Note: The Week 10 Rankings are after our Fantasy Playoff Preview. They were updated Friday afternoon.
This year's Billy Volek is out there. Volek will forever be synonymous with monstrously performances that happen to fall during the fantasy playoffs. It happens every season; last season Ron Dayne churned out 334 rushing yards and five scores in Fantasy Nation's three-week celebration. And the playoffs are closer than you think.
Vince Vaughn plugging Fred Clause on Monday Night Football was the turning point for me. Once the holiday commercials have arrived, you know we're getting close.
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A lot of publications try to project favorable fantasy playoff schedules before the season, but it's not that useful. NFL teams, especially defenses, are too unpredictable. The Titans looked like one of the worst defenses in the league before Week 1 and now may be the toughest matchup in the league. Defense can even fluctuate greatly within a season.
With that said, half the season is complete and we have enough material to grade the best and worst schedules for the fantasy playoffs. The biggest reason why Volek exploded in 2004 was the schedule, so let's see if we can unearth this year's hero. For more boring details on how I arrived at these subjective rankings, head over to Pancake Blocks.
And we haven't forgotten the Week 10 rankings. Skip ahead if that's what you are looking for.
Shameless plug: Season Pass will have new feature this week: The Top 200 players overall for the fantasy playoff weeks. We are offering a $5 discount on our Season Pass package – just enter the discount code "PLAYOFFS" (all caps). The playoff ranks will go up every Friday.
Top Three Fantasy Playoff RB Schedules
1. Jamal Lewis, Browns: NYJ, BUF, CIN
Lewis is on the downside of his career, but he'll be useful in the fantasy playoffs. Who knew he was joining a juggernaut offense?
Buffalo's improving defense is a neutral matchup, but the Jets and Bengals are among the league's worst. And since both the Jets and Bengals also struggle against the pass, Lewis should have plenty of scoring opportunities.
2. Ryan Grant, Packers: OAK, STL, CHI
Another reason to like Grant as an asset down the stretch. The Raiders are possibly the worst rush defense, and the Rams and Bears aren't very good. If he stays healthy, I don't see Grant losing this job.
3. Earnest Graham, Bucs: HOU, ATL, SF
The matchups don't leap off the page, but they are all favorable. Graham could be a decent RB2 these weeks if Jon Gruden hasn't gone to a committee.
Other Notable RB Upgrades
* LaDainian Tomlinson, Chargers: TEN, DET, DEN
LT2 owners get a very difficult matchup to open the playoffs, but two huge point-scoring opportunities if they advance.
* Priest Holmes/Kolby Smith, Chiefs: DEN, TEN, DET
Same schedule as Tomlinson, but the Titans matchup in the middle. The starter by Week 14 will be worth considering in two of these matchups.
* Joseph Addai, Colts: BAL, OAK, HOU
Like Tomlinson, Addai gets two great matchups if he survives the first week.
* Laurence Maroney, Patriots: PIT, NYJ, MIA
Maroney should probably be benched against Pittsburgh, but he should be able top 100 total yards against the Jets and Dolphins.
* Ahman Green/Ron Dayne, Texans: TB, DEN, @ IND
Cover two teams like Tampa and Indy aren't great against the run. Denver is among the worst.
Toughest Three Fantasy Playoff RB Schedules
1. Cedric Benson, Bears: WAS, MIN, GB
More good news for Benson owners! No favorable matchups here as the Redskins are solid against the run, Minnesota is among the best, and the Packers are quite good.
2. Brian Westbrook, Eagles: NYG, DAL, NO
Trouble on the horizon? All three of these defenses have improved against the run during the year. Luckily, Westbrook can beat you in a lot of ways. Just don't expect monster games.
3. Kevin Jones, Lions: DAL, SD, KC
Like Westbrook, Jones might be better off trying to gain yards in the passing game. The Cowboys are good run defenders, and the Chargers are solid expect when they face Adrian Peterson
And another thing
* Thomas Jones' blah season could get a pick-me-up against the Browns in Week 14, but his owners may want to bench him after that. New England and then Tennessee is the hardest schedule possible in Weeks 15-16.
Top Three Fantasy Playoff QB/WR/TE Schedules
1. Cleveland Browns (Derek Anderson, Braylon Edwards, Kellen Winslow): NYJ, BUF, CIN
The rich get richer. The Browns will have to survive the next two regular season weeks (PIT, BAL), but their schedule is among the best in the league after that. They have a potentially explosive championship week matchup against the Bengals. Derek Anderson should remain in lineups in the playoffs. This is a caution to not sell high on your Browns.
2. San Francisco 49ers (Alex Smith, Darrell Jackson, Vernon Davis): MIN, CIN, TB
Sometimes the matchup only means so much. Smith and Jackson are only fantasy options if they show serious improvement before Week 14. Davis should continue his resurgence.
3. Seattle Seahawks (Matt Hasselbeck, Deion Branch, D.J. Hackett, Bobby Engram): AZ, CAR, BAL
The matchups aren't outstanding, but Seattle is one of the rare teams that don't play an above average pass defense. Baltimore is decidedly average.
About those Patriots
It's safe to say that most Tom Brady and Randy Moss owners will be in the playoffs. Pittsburgh @ New England really stands out as a Week 14 matchup. There are a ton of offensive stars in this game in what figures to be a relative defensive struggle. Think Colts vs. Pats. After that game, the Patriots should return to the merry ways against the Jets and Dolphins. Brady owners who get to the semifinals may be difficult to beat.
Toughest Three Fantasy QB/WR/TE Schedules
1. Houston (Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson, Kevin Walter, Owen Daniels): TB, DEN, IND
Yikes. The Bucs and Colts are elite, while the Broncos have been hot and cold This is one reason Andre Johnson owners shouldn't get their hopes up too high regarding his return. He still would be difficult to sit in most formats.
2. Jaguars (David Garrard, um … Dennis Northcutt): CAR, PIT, OAK
Tough matchups, but no one is counting on the Jaguars anyway.
3A. Chiefs (Dwayne Bowe, Tony Gonzalez): DEN, TEN, DET
Kansas City also faces the Broncos this week, so we'll see if they can pass against them.
3B. Chargers (Philip Rivers, Chris Chambers, Antonio Gates): TEN, DET, DEN
The Lions have improved, and the Titans are among the best. Rivers and Chambers owners shouldn't expect them to improve upon their slow seasons.
Other Passing Game Downgrades
Jets (Kellen Clemens, Jerricho Cotchery, Laveranues Coles): CLE, NE, TEN
The Jets wideouts are among the most consistent in the league, and should score big in the opening week of the fantasy playoffs. After that, however, Coles and Cotchery owners shouldn't expect fireworks against two of the best pass defenses in the league.
***
Now on to the Week 10 rankings. We'll take out the comments this week and break down the games more on Pancake Blocks. We also talk starts and sits on the NBC Fantasy Fix.
Week 10 Quarterbacks
| Rank | Player Name | Opponent | Notes |
| 1 | Peyton Manning | at SD | - |
| 2 | Drew Brees | vs. STL | - |
| 3 | Tony Romo | at NYG | - |
| 4 | Carson Palmer | at BAL | - |
| 5 | Ben Roethlisberger | vs. CLE | - |
| 6 | Brett Favre | vs. MIN | - |
| 7 | Matt Hasselbeck | vs. SF | |
| 8 | Jon Kitna | at ARZ | |
| 9 | Marc Bulger | at NO | - |
| 10 | Derek Anderson | at PIT | - |
| 11 | Donovan McNabb | at WAS | - |
| 12 | Eli Manning | vs. DAL | - |
| 13 | Kurt Warner | vs. DET | |
| 14 | J.P. Losman | at MIA | - |
| 15 | Steve McNair | vs. CIN | Probable(groin) |
| 16 | Brian Griese | at OAK | - |
| 17 | Jay Cutler | at KC | Expected to start |
| 18 | Cleo Lemon | vs. BUF | - |
| 19 | Joey Harrington | at CAR | - |
| 20 | Jason Campbell | vs. PHI | - |
| 21 | Vince Young | vs. JAC | Probable(quadriceps) |
| 22 | Damon Huard | vs. DEN | - |
| 23 | Josh McCown | vs. CHI | Probable(foot) |
| 24 | Philip Rivers | vs. IND | - |
| 25 | David Garrard | at TEN | Game-Time Decision, Quinn Gray could start |
| 26 | Vinny Testaverde | vs. ATL | Questionable(achilles) Matt Moore could start |
| 27 | Alex Smith | at SEA | Probable(shoulder) |
| 28 | Brooks Bollinger | at GB | - |
Week 10 Running Backs
| Rank | Player Name | Opponent | Notes |
| 1 | LaDainian Tomlinson | vs. IND | - |
| 2 | Adrian Peterson | at GB | - |
| 3 | Brian Westbrook | at WAS | - |
| 4 | Joseph Addai | at SD | - |
| 5 | Willie Parker | vs. CLE | - |
| 6 | Reggie Bush | vs. STL | Questionable(knee) |
| 7 | Marshawn Lynch | at MIA | - |
| 8 | Willis McGahee | vs. CIN | - |
| 9 | Brandon Jacobs | vs. DAL | - |
| 10 | Steven Jackson | at NO | Probable(back) |
| 11 | Kevin Jones | at ARZ | - |
| 12 | Clinton Portis | vs. PHI | - |
| 13 | Marion Barber | at NYG | - |
| 14 | Frank Gore | at SEA | Questionable(ankle) |
| 15 | LenDale White | vs. JAC | Probable(toe) |
| 16 | Edgerrin James | vs. DET | - |
| 17 | Cedric Benson | at OAK | - |
| 18 | Justin Fargas | vs. CHI | - |
| 19 | Travis Henry | at KC | Questionable(knee) |
| 20 | Jesse Chatman | vs. BUF | - |
| 21 | DeShaun Foster | vs. ATL | - |
| 22 | Maurice Jones-Drew | at TEN | - |
| 23 | Jamal Lewis | at PIT | - |
| 24 | Priest Holmes | vs. DEN | - |
| 25 | Warrick Dunn | at CAR | - |
| 26 | Ryan Grant | vs. MIN | Probable(head) |
| 27 | Shaun Alexander | vs. SF | Might be Game-time Decision |
| 28 | Kenny Watson | at BAL | - |
| 29 | Julius Jones | at NYG | - |
| 30 | Fred Taylor | at TEN | - |
| 31 | Selvin Young | at KC | Move up 16 spots if Henry is out |
| 32 | Chester Taylor | at GB | - |
| 33 | Rudi Johnson | at BAL | |
| 34 | Jerious Norwood | at CAR | Questionable (ankle) |
| 35 | Kolby Smith | vs. DEN | - |
| 36 | Reuben Droughns | vs. DAL | Filling in for Ward |
| 37 | LaMont Jordan | vs. CHI | - |
| 38 | Adrian Peterson | at OAK | - |
| 39 | Najeh Davenport | vs. CLE | - |
| 40 | DeAngelo Williams | vs. ATL | - |
| 41 | Kenton Keith | at SD | - |
| 42 | Michael Robinson | at SEA | - |
| 43 | Maurice Morris | vs. SF | Move him up 20 spots if Alexander is out |
| 44 | Ladell Betts | vs. PHI | - |
| 45 | Michael Turner | vs. IND | - |
| 46 | Brian Leonard | at NO | - |
| 47 | Chris Henry | vs. JAC | - |
| 48 | T.J. Duckett | at ARZ | - |
| 49 | Maurice Hicks | at SEA | Move up 15 spots if Gore is out |
| 50 | Correll Buckhalter | at WAS | - |
| 51 | Jason Wright | at PIT | - |
| 52 | J.J. Arrington | vs. DET | - |
| 53 | Brandon Jackson | vs. MIN | - |
>>Click Here to go to Page 2 of Goal Line Stand
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Gregg Rosenthal is the Managing Editor of Rotoworld.com and has directed its football content since 2003. He co-hosts the NBC Fantasy Fix and covers the NFL for NBCSports.com and Profootballtalk.com. Gregg was named the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Football Writer of the Year in 2007, but did not repeat in '08. He's out for vengeance now on Twitter. |
Contact Gregg Rosenthal
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