We have a full eight-game slate this Monday, including a tough road game in Utah for the record-setting Warriors. The over/unders range from a high of 214 for the Mavericks vs. Kings game, to a low of 189 for the Spurs vs. Bulls, and as usual there are plenty of value picks to be found below the $6,000 threshold.
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Early foul trouble limited Mason Plumlee ($6,000) to 24 minutes vs. the Lakers on Saturday, but he should fare better vs. the Clippers tonight. The Clips are giving up 20.6 points to opposing centers this season (sixth-most in the league), as well as 16.3 rebounds (fourth-most). The best reason to target Plumlee is his recent production -- in the four games prior to Saturday's disappointment, he was averaging 13.8 points, 10.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 2.3 blocks and only 0.8 turnovers. That works out to 35.4 FanDuel points per game, a robust return on a $6,000 investment.
Nikola Mirotic ($5,900) and the Bulls get a tough matchup vs. the Spurs, in what should be the slowest-paced game of the night. Mirotic's production has been a bit erratic lately, but in his past four games he's had 36+ fantasy points twice, without falling below 23 fantasy points. That's a nice ceiling-to-floor ratio and he's particularly appealing as a tournament gamble.
Khris Middleton ($5,600) is heating up. He's averaged 31.8 fantasy points in Milwaukee's past four games thanks to across-the-board contributions, and stands to benefit from the improved spacing that Jerryd Bayless brings to the starting lineup. Then there's the matchup -- Middleton should torch the Nuggets' defense, which has given up the most fantasy value to opposing SGs. Vegas is giving this game a four-point spread, so there's minimal chance of a blowout, and Middleton should cruise past his mid-tier valuation.
Tony Parker ($5,500) has notched a minimum of 20 FanDuel points in 10 consecutive games. He dropped a pair of 35+ games last week and shouldn't be in danger of low playing time tonight -- the Spurs rested on Sunday and don't play again until Wednesday. This game should be molasses-slow, as mentioned in the intro, but Parker gets a very nice individual matchup against the Bulls' fourth-most-lenient PG defense.
Will Barton ($5,300) has been on a tear for two straight weeks, with the lone exception of a dud vs. the Clippers last Tuesday. With that game excluded, he's notched a minimum of 24 FD points in eight straight games (and has exceeded 30 FD points in five of those). The clincher is that he's facing a Bucks team that allows 40.6 points to opposing benches, most in the NBA. Barton is the be-all, end-all for the Nuggets second unit, and his modest price-tag makes him an easy recommendation.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($4,800) continues to play huge minutes -- he's coming off a 21-point performance in 34 minutes on Sunday. That in itself isn't a guarantee of FanDuel production, but he looks good when you combine his playing time with a matchup vs. the Rockets, who let Arron Afflalo freak out with 31 points on Sunday. James Harden is lapsing into lazy defensive habits and KCP should be able to take advantage.
Clint Capela ($4,600) is an easy pick tonight. J.B. Bickerstaff continues to deploy him alongside Dwight Howard and that's unlikely to change vs. Detroit tonight, despite the fact that Ersan Ilyasova lives at the 3-point line. He's coming off an 18-point, 11-rebound, three-steal performance vs. the Knicks, and in his past four games he's averaging 30.0 fantasy points. That includes a game vs. Memphis in which he somehow posted 19.9 fantasy points in just eight minutes. You won't find a better low-end center tonight.
With a starting job in hand, Jerryd Bayless ($4,500) is almost a can't-miss play at this price. He's going up against Emmanuel Mudiay and the Nuggets, a delectable matchup by any measure, and has posted at least 26 fantasy points in four straight games. Bayless played 43 minutes vs. the Hornets on Sunday and stands out as a terrific PG2 tonight.
Kosta Koufos ($4,500) has been excellent as a starter in DeMarcus Cousins' absence, and would be a nice alternative to Capela if DMC were forced to sit vs. the Mavericks tonight. Cousins did make it through shootaround and is questionable, however, and Koufos is a risky option unless Cousins is ruled out ahead of time. It doesn't help that the Kings don't tip off until 10pm.
Gerald Green ($3,700) should draw another start for Luol Deng, and he's averaging a solid 25.0 fantasy points in his past two outings. The Celtics are a tough all-around matchup, but they're relatively lenient vs. small forwards and Green should get enough perimeter looks to exceed this rock-bottom valuation.
O.J. Mayo ($3,600) played 44 minutes on Sunday. While that's unlikely to be duplicated vs. the Nuggets tonight, he could still get a major opportunity with Michael Carter-Williams in the doghouse and Greivis Vasquez (ankle) questionable to play. The matchup vs. Denver is terrific and Mayo has enough upside to be well worth a look as your SG2.
Patrick Beverley ($3,600) has averaged 33 minutes as a starter in Houston's past two games, resulting in a steady-but-modest 21.5 fantasy points. The Pistons aren't a great matchup for opposing PGs, but Bev remains a solid option with Ty Lawson out of the rotation and Jason Terry as the primary backup PG.
Quick Hits: Jae Crowder ($5,000) gets a poor matchup vs. the Heat, but he's a decent cash-game option...Meyers Leonard ($4,400) could be an interesting gamble, but there are no guarantees that he overtakes Noah Vonleh as a starter tonight and I'm leery of him due to his minute-limit...Justise Winslow ($3,800) logged 35 minutes in Miami's last game and should see big minutes again with Luol Deng out tonight. Unfortunately his ceiling is quite low and he's likely to finish with a meager 16-20 fantasy points...Lance Stephenson ($3,600) has notched 20 fantasy points and 22.7 fantasy points in his past two games, for what that's worth...Luc Richard Mbah a Moute ($3,500) returned 16.1 FanDuel points in 23 minutes as a starter on Sunday, but the Blazers are a terrible matchup for SFs and he lacks upside...And finally, Brandon Rush ($3,600) should earn another start in place of Harrison Barnes (ankle), though it's not guaranteed. He played only 19 minutes despite starting vs. the Kings on Saturday, and was on pace for a very quiet night before scoring a flurry of points in the second half. The Warriors have too many options to expect big value from Rush, and with O.J. Mayo at the same price-point there's no real incentive to gamble on B-Rush.