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Top 20 impact rookies
Rotoworld's experts analyze which of this year's NFL Draft class will put up the biggest numbers in 2011.
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1 of 22
1. Daniel Thomas, RB, Dolphins
The Dolphins gave up three draft picks to land Thomas, so the odds of free agents
Ricky Williams
and/or Ronnie Brown coming back are remote. While GM Jeff Ireland has said he wants to add a "scat back," no one is going to threaten the 230-pound Thomas on early downs. We wouldn't rule out 250 carries as a rookie.
2. Mark Ingram, RB, Saints
It's crowded right now in coach Sean Payton's situational backfield, but Ingram is a good bet to rise to the top.
Pierre Thomas
can never stay healthy and is coming off ankle surgery.
Reggie Bush
's massive salary is expected to be dumped. And
Chris Ivory
is a former undrafted free agent coming off a major foot injury. On top of all that, the Saints gave up their 2011 second-round pick and 2012 first-rounder to snag Ingram, the 2009 Heisman Trophy winner.
3. A.J. Green, WR, Bengals
We don't know who will be quarterbacking the Bengals, but we can safely pencil in Green opposite
Jerome Simpson
with
Jordan Shipley
in the slot. Green may very well be the best pure offensive player in this year's rookie class, projecting as a difference-making deep threat right out of the gate. He should lead the Bengals in targets as a rookie.
4. Roy Helu, RB, Redskins
We have all seen what coach Mike Shanahan can do with relatively unknown running backs. Helu, a favorite sleeper of draft experts like Evan Silva, fits perfectly as a one-cut, downhill runner in Washington's zone-blocking scheme. We like him to beat out injury-prone
Ryan Torain
to win the starting job sooner rather than later.
5. Greg Little, WR, Browns
Off-field woes are the main reason Little continues to fly under the radar. But at 6'2/231 with running back skills after the catch, he immediately steps in as the Browns' most talented receiver. On a roster devoid of playmakers, the Browns will rightfully feel the need to get the ball in Little's hands often.
6. Julio Jones, WR, Falcons
Atlanta gave up the farm to move up for Jones. By surrendering their 2011 and 2012 first-round picks, 2011 and 2012 fourth-round picks and 2011 second-round pick, they are telling us that Jones will have a major offensive role right out of the gate. The only problem is that Atlanta's first option remains the running game and the second option is
Roddy White
.
7. Ryan Williams, RB, Cardinals
Due to injuries, inconsistency and fumbles,
Beanie Wells
has disappointed more than he's shined. The Cardinals say they aren't sending a message to Beanie, but using the No. 38 pick on Williams when you have holes all over the field speaks volumes. Williams is a plus receiver out of the backfield and will immediately threaten the workloads of both Wells and
Tim Hightower
.
8. Mikel Leshoure, RB, Lions
We knew durability would be an issue with
Jahvid Best
as soon as he was drafted. And after an injury-plagued rookie campaign, Leshoure is certain to have a major role. At 6'0/227, the second-round pick will be the 2011 goal-line back. And with the Lions' offense looking explosive, Leshoure is a good bet to have plenty of scoring opportunities.
9. Leonard Hankerson, WR, Redskins
The cupboard is bare at all the Redskins' skill positions, including wide receiver.
Santana Moss
is a free agent, leaving deep threat
Anthony Armstrong
and disappointing
Malcolm Kelly
atop the depth chart. Hankerson, who broke Michael Irvin's single-season touchdown catches record at Miami, has the look of a No. 1 receiver. His upside will have a lot to do with who ends up quarterbacking the Redskins.
10. Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Chiefs
The Chiefs were absolutely desperate for a No. 2 receiver after using street free agents and practice squad talent at the position last year. Enter Baldwin, who has the look of a premier red-zone threat at 6'4/228. Still, the Chiefs led the NFL in rushing attempts last year at 34.8 per game and will likely be around that number again. As the No. 2 receiver, Baldwin's upside is limited.
11. Delone Carter, RB, Colts
It's a little odd that the pass-first Colts drafted a running back with limited receiving skills, but they were desperate for short-yardage help. Carter, who is built like a bowling ball, can certainly help there. However, don't expect the Colts to let free agent
Joseph Addai
walk because Carter is in the mix. The rookie figures to be used in a very specific role.
12. Shane Vereen, RB, Patriots
Chris Wesseling ranked Vereen 7th on his list, six spots higher than anyone else. "I think he's immediately the best running back in New England.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis
is basically a kill the clock/take the air out of the ball back, which the Patriots got to do a ton in the second half last year. Not sure they can count on that again." Vereen fits nicely in New England, but the amount of reps in this crowded backfield will be a major obstacle.
13. DeMarco Murray, RB, Cowboys
The Cowboys couldn't pass on the impressive measurables Murray has, but effectiveness is another story. He averaged just 4.24 yards per carry in his final two seasons at Oklahoma and proved to be extremely injury prone. Talk that he'll beat out
Felix Jones
for the feature back job is a stretch -- even taking
Tashard Choice
's backup gig won't come easy.
14. Titus Young, WR, Lions
The smallish Young fits perfectly as a deep threat, third receiver and kick returner for the Lions. Detroit certainly runs enough three-wide sets for Young to be on the radar, but he'll have to earn his way up the totem pole.
Calvin Johnson
,
Nate Burleson
,
Jahvid Best
and
Brandon Pettigrew
all need their mouths fed in the passing game.
15. Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, Falcons
Jerious Norwood
was never able to fill the scat back job, so the tiny Rodgers is going to get a chance. But at 5'6/196, Rodgers is going to struggle badly in pass protection. If he can't beat out
Jason Snelling
for third-down reps, there isn't going to be much to see here in fantasy.
16. Cam Newton, QB, Panthers
Gregg Rosenthal ranked the No. 1 overall pick 8th on his list, 10 spots ahead of anyone else. "I think Newton will start sooner than later and has the skill set to be a decent QB2 with a ceiling like
Vince Young
's rookie year. That's better than most of these backup running backs and shaky wide receivers." The fact that Newton ran for 1,473 yards and 20 touchdowns at Auburn last season is intriguing.
17. Torrey Smith, WR, Ravens
With slow, declining veterans
Anquan Boldin
and
Derrick Mason
atop the depth chart, the Ravens badly needed a deep threat for
Joe Flacco
's big arm. Smith can get vertical right away at the NFL level, but the main concern here is targets. Smith will likely need an injury to Boldin or Mason to truly be relevant.
18. Vincent Brown, WR, Chargers
The Chargers are tentatively expected to bring back both
Vincent Jackson
and
Malcom Floyd
. Therefore Brown, a possession receiver, is more appetizing as a keeper prospect than re-draft. Nevertheless, anyone on a
Philip Rivers
quarterbacked team bears watching. Rivers led the NFL last year in passing yards and yards per attempt.
19. Kendall Hunter, RB, 49ers
Hunter will start off as a change-of-pace back behind workhorse
Frank Gore
, but may be more talented than
Anthony Dixon
. If Gore were to go down, Hunter projects as the man to own based on his all-around game. He has plus receiving and pass protection skills.
Brian Westbrook
is gone.
20. Stevan Ridley, RB, Patriots
Ridley is a bruiser that is an immediate threat to
BenJarvus Green-Ellis
' early-down role. He's also part of a four-headed monster at running back and will therefore be used situationally. Likely to enter the season fourth on the depth chart, Ridley is hard to get excited about.
ALSO RECEIVING VOTES
21.
Alex Green
, RB, Packers
22.
Christian Ponder
(pictured), QB, Vikings
23.
Edmond Gates
, WR, Dolphins
24.
Randall Cobb
, WR, Packers
25.
Taiwan Jones
, RB, Raiders
26.
Kyle Rudolph
, TE, Vikings
27.
Lance Kendricks
, TE, Rams
28.
Kris Durham
, WR, Seahawks
29.
Greg Salas
, WR, Rams
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