The Blue Jays check in as the highest projected scoring team of the day, and that shouldn’t come as much of a surprise. After all, Toronto sits atop the league with 421 runs scored, easily outpacing the second place Yankees at 364 runs.
Factor in a struggling left-handed rookie playing on the road against this righty-heavy, power hitting Jays lineup, and it appears Toronto could extend their run-scoring lead today. Boston’s Eduardo Rodriguez started his MLB career on a hot streak in May; however, he has since regressed by allowing 16 earned runs over the past three games (14 IP).
Jose Bautista, Jose Reyes, Russell Martin, and Edwin Encarnacion comprise the obvious Toronto stack, but don’t forget about Chris Colabello, who’s one of the more affordable options at $3200 on FanDuel (especially if he’s batting 5th – boosting his RBI potential).
DIAMONDS IN THE ROUGH
Evan Gattis – C – HOU (FanDuel Price: $3,300)
After playing 10 straight games, Gattis received a scheduled game off yesterday. He had a nice matchup as well, but we can fortunately carry our enthusiasm over to a draw vs Royals’ left-hander Danny Duffy (.315 wOBA vs RHB, 44% fly-ball rate). Gattis is a known lefty-masher, holding a .331 wOBA .217 ISO clip against southpaws, and Minute Maid Park serves as an added boost in the homerun/extra-base hit departments.
David Ortiz – 1B – BOS (FanDuel Price: $3,000)
Oritz has been the default “fall back” option at first base, as he’s still too cheap considering the presiding talent level. The same can be said for Adrian Gonzalez at the same price point, as it’s seemingly a coin flip with both first basemen enjoying decent matchups in hitter-friendly parks … Even though Toronto pitcher Marco Estrada has been surging as of late, I’m not buying a ‘pitching renaissance’ from the 31 year-old quite yet. In other words, I’ll still target hitters against him if the price is right, especially while tossing in the Rogers Centre. Ortiz fits the mold today.
Chris Parmelee – OF – BAL (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
Parmelee is my outfield value play of the day, as he has tremendous upside against Texas’ Colby Lewis. Over the past three seasons, Lewis has allowed a .372 wOBA mark to left-handers, which is the highest split amongst all pitchers this evening (that qualify). Oriole Park tends to enhance left-handed power, as Parmelee has come to realize – earning a promotion to the top half of the lineup.
Also Consider: Adrian Gonzalez – 1B – LAD
Rougned Odor – 2B – TEX (FanDuel Price: $2,700)
Odor has been a solid FanDuel commodity as of late. Even though the price tag has risen, you shouldn’t count him out quite yet. He’s batting leadoff (or 2nd) for this potent Texas offense, holding coveted power and speed upside to post a solid fantasy total in several different ways. The matchup against Miguel Gonzalez is one to target, especially considering his 1.68 HR/9 mark over the past three seasons.
Yasmani Grandal – C – LAD (FanDuel Price: $2,700)
Grandal smacked a homer last night (along with a single, two walks), and we could see a repeat performance tonight. Even though Rubby De La Rosa has been pitching better as of late, he’s still extremely blow-up prone. Last time he faced the Dodgers, he gave up 9 earned runs over 5 innnings. Grandal and company will continue to enjoy a nice park shift at Chase Field, aiding their power upside.
Robinson Cano – 2B – SEA (FanDuel Price: $2,500)
Padres’ hurler Ian Kennedy has a .336 wOBA susceptibility to left-handed bats, including a 46% fly-ball rate with a 1.45 HR/9 mark. Translation: the Mariners have some homerun upside against Mr. Kennedy, especially the likes of Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager, and Logan Morrison (if he plays). Cano is starting to warm up – slowly – showing signs of homerun potential with two in the past six games.
Also Consider: Andre Ethier – OF – LAD
Joey Gallo – 3B – TEX (FanDuel Price: $3,000)
Gallo is always a risk/reward proposition, as he has homerun upside coupled with significant strikeout potential. However, a matchup against the aforementioned long-ball tendencies of Miguel Gonzalez works in his favor tonight, along with a pleasant hitting environment in Baltimore (not to mention the reasonable price tag).
Marlon Byrd – OF – CIN (FanDuel Price: $2,700)
Minnesota pitcher Phil Hughes has reverse-splits, meaning he’s actually easier on right-handed hitters than lefties. He also has a tendency to give up homeruns, owning a 1.15 HR/9 (43% fly-ball rate) split vs righties. That is usually protected by Target Field in Minnesota, which is considered advantageous to fly-ball pitchers. However, the opposite holds true in Cincinnati’s Great American Ball Park. NOTE: Double check the weather before selecting anyone from this game: 60%+ chance of rain projected.
Cesar Hernandez – OF – PHI (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Very quietly, Cesar Hernandez has become a viable DFS commodity, collecting multiple hits in six of the last 10 games. He’s a menace on the base-paths too, recording four stolen bases in the past three games. Rookie Taylor Jungmann of Milwaukee is not a pitcher to shy away from, especially for a contact hitter like Hernandez.
Also Consider: Mitch Moreland – OF - TEX