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Waiver Wired: Week 4's top pickups

Chris Wesseling breaks down the best players who still might be available in your league.
QB Christian Ponder, Vikings
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QB Jake Locker, Titans
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QB Andy Dalton, Bengals
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QB Shaun Hill, Lions
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QB Kevin Kolb, Cardinals
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RB Ryan Williams, Cardinals
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RB Jacquizz Rodgers, Falcons
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RB Lamar Miller, Dolphins
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RB Daniel Thomas, Dolphins
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RB Bilal Powell, Jets
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RB Ronnie Hillman, Broncos
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RB Tashard Choice, Bills
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RB Lance Ball, Broncos
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RB Watch List
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WR Leonard Hankerson, Redskins
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WR Donnie Avery, Colts
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WR Jerome Simpson, Vikings
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WR Ramses Barden, Giants
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WR Jon Baldwin, Chiefs
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WR Andrew Hawkins, Bengals
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WR Alshon Jeffery, Bears
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WR Golden Tate, Seahawks
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WR Watch List
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TE Kyle Rudolph, Vikings
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TE Fred Davis, Redskins
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TE Heath Miller, Steelers
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TE Dustin Keller, Jets
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TE Watch List
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Defense/Special Teams - Cardinals
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Defense/Special Teams - Cowboys
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Defense/Special Teams - Bengals
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QB Christian Ponder, Vikings

Outside of Matt Ryan and perhaps Robert Griffin III or Ben Roethlisberger, Ponder has played as well as any quarterback in the league in September. Lacking a true vertical threat, though, Ponder is just 14th in fantasy points. With Jerome Simpson due back from suspension this week, Ponder’s fantasy arrow is pointing up. This offense is more dangerous than commonly believed and Ponder is proving to be a high-end QB2 option.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.


Wesseling's Waiver Wired column

QB Jake Locker, Titans

Bouncing back with his second strong game in three outings, Locker exploded for 378 yards and 30 fantasy points in Week 3. There will be inconsistency because Locker doesn’t always play under control, but his upside is QB1 territory with Kenny Britt returning to form. Britt was inches away from a breakout game versus the Lions. With the Titans’ passing-game talent and running-game struggles, Locker should be owned in more than 38 percent of Yahoo leagues.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.


Wesseling's Waiver Wired column

QB Andy Dalton, Bengals

We recommended bailing on Dalton after a disappointing Week 1 performance, but he’s now cleared 300 yards with three scores apiece in each of his past two games. The Bengals offensive line has protected better than expected, and Andrew Hawkins and Armon Binns have stepped up as legit options beyond A.J. Green. Dalton is owned in  only half of Yahoo leagues. That number should be higher for the No. 7 fantasy quarterback.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.


Wesseling's Waiver Wired column

QB Shaun Hill, Lions

Coach Jim Schwartz revealed only that a decision would be made on Matthew Stafford’s (hamstring) status by Friday. CBS Sports reported the Lions are “unsure” of Stafford’s availability versus the Vikings, although ProFootballTalk hears the “expectation is that he should be OK.” Stafford owners can protect themselves from a game-time decision by picking up his reliable backup. Hill threw for 16 touchdowns and averaged 260 yards per game in 10 starts as an injury fill-in two years ago.

Recommendation: Worth a look as an injury fill-in.


Wesseling's Waiver Wired column

QB Kevin Kolb, Cardinals

John Skelton admitted that his ankle is still two weeks from being game-ready, but it doesn’t matter at this point. With vastly improved pocket presence in back-to-back wins versus the Pats and Eagles, Kolb finally has a relatively firm grip on the starting job. He would have cleared the 300-yard mark in Week 3 had Andre Roberts’ 79-yard pass play not been called back on a holding penalty. The shaky offensive line will continue to lead to inconsistency, but Kolb has earned a roster spot in the deepest of fantasy leagues.

Recommendation: Worth a look in deeper leagues.


Wesseling's Waiver Wired column

RB Ryan Williams, Cardinals

Beanie Wells suggested after Sunday’s game that he may be dealing with the dreaded turf toe injury that kills running-back production. Williams took over as the feature back, effectively killing the clock with a series of key first downs against a stout Eagles defense. He finally showed the burst we expected coming out of Virginia Tech and could have this backfield to himself for a few games. This week’s matchup is a tough one against the Dolphins’ shut-down run defense.

Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues.

RB Jacquizz Rodgers, Falcons

Don’t let Michael Turner’s garbage-time inflated snaps fool you. He struggled early on while Rodgers rotated in on early downs. Quizz actually led the backfield in snaps at San Diego, perhaps a sign of things to come. Inarguably a better fit for this pass-heavy offense, Rodgers could turn this backfield into a full-blown timeshare going forward. He’s still unowned in more than half of Yahoo leagues.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

RB Lamar Miller, Dolphins

The MRI on Reggie Bush’s left knee was negative, but it’s far from a certainty that he will be ready to play at Arizona this week. Miller isn’t trusted in pass protection and is still picking up Mike Sherman’s offense, but he’s clearly a superior runner to Daniel Thomas. The two would likely split touches if Bush does miss time, and Miller is the better bet for a big play or two.

Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues.

RB Daniel Thomas, Dolphins

With Reggie Bush sidelined by a knee injury, Thomas played 42 snaps in Week 3 compared to just 17 for Lamar Miller. Thomas was outplayed by the rookie, however, losing a fumble and showing no elusiveness while averaging just 3.9 yards per carry. If Bush’s knee keeps him this week, Thomas would be no more than a flex play against the Cardinals’ stingy defense.

Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues.

RB Bilal Powell, Jets

Powell took over for a struggling Shonn Greene on several key plays in Week 3, and coach Rex Ryan acknowledged that this could be a committee going forward. Powell isn’t that much better than Greene, though, and the schedule is brutal with matchups against the 49ers and Texans the next two weeks. With a chance to take over on early downs, Powell should be rostered in 12-team leagues. Just don’t get carried away with high expectations.

Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues.

RB Ronnie Hillman, Broncos

Knowshon Moreno was a healthy scratch in Week 3, allowing Hillman to make his debut with just two carries for seven yards. With Willis McGahee banged up, the Broncos opted for Lance Ball as the primary ball carrier in the second half. Much like fellow rookies Lamar Miller and David Wilson, Hillman isn’t yet trusted in playbook and pass protection to earn a major offensive role. While he does offer more long-term upside than Ball and Moreno, expectations should be limited for Week 4 even if McGahee sit out versus the Raiders.

Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues.

RB Tashard Choice, Bills

After taking over as the clear-cut feature back once C.J. Spiller went down with a shoulder injury, Choice now has the look of an iffy waiver pickup. Fred Jackson is giving himself a 70-75 percent chance of playing this week, and ESPN’s Chris Mortensen reported that the veteran will “probably” suit up versus the Patriots. Jackson is expected to practice Wednesday, leaving Choice as more of a change-of-pace option for Week 4.

Recommendation: Worth a look in deeper leagues.

RB Lance Ball, Broncos

The tight-lipped Broncos are calling Willis McGahee “day to day” after the starter was unable to return to Sunday’s game with a rib cartilage injury. If McGahee ends up missing Week 4 versus the Raiders, Ball could end up leading a committee attack with Knowshon Moreno and Ronnie Hillman. His value won’t clarify until later in the week, if at all.

Recommendation: Worth a look in deeper PPR leagues.

RB Watch List

Bryce Brown (pictured), Shaun Draughn, Javon Ringer

The Eagles are high on Brown’s running and receiving ability. He would be the primary beneficiary if LeSean McCoy misses time this season. … Draughn will see an uptick in touches if Peyton Hillis (ankle) sits out this week. … Hold off Ringer. Chris Johnson played better in Week 3, and Ringer is a mediocre talent.

WR Leonard Hankerson, Redskins

Coach Mike Shanahan stated Monday that Hankerson has “played well enough to earn a starting job.” Hank is expected to remain the “X” receiver for as long as Pierre Garcon’s foot keeps him out of the lineup. The inference is that Hankerson will then move to the “Z” spot once Garcon is healthy, although he could lose a few snaps to Josh Morgan at that point. Either way, Hankerson is worthy of a roster spot in 12-team leagues this week.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

WR Donnie Avery, Colts

Avery started over Austin Collie and played more snaps than Reggie Wayne in Week 3. With Collie now out for the season, Avery is locked in as the every-down starter opposite Wayne. Although he had just two catches versus the Jaguars, Avery has been targeted at least eight times in all three games thus far.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

WR Jerome Simpson, Vikings

We’ve been calling the Vikings offense a fantasy sleeper since the preseason. The one thing holding them back is the lack of a  legit vertical threat. Simpson figures to step in as the every-down “X” receiver with Adrian Peterson, Percy Harvin and Kyle Rudolph all drawing defensive attention toward the middle of the field. Simpson will likely fall short of WR3 consistency, but his talent is worthy of a flier.  

Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues.

WR Ramses Barden, Giants

Pat yourself on the back if you had the foresight to plug Barden in for his 138-yard coming out party last Thursday. If he’s still available in your league, however, you may have missed your window. Hakeem Nicks is scheduled to resume practicing this week and “definitely anticipates” playing against the Eagles on Monday night. Barden may have bypassed Domenik Hixon on the totem pole, but he’s far less attractive fantasy option if Nicks rejoins the lineup.

Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues.

WR Jon Baldwin, Chiefs

Baldwin’s snap count has been on the rise for three consecutive weeks, and he finally bypassed both Dexter McCluster and Steve Breason in Week 3. With McCluster (elbow) potentially sidelined for multiple weeks, Baldwin should be second in the passing-game pecking order behind only Dwayne Bowe. The question is whether Matt Cassel’s offense can support two fantasy receivers on a weekly basis.

Recommendation: Worth a look in deeper leagues.

WR Andrew Hawkins, Bengals
We love what we’ve seen from Hawkins with the ball in his hands. With a punt returner’s skill-set, he’s among the most dangerous after-catch slot receivers in the league. The dilemma for fantasy leagues is that the Bengals don’t go three-wide as much as most teams, leaving Hawkins’ snap count hovering around 50 percent. Among the top-15 fantasy receivers, Hawkins has the fewest targets (16) through three games. He’s been targeted just seven times the past two weeks.

Recommendation: Worth a look in deeper leagues.
WR Alshon Jeffery, Bears

Have the Bears finally conceded that Devin Hester isn’t a starting receiver? Jeffery played 53-of-72 snaps in Week 3 compared to Hester’s 13. The rookie also tied Brandon Marshall for the team lead with five receptions. Just beware that there’s a tough matchup looming at Dallas before the Jaguars and then a bye week.

Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues.

WR Golden Tate, Seahawks

Tate’s 18 fantasy points trailed only A.J. Green, Torrey Smith and Calvin Johnson in Week 3, but we know they come with a giant blown-call asterisk. Tate has just three catches apiece in his two games, and Russell Wilson is bringing up the rear in yards per attempt. Tate is best left for those in deep leagues.

Recommendation: Worth a look in deeper leagues

WR Watch List

Michael Floyd (pictured), T.Y. Hilton, Rod Streater, Derek Hagan, Jacoby Jones, Armon Binns

Keep an eye on Floyd’s snap count. He had 13 more snaps than Early Doucet and only 10 fewer than Andre Roberts versus the Eagles. … Hilton played half the snaps of Donnie Avery. While his Week 3 performance was excellent, it will likely go down as his best of the season. … Darrius Heyward-Bey is likely looking at a multi-week absence, but there’s no clear replacement between Streater and Hagan. … Binns saw just three targets and took advantage of a weak secondary. Hold off for now.

TE Kyle Rudolph, Vikings

Rotoworld had been pushing Rudolph since late July, but he’s still unowned in 60 percent of Yahoo leagues. Christian Ponder’s favorite red-zone target is sixth in fantasy points and his 67-yard opener stands as his worst fantasy output of the young season. His schedule couldn’t set up more beautifully for the next three weeks, as the Lions, Titans and Redskins are the three most generous defenses against fantasy tight ends so far.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

TE Fred Davis, Redskins

Dropped in many leagues after a pair of two-catch outings to start the season, Davis rebounded with seven receptions and 90 yards versus the Bengals. If Pierre Garcon (foot) misses this week’s game at Tampa Bay, Davis is once again a good bet to lead the team in targets. For now, his value will have to be revisited on a weekly basis.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

TE Heath Miller, Steelers

Through three games, only Tony Gonzalez and Vernon Davis have more fantasy points than Miller. Although Miller’s production is heavily dependent on touchdowns, his 20 targets are tied for 10th among tight ends. Ben Roethlisberger has stated that he wants his tight end in the Pro Bowl this year, and the early results are promising.

Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues.

TE Dustin Keller, Jets

Keller’s ownership has dropped to 31 percent after missing two weeks with a hamstring injury. There’s no guarantee that he will play in tough matchups versus the 49ers and Texans the next two weeks, but he’s worth stashing as a bye-week plug for Weeks 6-8 against the Colts, Pats and Dolphins.

Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues.

TE Watch List

Brandon Myers (pictured), Dwayne Allen, Jordan Cameron

Myers has caught all 15 of his targets this year, but he’s coming off a concussion in Week 3. ... Allen had five catches while Coby Fleener was shut out against the Jags. ... Cameron led the Browns with 45 receiving yards while playing for Alex Smith (concussion). Keep an eye on him to see if that performance merits more playing time going forward.

Defense/Special Teams - Cardinals

Ray Horton’s unit is second only to the Seahawks in scoring defense, having harassed Tom Brady and Michael Vick in back-to-back games. They have also been a top-five fantasy defense in most formats. The Cardinals should be owned in all leagues even before considering the tasty home matchup with the Dolphins in Week 4.

Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues.

Defense/Special Teams - Cowboys

Dallas’ defense is owned in just 36 percent of Yahoo leagues. After completely shutting down the Bucs offense in Week 3, they square off against a struggling Jay Cutler at home this week. DaMarcus Ware is licking his chops in preparation for a matchup with overwhelmed blindside protector J’Marcus Webb.

Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues.

Defense/Special Teams - Bengals

Cincinnati’s secondary isn’t ready to stop any legit aerial attacks, but the pass rush finally started bringing heat on the quarterback with Pro Bowl-caliber defensive end Carlos Dunlap back in the lineup. They draw a reeling Blaine Gabbert in Week 4.

Recommendation: Worth a look as a matchup play.

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