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Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
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Cap Considerations

Draft Kings: Coke 600

by Dan Beaver

With more and more events getting trimmed to fit the short attention spans of fans accustomed to stick and ball sports, the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway is one of the last true endurance races. Starting in the daytime and running well into the night, it is a contest of compromise. Drivers who are fast when the sun is out will not necessarily be that way in the dark.

That presents a unique problem for players of the Draft Kings game because points are distributed throughout the night. Fastest laps and laps led will probably be spread across multiple drivers. Place-differential points will be important. And all of that has to be kept in the context of the propensity for dark horses to run well in this race.

For those reasons, we fall back on a familiar mantra: don’t overspend on marquee drivers.


Group A: 5 Most Expensive (>=$10,100)

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,600)
Last week Truex let us down with his 19th-place finish that resulted in only 37.5 points at Kansas Speedway; 15 other drivers—most of whom were considerably cheaper—banked more than him. He was never quite able to overcome the penalty he incurred at the start of the race for failing inspection. We had high hopes because a precedent was set when he charged to the front at Dover after also being sent to the rear. We are willing to believe that bad run was an aberration, however, and he should be stronger this week. Truex qualified 14th.

Chase Elliott ($10,300)
Elliott has come on strong in recent weeks with three consecutive top-five finishes. Perhaps his biggest recommendation for the Coke 600 is his latest performance from Kansas when he scored 93.25 points to lead the game’s scoring. He wasn’t quite as strong at Texas Motor Speedway or Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Because of a poor draw in this week’s qualification following last week’s inspection penalty he lines up 12th and that will give him ample room to score place-differential points.

Group B: (Between $9,900 and $8,700)

Erik Jones ($8,700)
Jones is the cheapest driver at this level, but he would be a great value even if he were not. In four races on 1.5-mile tracks this year he has scored top-10 points three times and the 11th-most on another occasion. His best performance came at Texas when he finished fourth and banked 58 points. Last week at Kansas he scored 50 points with a price tag that was $200 higher.

Denny Hamlin ($9,200)
In other games, we’re not quite sure what to do with Hamlin. He’s been inconsistent on 1.5-mile tracks this year and that gives us pause. But one of his best performances came at Texas. He won the O'Reilly 500 and scored the third-most points (73.25) in the Draft Kings game. Texas is traditionally a good track for Hamlin; so is Charlotte. On this 1.5-miler that bears similarities to Texas, Hamlin has five top-five finishes in his last six starts.

Group C: (Between $8,500 and $7,400)

Alex Bowman ($8,100)
Bowman experienced a healthy increase in salary cap this week from the $7,000 he commanded at Kansas. The reason for that is quite simple; his second-place finish in the Digital Ally 400 earned 79.25 points and easily made him the best value. He is not prohibitively expensive, however, and it is worth rolling the dice on starting him. With a qualification effort of 13th, he is in the sweet spot regarding place-differential points and even if he experiences trouble, he won’t cost you an arm and leg.

Daniel Suarez ($8,000)
Suarez has been consistent on 1.5-mile tracks this year. His worst finish was a 17th at Atlanta; his best was a third at Texas, for which he earned the eighth-most Draft Kings points (56.75). Even last week when he finished 14th in the Digital Ally 400, he scored the seventh-most points (52.5) while commanding the same cap as he does this week. During the past 45 days, he has scored 197.25 points and with his current value, that makes him one of the top values.

Group D: (Between $7,200 and $6,200)

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($7,200)
Stenhouse has potential, but fantasy players may want to wait until after practice on Saturday to take a risk on giving him this week’s allocation. He is well below the average cap per driver, but you really want to be careful with your budget and 2.46 points per thousand over the past 45 days is risky. He has been consistent on 1.5-milers, however, earning the eighth-most points at Las Vegas and the 15th-most at Texas and Kansas.

Chris Buescher ($7,100)
In order to reward recent momentum, we look at the last 45 days’ worth of points – but that can’t be the only thing considered. Buescher must be credited with the run he showed on one of the other 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta when he scored the fifth-most points (56.5). Since then, he has been in the top half of the field in the subsequent similarly-configured, 1.5-mile track races with 45.5 points in the bank last week at Kansas.

Group E: (Less than or equal to $6,000)

Parker Kligerman ($5,100)
Perhaps the best thing about Kligerman is that he has not yet lost fantasy points in the Draft Kings game. His best performance was 26.5 points at Talladega Superspeedway; his worst was 18 at Atlanta Motor Speedway, but if he is the driver that allows you to upgrade a Group B pick to Group A or C to B, then it will be money well spent.

 

Draft Kings points earned
last 45 days

Driver

Avg.
Rank

Total
Points
Earned

Avg.
Points

This
Week's
Cap

Points
Per K

Group

Chase Elliott

4.25

304.75

76.19

$10,300

          7.40

A

Martin Truex Jr.

9.00

311.25

77.81

$10,600

          7.34

A

Brad Keselowski

11.50

189.25

47.31

$10,100

          4.68

A

Kevin Harvick

12.25

191.75

47.94

$10,800

          4.44

A

Kyle Busch

12.25

195.75

48.94

$11,200

          4.37

A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Joey Logano

7.75

223.25

55.81

$9,900

          5.64

B

Erik Jones

9.25

194.50

48.63

$8,700

          5.59

B

Kurt Busch

13.00

160.25

40.06

$8,900

          4.50

B

Clint Bowyer

16.25

138.00

34.50

$9,400

          3.67

B

Denny Hamlin

23.00

101.00

25.25

$9,200

          2.74

B

Kyle Larson

20.00

104.75

26.19

$9,600

          2.73

B

Ryan Blaney

26.00

63.00

15.75

$9,000

          1.75

B

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alex Bowman

8.25

220.00

55.00

$8,100

          6.79

C

Daniel Suarez

9.00

197.25

49.31

$8,000

          6.16

C

Ryan Newman

13.00

158.50

39.63

$7,600

          5.21

C

Aric Almirola

14.50

142.25

35.56

$8,500

          4.18

C

Jimmie Johnson

16.25

133.50

33.38

$8,300

          4.02

C

William Byron

18.75

107.75

26.94

$7,400

          3.64

C

Austin Dillon

20.00

110.00

27.50

$7,800

          3.53

C

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ryan Preece

18.75

124.00

31.00

$6,500

          4.77

D

Ty Dillon

20.25

100.25

25.06

$6,700

          3.74

D

Paul Menard

18.75

103.00

25.75

$6,900

          3.73

D

Chris Buescher

22.00

97.50

24.38

$7,100

          3.43

D

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

26.25

70.75

17.69

$7,200

          2.46

D

Matt DiBenedetto

28.50

46.75

11.69

$6,300

          1.86

D

Michael McDowell

28.50

18.25

4.56

$6,200

          0.74

D

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Parker Kligerman

21.00

26.50

26.50

$5,100

          5.20

E

Corey LaJoie

21.50

105.50

26.38

$5,200

          5.07

E

Daniel Hemric

19.25

108.00

27.00

$5,900

          4.58

E

Cody Ware

26.50

38.00

19.00

$4,600

          4.13

E

Reed Sorenson

25.33

60.50

20.17

$5,000

          4.03

E

Ross Chastain

22.75

83.00

20.75

$5,600

          3.71

E

Matt Tifft

26.25

56.75

14.19

$5,300

          2.68

E

Joey Gase

28.00

24.50

12.25

$4,900

          2.50

E

David Ragan

29.00

51.00

12.75

$6,000

          2.13

E

Landon Cassill

31.00

33.50

8.38

$5,400

          1.55

E

BJ McLeod

36.00

4.00

4.00

$4,500

          0.89

E

Quin Houff

34.33

12.50

4.17

$4,800

          0.87

E

Bayley Currey

33.50

7.00

3.50

$4,700

          0.74

E

Bubba Wallace

32.50

13.00

3.25

$5,700

          0.57

E

 

Dan Beaver

Dan Beaver has been covering fantasy NASCAR for more than 15 years with a little help from his >600,000 record database. He can be found on Twitter @FantasyRace.