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FanDuel Bargain Bin: Tuesday

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

There are only four games on the schedule tonight, limiting the pool of FanDuel bargains, but there are still values to be had. Before talking about specific players, let's take a look at the matchups:

 

 

Over/Under

Spread

Knicks at Hawks

203

Hawks -8

Bucks at Bulls

202

Bulls -8.5

Kings at Mavericks

214

Mavericks -5.5

Warriors at Lakers

214

Warriors -13.5

 

 

$6,000-$5,001

Lou Williams ($5,700) scored a season-high 30 points on Sunday, adding seven rebounds, four assists and two steals for his best DFS output of the season. The pace of the Warriors vs. Lakers game should be very fast, opening up extra opportunities for Lou, but that's not the only situational reason to target him. Kobe Bryant (sore shoulder) is still questionable for tonight's game, and D'Angelo Russell (illness) is also iffy after being sent home from shootaround. Williams should be a decent play if one or both of his ailing teammates suit up -- he'll be a no-brainer if they both sit out. The same argument applies to Jordan Clarkson, who sits just outside of this column's 'bargain' range at $6,100.

 

Darren Collison ($5,400) had a quiet night vs. OKC on Monday with 14 points, four assists and three turnovers, but in his previous six games he was averaging a solid 29.7 FDP. He should bounce back in an up-tempo game vs. a Mavs team that's giving up the 10th-most points to opposing benches, and the 9th-most points to opposing PGs. Collison will improve from a solid option to a borderline must-start if Rajon Rondo (back) is ruled out -- Rondo is listed as doubtful, so the stars are aligning for DC tonight.

 

 

$5,000-$3,500

The Bucks have yielded the second-most FanDuel points over the past three weeks, behind only the Suns, which immediately bodes well for Taj Gibson ($5,000). Over his past seven games, the Bulls' starting PF is averaging 8.7 points, 9.4 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 0.7 steals, 1.3 blocks and only 0.9 turnovers -- that adds up to 26.1 FDP. His position-specific matchup is also favorable, with the Bucks as the fifth most lenient team vs. PFs this month.

 

Nikola Mirotic ($4,700) benefits for many of the same reasons as Gibson, and the Bucks have been even worse vs. small forwards -- opposing SFs are scoring 23.7 points against Milwaukee over the past 10 games, more than any other team. There's definite risk involved, as Mirotic faces competition from Doug McDermott, Tony Snell and Bobby Portis, but he played 31 and 29 minutes in his past two games -- if he hits the 30-minute mark tonight he should prove to be a value at this price-point.

 

J.J. Barea ($4,600) should earn another start at PG on Tuesday, assuming Deron Williams (hamstring) doesn't play. D-Will is officially questionable, but he aggravated his injury by trying to return on Saturday and the Mavs will likely play it safe. The Kings are a delectable matchup for opposing guards, bolstering Barea's already solid numbers as a starter -- 17.5 points, 2.0 boards, 6.2 assists and 0.8 steals.

 

I'm not comfortable touting Arron Afflalo ($4,600), but need to at least mention him after he blew up for 44.4 FDP on Sunday. He's facing the same team tonight (the Hawks), though that doesn't guarantee similar success -- he also faced the Hawks on Dec. 26, but had only 13.1 FDP in that game. He'll likely be in a lot of tournament lineups tonight, making him a potential guy to fade.

 

In his past five games, Larry Nance ($4,300) has tallied 129.9 FDP in only 126 minutes. He's notched three double-doubles during that span, played a career-high 32 minutes vs. Phoenix on Sunday, and continues to earn praise from coach Byron Scott: "If you were probably to re-do the draft, he’d be a lottery pick." Julius Randle is also in play tonight at $5,600 but his minutes haven't been as robust as Nance, who offers almost can't-fail value at just $4,300.

 

Robin Lopez ($4,100) is one of the only viable low-end centers tonight. He's coming off a terrific game vs. the Hawks, during which he racked up 16 points, 11 rebounds, five assists and three blocks, and he gets the same matchup tonight. RoLo has 33+ FDP in two of his past three games and his minutes are creeping toward the 30-per-game range, which would be enough to make him a value-added punt play at this price.

 

Marco Belinelli ($3,800) has finally gotten hot, averaging 22.7 points on solid shooting over the Kings' past three games. He's worth a look tonight despite a middling matchup vs. the Mavs, but keep an eye on the injury report -- he's a safer option if Omri Casspi (back) or Ben McLemore (back) are ruled out.

 

Quick Hits: Omri Casspi ($5,700) would be an interesting play if he weren't questionable due to a sore back...Bobby Portis ($3,900) is cheap enough that he could be deployed in tournaments, but he's a big risk due to nightly fluctuations in playing time.

Ryan Knaus
Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.