These rankings were updated Friday evening

As FootballOutsiders points out, it's National Jump to Conclusions week. The Bengals offense is dead, Michael Turner is the messiah, and Marc Bulger has forever morphed into the late career Drew Bledsoe.

The question every owner must answer: How much truly changes in a week?

I was in a draft that took place Wednesday night that opened my eyes to how quickly perceptions can change. (Our annual NBC league was delayed as people got back from the Olympics, so we were forced to start late). Within today's ranking notes, I'll mention some of the draft results to highlight what players legitimately saw their value change in Week 1 (Selvin Young, Philip Rivers) and which performances were a mirage. Fantasy owners love action and transactions, but don't forget that staying the course is often our best move.

For projections of all the rankings below, head to Season Pass. I'll also be chatting there with subscribers on Friday afternoon.

Week 2 Quarterbacks

Rank	Player Name	Opponent	Notes
1	Tony Romo	vs. PHI	-
2	Donovan McNabb	at DAL	-
3	Peyton Manning	at MIN	-
4	Ben Roethlisberger	at CLE	Will start
5	Jay Cutler	vs. SD
6	Drew Brees	at WAS	-
7	Kurt Warner	vs. MIA	-
8	Eli Manning	at STL	-
9	Aaron Rodgers	at DET	-
10	Carson Palmer	vs. TEN	Shaky option?
11	Derek Anderson	vs. PIT	-
12	David Garrard	vs. BUF	-
13	Brett Favre	vs. NE	-
14	Philip Rivers	at DEN	Regaining mobility
15	Matt Schaub	vs. BAL	-
16	Brian Griese	vs. ATL	-
17	Matt Hasselbeck	vs. SF	-
18	Jon Kitna	vs. GB	-
19	Jake Delhomme	vs. CHI	-
20	Matt Cassel	at NYJ	-
21	Marc Bulger	vs. NYG	-
22	Jason Campbell	vs. NO	-
23	J.T. O'Sullivan	at SEA	-
24	Tarvaris Jackson	vs. IND	Probable(knee)
25	Chad Pennington	at ARZ	-
26	Trent Edwards	at JAC	-
27	Kerry Collins	at CIN	-
28	Damon Huard	vs. OAK	-
29	Kyle Orton	at CAR	-
30	JaMarcus Russell	at KC	-
31	Matt Ryan	at TB	-
32	Joe Flacco	at HOU	-

QB Notes: Let's start with Bulger, who quarterbacked an incomparably terrible Rams offense Sunday. The play that summed up the effort for me on tape, other than the six false starts, was on a first half play in which the Rams max protected Bulger. Three Eagles landed on top of him anyway. With Torry Holt double teamed, the Rams wideouts just didn't create any separation. In the draft last night, Bulger went 171st! This was after Trent Edwards and Matt Ryan. After all the good times Bulger has given fantasy owners, I felt guilty, like I should call him to apologize. Bulger is not that bad and he should have gone way before the young guys. You can't play him this week against a strong Giants defensive line, but he's still a top-20 quarterback. … I was confident Donovan McNabb was a top-seven quarterback all along, but it was nice to see his young receivers perform so well. The second year after ACL surgery is a beautiful thing. … Ben Roethlisberger should play this week and he's got a great matchup. With Sean Jones out for Cleveland, the Browns are going to struggle preventing big plays.

Jay Cutler went with the 47th pick in our draft, a leap that was understandable. With Tom Brady out for the season, my top two tiers of quarterbacks are down to six and there is a huge drop-off after Cutler. Some of the QB options after the drop (Vince Young, Matt Hasselbeck, David Garrard) have legitimate concerns, making this top six more valuable. … Garrard fell to the 114th pick, which was too far. All the offensive line injuries will hurt the Jaguars, but they are strong enough to stay solid. I expect all the injuries to effect the running game more.

One player whose season-long value did change in Week 1 was Philip Rivers. I didn't expect him to look so strong coming off ACL surgery. It wasn't just his numbers, but his amazing movement and confidence in the pocket. The pass rush didn't bother him. In fact, he avoided many hits and threw on the run. He still must prove he can be consistent (a problem in the past), but I'm far less concerned about his post-surgery accuracy. He was far more comfortable than Carson Palmer, Daunte Culpepper, or Donovan McNabb after their surgery.

Matt Hasselbeck's value is legitimately lower than it was a week ago. Until the team has Bobby Engram and Deion Branch back, he'll do well to be a solid QB2. He's a matchup play.
Some players I wouldn't jump to conclusions on: