FanDuel Bargain Bin
We’re back! Today’s Thursday NBA slate provides six potentially high scoring games to draw from. There are plenty of mismatches to take advantage of in all salary ranges, so there’s going to be a lot of unique lineup combinations out there tonight. In this column, I generally set $6000 as the bargain threshold, and I try to indicate when I think a position is particularly well-suited--or not--to using the cheap plays given the landscape of the particular slate.
Emmanuel Mudiay $4600: The Knicks are indicating that Jarrett Jack is out and Mudiay is in. Taking advantage of his ample talent in a top four DvP matchup for PGs at this salary is a no-brainer. Pair him with one of my favorite plays of the night, Kemba Walker, and you have a very flexible lineup.
Tomas Satoransky $5900: It’s the top end of the bargain bin, but Satoransky’s play deserves this salary. Coming into the break averaging 35 fantasy points per game in the last three games, he should be able to pick up where he left off as the Wizards travel to Cleveland, the second-best PG matchup and third-worst team in overall defensive efficiency.
JJ Redick $5100: I prefer to be in the $6-7K range at SG tonight, but it’s hard to argue with Redick in this price range. He’s been great when healthy all season long, and his 22-28 fantasy points per night won’t hurt your cash game lineup if you choose to spend up elsewhere.
Bogdan Bogdanovic $6000: The Thunder have been noticeably weaker against opposing wings without Andre Roberson. They now rank eighth for the season and third over the past five games in fantasy points allowed to shooting guards. I joke in here all the time about the frustration that is the Kings wing rotation, but Bogdanovic appears to be consistently producing in a 30ish MPG role this month. Coming off his Rising Stars MVP performance, I like him to continue returning about a fantasy point per minute tonight.
JR Smith $4800: Since the Cavaliers brought in Jordan Clarkson and Rodney Hood, Smith has played like a man who wants to keep his starting job. He’s not winning any fantasy consistency awards, but Smith does have that 3-point shot upside for use in a tournament lineup.
DeMarre Carroll $6100 and Allen Crabbe $5400: The Nets will be without Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Caris LeVert again tonight, which should allow both Carroll and Crabbe to continue their strong play. Carroll entered the break with three double-doubles in the prior four games, with only one real dud (vs. the Lakers) in the new year. Crabbe posted four straight games with over 30 fantasy points before the break. Both are solid options again tonight in a top 10 matchup with the Hornets.
Robert Covington $5400: Covington, as you know, is one of my least favorite DFS options, but he had a nice game against Chicago (allowing the third-most fantasy points to SFs over the last five games) at the end of January. His 35-40 fantasy point upside puts him in play, but I’m never touching him in a cash game lineup thanks to his ability to completely disappear on the court, despite usually playing over 30 MPG.
David Nwaba $3500: The Bulls are switching things up, sending Justin Holiday to the bench in favor of young Nwaba. Chicago guaranteed his contract through this season, and now they’re committing to see what they’ve got in him. For the minimum salary, he’s worth a spot in at least one lineup tonight. I like pairing him with LeBron James or Kevin Durant in any format.
Markieff Morris $6000: Aside from the game he missed with an illness, Morris enjoyed a fairly productive month with double-digit points in eight of his last 10 games. He should reach value tonight in a great matchup with the new-look Cavs’ frontcourt. Vegas has a high scoring and relatively close line on this game, so both Morris and cross-court opponent Larry Nance Jr. ($5600) are interesting value plays at PF.
Marvin Williams $4200: I’ve been disappointed with Williams this season, not angry, just very disappointed. He has a chance to turn things around coming out of the break starting with a top 2 matchup with the Nets and if you’re giving him a chance, this is the salary to do it with. There have been flashes of the 2016 Williams, including a four steal game and two double-digit scoring efforts just before the break. I’d be equally unsurprised by 22 fantasy points or 38 fantasy points from him tonight.
Christiano Felicio $3500: Robin Lopez is not just being sent to the bench tonight, he’s getting the night off altogether. The announcement that Nwaba and Felicio will start for the Bulls going forward made Felicio an interesting option for the minimum salary, but I have reservations. For one, Philadelphia is the top rebounding team in the league. For another, as pointed out by Adam Pfeifer on Twitter, Felicio does have a potentially concerning personal foul issue (4.7 PF per 36 minutes extrapolated, per Basketball Reference). Again, vs. Joel Embiid and the 76ers that could affect his value. Still and all, a starter at this salary in what should be a fast-paced and high scoring game deserves a look in any lineup where you get can away from Dwight Howard or Embiid at center.