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Chasing the Cup

Four to Watch at Vegas: Joey Logano

by Dan Beaver
Updated On: February 19, 2020, 4:54 pm ET

Joey Logano ended the 2019 season with four consecutive top-10s. He came to Daytona with a lot of speed and bluster and left with a crash damaged car in 26th. That will not have robbed him of his momentum, however, because every driver in the field from 15th on back last week knows in their hearts that Daytona is not predictive of their success later in the season. (Of course, the drivers in the top 10 feel a little different.)

Las Vegas Motor Speedway is the perfect place for Logano to come and soothe his hurt feelings. With an average finish of 8.5 in 13 starts, this is his best track by a significant margin. His next best track with more than two starts is Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 10.9 in 11 races.

Logano’s success on this 1.5-miler has been increasing. He finished 13th in his first start in 2009, scored his first top-10 in his second start and was on the cusp of 15th in two of his next three starts. The tide turned dramatically in 2014 when he finished fourth in the Kobalt Tools 400. He has not been outside of the top 10 since.

Logano peaked in this race last year. He led 86 of the 267 laps including the last 24. His current streak of eight consecutive top-10s comes with an average of 5.1.

Logano’s Pennzoil 400 victory came on the heels of a disappointing Atlanta Motor Speedway effort of 23rd. Logano did not crack the top 10 in his next two 1.5-mile races, but in the final seven events of the season he had four top-fives and six top-10s to his credit. His last two efforts on this track type included a fourth at Texas Motor Speedway and fifth at Homestead-Miami Speedway. That is the momentum Logano will focus on.

During his Vegas career, Logano has nine top-fives for a percentage of 69.2%. The only other driver with an equal number is his teammate Brad Keselowski. Logano has 11 top-15s in 13 starts for an average of 84.6%. Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Larson are the two closest drivers in this regard with top-15 percentages of 75.0%.

Repeating in NASCAR is difficult. The last four races on this track have been won by four different drivers, but it is notable that a Penske driver has won four of the last eight races. Keselowski and Logano finished 1-2 in 2016.

Keselowski will be another of our drivers to watch later in the week and Ryan Blaney has five results of seventh or better in his last six starts. If a player wants to activate the entire organization, it is likely they will sweep the top 10. Add in Matt DiBenedetto for a dark horse and one will have a solid lineup.

Career Average Finish: 8.5 in 13 starts (ranked first)
2019 South Point 400: 9
2019 Pennzoil 400: 1
2018 South Point 400: 4
2018 Pennzoil 400: 7

Dan Beaver

Dan Beaver has been covering fantasy NASCAR for more than 20 years with a little help from his >650,000 record database. He can be found on Twitter @FantasyRace.