Aside from the always inflated over/under in Colorado, the Houston Astros surprisingly check in as the next highest projected team of the day (4.58). We can thank the generous hitting conditions at Globe Life Park in Arlington for some of that, on top of a pleasant matchup against Colby Lewis.
Lewis has some inflated totals over the past three season, most notably owning an inflated .357 wOBA against left-handed bats along with a 1.40 HR/9 rate. That sets up well for the free-swinging, power-hitting Astros. I’m thinking Houston makes for a pretty sneaky stack today, especially if you want to differentiate from the Colorado-Chicago game…or you could combine with one of those teams.
DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
Kolton Wong – 2B – STL (FanDuel Price: $3,100)
The Cardinals step in as a top five scoring team today against the inexperience Raisel Iglesias. Over his tenure in the minor leagues and a few stints in the majors, Iglesias is allowing a hearty .329 wOBA against left handed bats. For this reason, I’m pretty high on St. Louis lefties like Matt Adams, Jason Heyward, Matt Carpenter, and of course, Kolton Wong (who’s the cheapest of that bunch).
Alejandro De Aza – OF – BAL (FanDuel Price: $3,100)
The potent Baltimore lineup (with De Aza in the leadoff spot) will square off against Drew Hutchinson this afternoon. Hutchinson is a decent pitcher overall, but he has extremely wide splits vs righties and lefties (.290 wOBA vs RHB, .349 vs LHB). Combine that with his 1.44 HR/9 rate against lefties, and you have a matchup for the red-hot De Aza to exploit.
Michael Taylor – OF – WAS (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Batting leadoff against one of the worst pitchers in action surely counts for something, right? The way Taylor has been swinging the bat inspires a ton of confidence for this cheap price point, picking up a double, RBI, and/or stolen base in every game this season (including a solo HR on Friday).
Devon Travis – 2B – TOR (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
Even though he’s batting down in Toronto’s lineup, don’t overlook Travis as a viable punt play. The rookie second baseman has been producing this past week, averaging 4 FP in the first five contests. While that doesn’t necessarily mean sustainability moving forward, it’s nice to know he’s swinging a confident bat. Also, his opponent, Chris Tillman, is allowing 1.37 HR/9 against opposing righties.
Luis Valbuena – 3B – HOU (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
As outlined above, Valbuena is in a pleasant spot this afternoon. He’ll likely bat 5th once again, putting him in a nice RBI spot against the aforementioned susceptibilities against Colby Lewis. Valbuena owns an above-average .328 wOBA .174 ISO vs righties.
Everth Cabrera – SS – BAL (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
I already mentioned how Toronto’s Drew Hutchinson has some pretty wide splits over the past three seasons. That could help a contact hitter like Everth Cabrera manufacture a multi-hit game to rack up some runs, stolen bases, and ultimately fantasy points.
Khris Davis – OF – MIL (FanDuel Price: $2,700)
Realistically, Khris Davis could be listed in the “tournament gambles” section every day: he has that type of power. However, the matchup is intriguing today, stepping in against Pittsburgh’s young Casey Sadler, who has gotten into trouble in his limited MLB experience. The Brewers check in tied with the Astros (behind the Rockies and Cubs) as the highest projected scoring team of the day.
Rajai Davis – OF – DET (FanDuel Price: $3,100)
Detroit will square off against a lefty today, which has me anticipating Davis as the leadoff man. Any time he’s in the #1 spot for this potent Detroit lineup, he needs to be considered for DFS purposes. He has substantial run scoring and stolen base potential to create a nice return on investment opportunity. Double check the batting order before giving Rajai a look.
Mike Olt – 3B – CHC (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Ah, finally…we get to the high scoring Cubs-Rockies affair. In reality, most of the options are priced up in this game, leaving few “bargain plays” to exploit. Olt is one of the few cheap picks from this contest, and he has displayed adequate power upside to take advantage of Jordan Lyles’ .340 wOBA against opposing hitters.