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DRAFT NBA Strategy: Sunday

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

This new segment will cover daily rankings and strategy for DRAFT’s fantasy format. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT, it’s essentially one-day fantasy sports with a live draft feature instead of building within a salary cap. You can find more information at draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app.

 

 

Below, I will highlight several players who are ranked too high/low on DRAFT’s default rankings. This should provide insight to potential values and avoidable land mines for your squad.

 

 

We are looking at the All-Day slate starting at 1:00 ET with five games.

 

 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS


These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection/rannking. 

 

Otto Porter Jr – F – Washington

 

Porter continues to be underrated on DRAFT, considering his sizable boost with John Wall out. The fact that he has realistic 38 minute upside certainly helps the cause as well. Porter has notched 40+ fantasy points in four of his past six games, also representing a solid fantasy floor around 33-35 FP. Put it all together, and I’m willing to upgrade Porter in my pre-draft rankings. I’ll put him right behind Ben Simmons and Clint Capela for reference.

 

 

Clint Capela – C – Houston

 

Speaking of Clint Capela, he’s a strong center target on DRAFT tonight. In my opinion, he should be listed directly behind Ben Simmons, moving him up three spots compared to the default rankings. More importantly, Capela’s intriguing fantasy prospects allow you to wait on a center (assuming you don’t get Anthony Davis in the first round). This would apply only to drafts of six or more people, as Jokic, Drummond, Embiid, and Howard are the go-to guys at the top.

 

 

Nikola Mirotic – F – New Orleans

 

This is another recommendation that applies to drafts greater than three people. Mirotic is a fine candidate to round out the forward position, and I’d upgrade him just below Gary Harris on the pre-draft rankings list. Even though he struggled last game, today’s matchup at Milwaukee represents a strong bounce-back opportunity. The Bucks are a non-imposing draw for opposing forwards, also ranking 28th in rebound rate. Mirotic could resume his 35+ FP ways today.

 

 

Bradley Beal – G – Washington

 

The matchup doesn’t look great on paper, but Beal will continue to carry a heavy workload with John Wall out. That should especially be the case in a competitive home draw on ESPN. I’m willing to snag Beal over Chris Paul and Kemba Walker this afternoon, and I don’t believe that’s a controversial statement. Ultimately, he rises to a spot just behind Joel Embiid in the pre-draft rankings, emerging as the next-best guard behind James Harden.

 

 

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS


These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection or ranking. 

 

LeBron James – F – Cleveland

 

I’m not suggesting LeBron James will crash and burn this afternoon. However, I don’t believe he’s worthy of the top overall projection on DRAFT. Here’s how my top four shapes out: Anthony Davis, Giannis Antetokounmpo, James Harden, and then LeBron James … Those other three superstars have outstanding matchups to inspire confidence, which marginally pushes them ahead LBJ in the pecking order.

 

 

Andre Drummond – C – Detroit

 

DRAFT has Andre Drummond listed as their top center, besting Jokic and Embiid by 3-5 projected points. I’m not buying it. This is a tough matchup for Detroit’s big man, going against Dwight Howard and a Charlotte team that ranks first overall in rebound rate (9th in d-eff vs centers). In two meetings vs the Hornets this season, Drummond is averaging six points and 12 boards. I’d rather take Jokic in a high-scoring draw vs Houston or Embiid with a mismatch at Washington.

 

 

Rajon Rondo – G – New Orleans

 

I understand Rondo has showcased upside earlier this month, but I’m not buying into his risk/reward profile today. It doesn’t make sense to take many risks on DRAFT, especially if you are in leagues with six or fewer people. You never know what Rondo’s minutes will look like, and his lack of scoring potential makes him a shaky proposition even if the playing time comes. Throw in a tough matchup at Milwaukee, and he becomes a firm pass. I’d rather go with George Hill here.

 

 

John Henson – F – Milwaukee

 

Henson dominated a cushy matchup at Brooklyn earlier this month, but hasn’t really lived up to the billing otherwise. Even though Milwaukee will be playing up in pace, Henson finds himself with a difficult assignment against Anthony Davis and company. The prospect of foul trouble on top of general ineffectiveness really cripples Henson’s fantasy stock this afternoon. In deeper DRAFT leagues, I’ll look towards the upside of Larry Nance Jr or Wilson Chandler instead. 

Spencer Limbach
Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for Rotoworld. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.