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FSU QB Jameis Winston has "the intelligence, confidence and talent to boom, but there are bust signs that cannot be ignored," writes NFL Media draft analyst Lance Zierlein.

You already know about Winston's off-the-field concerns, which largely contribute to the notion that the Seminole is this class' most volatile boom-or-bust prospect. Lets talk about his on-field uncertainty instead. Winston's explosive passing percentage dropped from 9 percent in 2013 to 6 percent in 2014 and his turnover-per-play ratio plummeted from 1:54 in 2013 to 1:33 in 2014, which Zierlein attributes to defensive coordinators solving him on film. "Clearly, Winston hasn't shown a consistent level of maturity up to this point and his productivity took a sharp dip in 2014 despite playing with seven offensive teammates who should be drafted this season," Zierlein wrote.
Source: NFL.com
Apr 27 - 8:45 PM

The DUI case involving FSU CB P.J. Williams has been dismissed.

"From paperwork just filed in PJ Williams’ dismissed DUI case, signs of impairment claimed by the officer was not corroborated on video," Ian Rapoport tweeted. The initial arrest took place in early April, so the news of the case being dismissed obviously eases Williams' tensions during draft week, and perhaps NFL teams' as well.
Apr 27 - 1:45 PM

Bob McGinn spoke with one NFL scout who called FSU DL Mario Edwards Jr. a "phenomenal athlete."

"He's similar to Sheldon Richardson coming out from a measurable standpoint. He ran better, he's taller, his arm length was a little better," the scout said. We disagree with the statement that Edwards is a great athlete, at least from a testing standpoint. Even after dropping somewhere between 20 to 30 pounds, Edwards tested in the 45th percentile for edge rushers in the NFL per SPARQ. Average is not bad, but average is not "phenomenal." Some teams could ask the 279 pounder to add weight and move back inside.
Apr 27 - 9:30 AM

An anonymous NFL scout cautioned that you "don't want to take [FSU edge rusher/DL Mario Edwards Jr.] too early, but you get him a little later you might have a good pick."

"He's a big, athletic guy, but didn't make a lot of plays," another scout told the New Jersey Star-Ledger. "He's going to need some work." A different scout indicated that Edwards can play inside or outside but must improve his pass rush. "He's not bad," another scout said. "I don't like the way they played him. They had him out in space. I think he'd be better inside. He's really strong."
Source: NJ.com
Apr 27 - 12:14 AM

Pro Football Focus analysts agreed that the most accurate descriptor of FSU CB P.J. Williams is "inconsistent."

"Inconsistency at cornerback in the NFL is synonymous with getting benched, as defensive coordinators won't put up with the types of highs and lows Williams experienced last season," wrote Mike Renner. "While the Florida State corner was aggressive and productive around the line of scrimmage, he gave up tons of ground on intermediate and deep routes when receivers got a hint of initial space." Williams graded out negatively in PFF's coverage metrics, "in no small part due to his silly habit of not wrapping up receivers after the catch," Renner wrote. Williams muffed 11 tackles in coverage last season. He missed one of every 6.2 attempts, ranking 79th out of 101 in this draft class.
Apr 26 - 7:31 PM

An anonymous NFL scout told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel that FSU C Cameron Erving's "upside is huge" at center.

"That line didn't block well until they moved him," the scout said. "It cleaned up so much inside. He's not a 320-pound mauling center but he gets after you. He's such a good athlete and is extremely smart. Great kid." Florida State doubled its yards-before-contact rush average on interior runs in the final five games after shifting Erving inside. But is Erving (6-foot-5, 314 pounds), who would become the NFL's tallest center, too tall for the position? "I think he's too tall for center," a second scout said. "He's got stiff ankles and plays too small. He smothers college players, but if anyone works his edges he's not great laterally. I don't see it." A third scout disagreed with that analysis. "It (height) hasn't been a problem," he said. "His arms (34 1/8) are so long, he just locks those guys out. He just gets on the nose (tackle). Guard may be his best position. He could start at three positions."
Apr 26 - 6:09 PM

NFL Media analyst Mike Mayock said he won't give FSU QB Jameis Winston the benefit of the doubt this year after making that mistake with Browns quarterback Johnny Manziel prior to last year's NFL draft.

"I have to put my hand up and say I missed that last year with Manziel, and I'm upset with myself," Mayock said Thursday. Mayock ranks Marcus Mariota No. 1 in his QB rankings. "When kids have significant red flags, how often do they change? My perception and my experience is, plus or minus, 90 percent of the time, a kid ultimately turns into who he's always been," Mayock said. "When you get a repeated pattern of bad decisions, you might be on your best behavior leading up to the draft, you've got all kinds of people around you telling you what to say and how to act. But once you get comfortable, whether it's one year in, two years in, three years in, once you get comfortable again in the NFL and you get paid, typically that kid goes back to being who he always was."
Source: NFL.com
Apr 26 - 5:12 PM

FSU DT Eddie Goldman isn't as good taking on double-teams and controlling one-on-one blockers as is thought, writes Mike Renner of Pro Football Focus.

"[Goldman] was fairly poor at shedding and making the stop himself," Renner wrote. "In fact, his 5.3 run-stop percentage was well below average for this class." Goldman also does fairly little in the passing game, finishing with a 5.5 in PFF's pass-rushing productivity metric, less than half that of Stanford's Henry Anderson (12.1), who led the group.
Apr 26 - 3:55 PM

An anonymous NFL scout advised the New Jersey Star-Ledger that "if you're looking for a run stuffer, [FSU DT Eddie Goldman is] it.

"He's a powerful guy, very strong at the point," he said. Scouts speaking with the paper more or less agreed on Goldman's evaluation. A smattering of the opinions: "I like him as a 3-technique. He plays hard and does a little bit of everything." ... "He's a big, old, run guy. There's not much pass rush there. He's big and talented, but he's a two-down player." ... "I like him. I think he can come in and play right away. You can put him on the nose, play him at the 3-technique. He's versatile." We didn't think Goldman would work his way into Round 1, but the prospect has a bunch of steam behind his name at the moment.
Source: NJ.com
Apr 26 - 3:05 PM

ESPN's Todd McShay writes that Florida State TE Nick O'Leary "plays crazy" and "opponents can't stand him."

That said, teammates love O'Leary, according to the analyst. "As a blocker, he'll take on multiple guys per play and keep blocking even after the play is over," McShay wrote. "As a route runner, he'll fight through contact and has no problem with working the middle of the field. As a runner after the catch, he works hard for every yard and does a great job of protecting the football. There were so many times on tape when I'd see him barking at his opponent, both when he laid a big hit on somebody and when somebody laid a big hit on him." The 6-foot-3, 244-pound O'Leary, was named first-team AP All-American, first-team All-ACC and won the John Mackey Award for the nation's best tight end in 2014. O'Leary's 4.93 combine time in the forty was "disappointing," NFL Media analyst Mike Mayock said. Colleague Daniel Jeremiah believes O'Leary is a fourth- or fifth-round value.
Apr 26 - 1:17 AM

FSU G Tre' Jackson is "better than [Laken] Tomlinson," an anonymous NFL scout told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.

"He gets better movement," the scout said. "He is a quiet leader with strength and power, but he lacks the length (32 5/8 arms). He will struggle mentally sorting out the process." We disagree that Jackson is superior to Tomlinson. "He was coached well by Rick Trickett, who is one of the best (O-line) coaches around," said another scout. "He was a very steady player. Not special. He's a really good short setter in pass pro and he uses his hands well." We agree with a third scout who concluded: "If he was at another school he'd be a later-round guy. He wouldn't be getting near the attention he does. He's slow, and slow-footed. Then he's not real long and he can't handle the wide rush. The Rose Bowl game, he got destroyed."
Apr 25 - 3:35 PM

NFL scouts "seem certain" FSU QB Jameis Winston "has great potential" and "dismiss his conspicuous lack of elite athletic ability, which was quantified with his lackluster combine workout" but note he has "trouble deciphering underneath coverage," reports Frank Cooney of NFLDraftScout.com.

The case against Winston is two-fold: His recklessness with the ball caused his TD/INT ratio to plummet from 40/10 in 2013 to 25/18 last season, perhaps portending future NFL problems, and his off-field issues got him compared to JaMarcus Russell by a longtime NFL personnel executive recently in the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. "With all due respect, and heartfelt wishes that Winston does well in everything he does, I'm just not convinced he is the best quarterback in this draft, let alone No. 1 overall, where we have him rated at NFLDraftScout.com," Cooney wrote.
Source: CBS Sports
Apr 25 - 2:10 PM

FSU C Cameron Erving "is a plug-and-play option in the first round" for the Arizona Cardinals, according to CBS Sports' Dane Brugler.

The Cardinals released incumbent starting center Lyle Sendlein last month and could look to replace him via the draft. If both running backs Todd Gurley and Melvin Gordon are both off the board, the Cardinals could look to address their offensive line needs in the first round.
Source: CBS Sports
Apr 24 - 3:16 PM

A longtime NFL personnel executive told Bob McGinn he sees JaMarcus Russell in Jameis Winston.

"I see the body. I see the lack of focus," the executive said. "I see the same coach and system. Only Winston's not as good an athlete and his arm isn't as strong as JaMarcus'." With every single anonymous scout or executive comment, it is worth noting it is a singular opinion. Do not extrapolate one opinion as something the entire NFL believes. The NFL's track record on quarterbacks (and their implementation) is not great. With that said, the NFL does have more information on prospects than those on the outside, but we aren't applying the executive's reasoning here.
Apr 24 - 8:43 AM

An analytics director said he expects FSU DT Eddie Goldman to be a first-round pick.

That said, the analytics director believes that'll be an over-draft because Goldman had average production in college and offers limited versatility. Goldman graded out essentially average on College Football Focus' prospects metrics. He's going to transcend those metrics on draft night.
Apr 23 - 6:29 PM


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