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DRAFT NBA Strategy: Friday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

This new column covers daily rankings and strategy for Draft.com's DFS games. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s an innovative DFS game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last 2-5 minutes. The scoring system is identical to FanDuel, and anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take LeBron James with your first pick, nobody else in your league can have him.

 

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

 

Below, I will highlight several players who are projected too high/low on DRAFT’s default rankings. This should provide insight to potential values and avoidable land mines for your squad. We will then parse through some game theory and overall strategy for tonight’s DRAFT slate.

 

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

 

 

Editor’s Note: Compete in a live snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Lou Williams – G – LA Clippers (DRAFT Projection: 35.5 FP)

 

As a member of the fast-paced Clippers, Williams usually finds himself in high-scoring games. Tonight is no exception, as the over/under is 229 total points for LAC-CLE. On top of that, Cleveland ranks 26th in defensive efficiency vs opposing backcourts. Williams has surpassed this 35.5 FP projection in six of his past seven appearances, and I have no reason to believe he’ll fall short tonight. I’m bumping Williams ahead of Lonzo Ball, Donovan Mitchell, Eric Bledsoe, and Chris Paul while setting pre-draft rankings at the guard position.

 

 

Tobias Harris – F – LA Clippers (DRAFT Projection: 35.1 FP)

 

Harris follows the same rationale as his teammate, Lou Williams. I can’t understand why this projection is so light. Harris has notched 55 and 49 fantasy points respectively over his past two games. Facing a Cleveland team that ranks 25th in defensive efficiency vs opposing power forwards opens the door for more upside. Harris deserves to be ranked fifth or sixth at the forward position instead of the current designation of ninth.

 

 

Markieff Morris – F – Washington (DRAFT Projection: 28.7 FP)

 

Markieff’s prospects are somewhat contingent on Otto Porter’s (questionable) status. If Porter is out, Morris will soak up extra minutes and usage to bolster his fantasy upside. However, I believe Markieff is a strong selection regardless if Porter plays. He’s playing up in pace against a patchwork New Orleans frontcourt that will be without Anthony Davis. I’m bullish on Markieff tonight, looking at him on FanDuel as well.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

 

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Chris Paul – G – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 41.9 FP)

 

I’d rather take Bradley Beal, DeMar DeRozan, or Lou Williams (all have lower projections) over Chris Paul tonight. CP3 hasn’t been bad lately, but he hasn’t achieved this 41.9 FP mark in eight of his past nine either. Facing a Toronto team that ranks third in defensive efficiency vs opposing point guards doesn’t necessarily help either.

 

 

Zach Randolph – F – Sacramento (DRAFT Projection: 30.6 FP)

 

This would’ve been a fair projection for Randolph a few months ago. However, the Kings are focused on getting their young players more minutes at the moment. In fact, we aren’t even sure if Randolph will see the floor tonight, as he has picked up several DNP-CD’s over the past few weeks. He’s simply not worth the risk tonight, even in 10 person leagues.

 

 

Lauri Markkanen – F – Chicago (DRAFT Projection: 29.0 FP)

 

Some people may look towards Markkanen to round out their 10 person draft. After all, he has been effective with 31+ FP in two of his past three games. However, take notice that Robin Lopez will return for Chicago tonight. We aren’t sure how many minutes Lopez will see, but he’ll likely eat into the playing time of Markkanen and Portis to some extent.

 

 

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Look to snag a top three center. I’m talking about Andre Drummond, Nikola Jokic, or Nikola Vucevic … Sure, Rudy Gobert or DeAndre Jordan would suffice as consolation prizes, but the aforementioned “big three” have strong upside in mouthwatering matchups. There are enough quality guards and forwards to round out your lineups tonight, so look to make the center position a priority after the initial wave of LeBron, Harden, Giannis, and Durant.

 

 

Keep an eye on Otto Porter Jr’s status. If Porter ends up playing without restrictions, he’s a decent forward filler in leagues of six or more people. If he’s out, look towards the aforementioned likes of Markieff Morris to see a boost.

 

 

Spencer Limbach
Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for Rotoworld. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.