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Adam Levitan
Football Daily Dose
February 4, 2010
The Martz Factor
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It's not very often that a simple offensive coordinator hire can change the entire fantasy outlook of a team. Mike Martz is just that special.

First of all, let's note that Martz wasn't anywhere near the Bears' first choice. Will that affect how much power he has over the offense? I doubt it.

Head coach Lovie Smith used to say the Bears "get off the bus running." That's not going to fly with Martz, known as one of the most strong-minded coaches in the game. While Martz will adjust to the weather and the shoddy grass at Soldier Field, he will remain a pass-first kind of play caller. It's in his blood.

Here's a look at what is on Martz's resume:

* Rams 1999 (offensive coordinator): The year before Martz arrived in St. Louis (1998), the Rams ranked 27th in total offense at 279.5 yards per game. In 1999, they ranked first in total offense at 400.8 yards per game. Kurt Warner was the No. 1 fantasy QB that year. Marshall Faulk was the No. 2 fantasy RB, Isaac Bruce was the No. 6 fantasy WR and Roland Williams was the No. 13 fantasy TE.

* Rams 2003 (head coach): In his first full season without Warner as his starter, Martz showed that his system works with other quarterbacks. The Rams ranked ninth in total offense at 341.1 yards per game. Marc Bulger was the No. 7 fantasy QB. Marshall Faulk was the No. 16 fantasy RB even though he only played in 11 games. Torry Holt was the No. 2 fantasy WR and Isaac Bruce was the No. 18 fantasy WR.

* Lions 2006 (offensive coordinator): In a stunt of David Copperfield proportions, Martz turned Jon Kitna into a fantasy stud. In his first year under Martz, Kitna broke the 4,000 yard mark for the first time in his career and finished up as the No. 6 fantasy QB. Roy Williams, now exposed as a below average receiver in Dallas, was the No. 10 fantasy WR.

I could keep listing examples of Martz turning water into wine, but you get the point. The guy makes good players elite fantasy options and mediocre players solid in fantasy.

OK, so here's the bottom line on Martz's impact on the Bears:

Jay Cutler -- Before Martz, Cutler was a guy I'd let someone else take a chance on next season. Now, I'm targeting him. He'll take a lot of hits and throw a lot of picks (again), but he'll throw the ball downfield more and his attempts numbers will be huge.

Matt Forte -- In PPR leagues, Forte will be an animal. As a Lion, Kevin Jones (who happens to be a Bear now), had 61 catches in 12 games under Martz. Forte is a better receiver than Jones.

Greg Olsen -- Martz is notorious for not using his tight ends. Vernon Davis had just 31 catches in 2008 with Martz as his offensive coordinator. But with Olsen, Martz says it will be different:

"In the past, we've always had these big, physical tight ends who really we tried to utilize in the running game and as pass blockers and then as wide receivers," Martz said. "Greg is different. This is more of back in the Ernie Zampese era with the Kellen Winslows and those guys that the Chargers moved around and used him as a blocker. But when you can get … him matched up on linebackers and safeties, it's going to be a mismatch. And then his ability to still stand in there and slug it out, he's a complete player from every respect at that position.'

Don't buy that. It's not worth the risk and Olsen's 2010 outlook has taken a major hit.

Devin Hester, Devin Aromashodu, Earl Bennett -- Let's wait and see how the depth chart shakes out. If Bennett ends up in the slot and Aromashodu gets a full complement on the outside, it's party time. I'd target them both as value picks.

SUPER BOWL NOTES
Dwight Freeney (ankle) says he's getting better, but at this point it looks like he'll only play in pass-rushing situations. Raheem Brock is his backup. … Jerraud Powers (foot) didn't practice Wednesday but says he'll be ready. We'll see. Jacob Lacey is his backup, but the real issue is with Tim Jennings. The Colts can't be comfortable with Jennings out there vs. Drew Brees' receivers. … Jeremy Shockey (knee) practiced Wednesday but his exact role for the Super Bowl is unclear. David Thomas will be a factor. … Robert Meacham (ankle) is practicing in full.

RANDOM THOUGHTS
Plaxico Burress says he's been doing push-ups and sit-ups four days a week in prison to stay in shape. Why not seven? … New Browns GM Tom Heckert questioned whether Jerome Harrison can carry a full load for an entire season. Here we go again. … Don't believe that report that the Eagles are keeping Michael Vick for a second. If the Eagles told everyone they were dumping him, then how could they have any leverage in trade talks? … Wes Welker had successful knee surgery to repair his blown up knee and says his goal is to be ready for Week 1. Even if he doesn't start the season on PUP, I'm staying away. … Everyone seems really down on Matt Leinart. If his ADP bears that out, I'll gladly take a gamble as a QB2.



 

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