five scores in Fantasy Nation's three-week celebration. And the playoffs are closer than you think.

Vince Vaughn plugging Fred Clause on Monday Night Football was the turning point for me. Once the holiday commercials have arrived, you know we're getting close.

***

A lot of publications try to project favorable fantasy playoff schedules before the season, but it's not that useful. NFL teams, especially defenses, are too unpredictable. The Titans looked like one of the worst defenses in the league before Week 1 and now may be the toughest matchup in the league. Defense can even fluctuate greatly within a season.

With that said, half the season is complete and we have enough material to grade the best and worst schedules for the fantasy playoffs. The biggest reason why Volek exploded in 2004 was the schedule, so let's see if we can unearth this year's hero. For more boring details on how I arrived at these subjective rankings, head over to Pancake Blocks.

And we haven't forgotten the Week 10 rankings. Skip ahead if that's what you are looking for.

Shameless plug: Season Pass will have new feature this week: The Top 200 players overall for the fantasy playoff weeks. We are offering a $5 discount on our Season Pass package – just enter the discount code "PLAYOFFS" (all caps). The playoff ranks will go up every Friday.

Top Three Fantasy Playoff RB Schedules

1. Jamal Lewis, Browns: NYJ, BUF, CIN

Lewis is on the downside of his career, but he'll be useful in the fantasy playoffs. Who knew he was joining a juggernaut offense?

Buffalo's improving defense is a neutral matchup, but the Jets and Bengals are among the league's worst. And since both the Jets and Bengals also struggle against the pass, Lewis should have plenty of scoring opportunities.

2. Ryan Grant, Packers: OAK, STL, CHI

Another reason to like Grant as an asset down the stretch. The Raiders are possibly the worst rush defense, and the Rams and Bears aren't very good. If he stays healthy, I don't see Grant losing this job.

3. Earnest Graham, Bucs: HOU, ATL, SF

The matchups don't leap off the page, but they are all favorable. Graham could be a decent RB2 these weeks if Jon Gruden hasn't gone to a committee.

Other Notable RB Upgrades

* LaDainian Tomlinson, Chargers: TEN, DET, DEN

LT2 owners get a very difficult matchup to open the playoffs, but two huge point-scoring opportunities if they advance.

* Priest Holmes/Kolby Smith, Chiefs: DEN, TEN, DET

Same schedule as Tomlinson, but the Titans matchup in the middle. The starter by Week 14 will be worth considering in two of these matchups.

* Joseph Addai, Colts: BAL, OAK, HOU

Like Tomlinson, Addai gets two great matchups if he survives the first week.

* Laurence Maroney, Patriots: PIT, NYJ, MIA

Maroney should probably be benched against Pittsburgh, but he should be able top 100 total yards against the Jets and Dolphins.

* Ahman Green/Ron Dayne, Texans: TB, DEN, @ IND

Cover two teams like Tampa and Indy aren't great against the run. Denver is among the worst.

Toughest Three Fantasy Playoff RB Schedules

1. Cedric Benson, Bears: WAS, MIN, GB

More good news for Benson owners! No favorable matchups here as the Redskins are solid against the run, Minnesota is among the best, and the Packers are quite good.

2. Brian Westbrook, Eagles: NYG, DAL, NO

Trouble on the horizon? All three of these defenses have improved against the run during the year. Luckily, Westbrook can beat you in a lot of ways. Just don't expect monster games.

3. Kevin Jones, Lions: DAL, SD, KC

Like Westbrook, Jones might be better off trying to gain yards in the passing game. The Cowboys are good run defenders, and the Chargers are solid expect when they face Adrian Peterson

And another thing

* Thomas Jones' blah season could get a pick-me-up against the Browns in Week 14, but his owners may want to bench him after that. New England and then Tennessee is the hardest schedule possible in Weeks 15-16.

Top Three Fantasy Playoff QB/WR/TE Schedules

1. Cleveland Browns (Derek Anderson, Braylon Edwards, Kellen Winslow): NYJ, BUF, CIN

The rich get richer. The Browns will have to survive the next two regular season weeks (PIT, BAL), but their schedule is among the best in the league after that. They have a potentially explosive championship week matchup against the Bengals. Derek Anderson should remain in lineups in the playoffs. This is a caution to not sell high on your Browns.

2. San Francisco 49ers (Alex Smith, Darrell Jackson, Vernon Davis): MIN, CIN, TB

Sometimes the matchup only means so much. Smith and Jackson are only fantasy options if they show serious improvement before Week 14. Davis should continue his resurgence.

3. Seattle Seahawks (Matt Hasselbeck, Deion Branch, D.J. Hackett, Bobby Engram): AZ, CAR, BAL

The matchups aren't outstanding, but Seattle is one of the rare teams that don't play an above average pass defense. Baltimore is decidedly average.

About those Patriots

It's safe to say that most Tom Brady and Randy Moss owners will be in the playoffs. Pittsburgh @ New England really stands out as a Week 14 matchup. There are a ton of offensive stars in this game in what figures to be a relative defensive struggle. Think Colts vs. Pats. After that game, the Patriots should return to the merry ways against the Jets and Dolphins. Brady owners who get to the semifinals may be difficult to beat.

Toughest Three Fantasy QB/WR/TE Schedules

1. Houston (Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson, Kevin Walter, Owen Daniels): TB, DEN, IND

Yikes. The Bucs and Colts are elite, while the Broncos have been hot and cold This is one reason Andre Johnson owners shouldn't get their hopes up too high regarding his return. He still would be difficult to sit in most formats.

2. Jaguars (David Garrard, um … Dennis Northcutt): CAR, PIT, OAK

Tough matchups, but no one is counting on the Jaguars anyway.

3A. Chiefs (Dwayne Bowe, Tony Gonzalez): DEN, TEN, DET

Kansas City also faces the Broncos this week, so we'll see if they can pass against them.

3B. Chargers (Philip Rivers, Chris Chambers, Antonio Gates): TEN, DET, DEN

The Lions have improved, and the Titans are among the best. Rivers and Chambers owners shouldn't expect them to improve upon their slow seasons.

Other Passing Game Downgrades

Jets (Kellen Clemens, Jerricho Cotchery, Laveranues Coles): CLE, NE, TEN

The Jets wideouts are among the most consistent in the league, and should score big in the opening week of the fantasy playoffs. After that, however, Coles and Cotchery owners shouldn't expect fireworks against two of the best pass defenses in the league.

***

Now on to the Week 10 rankings. We'll take out the comments this week and break down the games more on Pancake Blocks. We also talk starts and sits on the NBC Fantasy Fix.

Week 10 Quarterbacks

RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
1Peyton Manningat SD -
2Drew Breesvs. STL -
3Tony Romoat NYG -
4Carson Palmerat BAL -
5Ben Roethlisbergervs. CLE -
6Brett Favrevs. MIN -
7Matt Hasselbeckvs. SF
8Jon Kitnaat ARZ
9Marc Bulgerat NO -
10Derek Andersonat PIT -
11Donovan McNabbat WAS -
12Eli Manningvs. DAL -
13Kurt Warnervs. DET
14J.P. Losmanat MIA -
15Steve McNairvs. CINProbable(groin)
16Brian Grieseat OAK -
17Jay Cutlerat KCExpected to start
18Cleo Lemonvs. BUF -
19Joey Harringtonat CAR -
20Jason Campbellvs. PHI -
21Vince Youngvs. JACProbable(quadriceps)
22Damon Huardvs. DEN -
23Josh McCownvs. CHIProbable(foot)
24Philip Riversvs. IND -
25David Garrardat TENGame-Time Decision, Quinn Gray could start
26Vinny Testaverdevs. ATLQuestionable(achilles) Matt Moore could start
27Alex Smithat SEAProbable(shoulder)
28Brooks Bollingerat GB -



Week 10 Running Backs

RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
1LaDainian Tomlinsonvs. IND -
2Adrian Petersonat GB -
3Brian Westbrookat WAS -
4Joseph Addaiat SD -
5Willie Parkervs. CLE -
6Reggie Bushvs. STLQuestionable(knee)
7Marshawn Lynchat MIA -
8Willis McGaheevs. CIN -
9Brandon Jacobsvs. DAL -
10Steven Jacksonat NOProbable(back)
11Kevin Jonesat ARZ -
12Clinton Portisvs. PHI -
13Marion Barberat NYG -
14Frank Goreat SEAQuestionable(ankle)
15LenDale Whitevs. JACProbable(toe)
16Edgerrin Jamesvs. DET -
17Cedric Bensonat OAK -
18Justin Fargasvs. CHI -
19Travis Henryat KCQuestionable(knee)
20Jesse Chatmanvs. BUF -
21DeShaun Fostervs. ATL -
22Maurice Jones-Drewat TEN -
23Jamal Lewisat PIT -
24Priest Holmesvs. DEN -
25Warrick Dunnat CAR -
26Ryan Grantvs. MINProbable(head)
27Shaun Alexandervs. SFMight be Game-time Decision
28Kenny Watsonat BAL -
29Julius Jonesat NYG -
30Fred Taylorat TEN -
31Selvin Youngat KCMove up 16 spots if Henry is out
32Chester Taylorat GB -
33Rudi Johnsonat BAL
34Jerious Norwoodat CARQuestionable (ankle)
35Kolby Smithvs. DEN -
36Reuben Droughnsvs. DALFilling in for Ward
37LaMont Jordanvs. CHI -
38Adrian Petersonat OAK -
39Najeh Davenportvs. CLE -
40DeAngelo Williamsvs. ATL -
41Kenton Keithat SD -
42Michael Robinsonat SEA -
43Maurice Morrisvs. SFMove him up 20 spots if Alexander is out
44Ladell Bettsvs. PHI -
45Michael Turnervs. IND -
46Brian Leonardat NO -
47Chris Henryvs. JAC -
48T.J. Duckettat ARZ -
49Maurice Hicksat SEAMove up 15 spots if Gore is out
50Correll Buckhalterat WAS -
51Jason Wrightat PIT -
52J.J. Arringtonvs. DET -
53Brandon Jacksonvs. MIN -



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Gregg Rosenthal is the Managing Editor of Rotoworld.com and has directed its football content since 2003. He co-hosts the NBC Fantasy Fix and covers the NFL for NBCSports.com and Profootballtalk.com. Gregg was named the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Football Writer of the Year in 2007, but did not repeat in '08. He's out for vengeance now on Twitter.
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