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FanDuel MLB Plays: Monday

by Dean "Dean78904 Shavelson
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:02 pm ET

FanDuel is hosting a $150,000 Grand Slam tournament in which the winner will take home a sweet $15,000.  

 

As always, make sure to check all the lineups and potential inclement weather before submitting your rosters. Additionally, if you aren't already, I suggest you follow RotoGrinders Chief Meteorologist @KevinRothWx on Twitter for the most up-to-date and accurate DFS weather forecasts you'll find anywhere. Let’s get to the picks.

 

 

STARTING PITCHER

 

Lance Lynn vs Cincinnati Reds, $9,500

 

Thanks to the slate not featuring a true ace, Lynn is vaulted to best-available-pitcher status. Las Vegas has his back too, as the Cardinals are massive favorites (-185, the biggest on the MLB odds board) in a game with a paltry 7.5 over/under. Lynn carries an enticing 9.8 K/9 and has been dominant at home this season (1.83 ERA). Add it up and the St. Louis hurler looks like a building block for your 50/50 games this evening.  

 

 

Chris Heston vs Milwaukee Brewers, $7,600

 

Quietly, and without much flare, Heston been super solid this season. This is especially true recently, as he's yielded just 11 earned runs in his last eight efforts. What is most appealing about Heston is his distinct splits. He has been best against right-handed bats (.264 wOBA), and that is pretty much all the Brewers roll out. Heston is a groundball pitcher who will take the bump in a spacious ballpark, suggesting he comes with a fair amount of safety. Compound that with being a -170 favorite, thus positioning himself with a decent shot at the precious four points earned for a win on FanDuel, and Heston makes for a fine option this evening.    

 

 

CATCHER

 

Buster Posey vs Milwaukee Brewers, $4,300

 

Kyle Lohse has been one of the worst pitchers this season. One reason for this is that he has given up a pile of homers (23). Sure, he has been more vulnerable at home in hitter friendly Miller Park, but that doesn't mean that Posey can't light him up tonight. The Giants backstop has historically been a lefty masher, but the opposite has been true in 2015. Twelve of Posey's fourteen dingers have come off right-handers, whom he has also posted a .924 OPS against this season. 

 

 

Matt Wieters vs Atlanta Braves, $2,300

 

If you aren't rostering an elite bat like Posey, I don't mind just punting the position. Wieters hasn't had a good season since coming back from Tommy John surgery, but in DFS all we care about is tonight, and tonight he is well positioned for success. Indications are that he will be back in the lineup (after sitting with a stiff back), and he'll take on Alex Wood, who has been pretty dreadful vs righty sticks. While not true this season, the switch-hitting Wieters has thrived versus southpaws, with plenty of power upside.   

 



FIRST BASE

 

Prince Fielder vs New York Yankees, $3,900

 

There are two games that are most appealing when considering your bats this evening. This NYY-TEX matchup is tied for the highest over/under on the Las Vegas board (9), and power hitting Fielder should be in the middle of a dangerous Rangers lineup. Opposing pitcher has not looked sharp since coming back from Tommy John surgery, and he just isn't missing any bats. To this point, Nova has faced 58 left-handed hitters this season and has only struck out two of them. TWO! This does not bode well for his prospects in hitter friendly, and hot, Globe Life Park.  

 

 

Mike Napoli vs Chicago White Sox, $2,400

 

And here is the other game that happens to have an over/under of nine. Mike Napoli has been generally awful all season long, but a matchup against John Danks in Fenway Park demands your attention, especially at this bargain basement price. Sure, Danks has had his moments of late, but let’s not let recency bias cloud our judgment, as he is still worth picking on. Napoli comes in with the top MUwOBA (.371) among all first baseman to confirm this.  

 

 

SECOND BASE

 

Kolten Wong vs Cincinnati Reds, $2,900

 

Truth be told, no one really jumps out to me at second base. That said, there are several plays that are perfectly fine and justifiable, with Wong quite possibly being the most appealing among them. Opposing pitcher Raisel Iglesias, albeit in a small sample size, has really scuffled versus lefty bats this year. Wong should lead off and has an appealing power-speed combination that few offer at this price/position. I wouldn't force it, but if you have the available salary, Jason Kipnis is worth spending up to grab.  

 

 

THIRD BASE

 

Alex Rodriguez at Texas Rangers, $4,000

 

No, this is not a reaction to his three-homer game yesterday, as I'd be just as intrigued with him today no matter yesterday's output. The former Ranger has been defying age and has been smashing all season long. He has hammered righties, but has especially pummeled left-handers. This doesn't bode well for Matt Harrison, who has not looked good since coming back from spinal fusion surgery. There are multiple pivots off A-Rod, which should keep his ownership somewhat subdued, but I'd do my best to at least roster a share or two of the Yankees slugger.  

 

 

Kris Bryant vs Colorado Rockies, $3,100

 

The price and the matchup suggest that Bryant will be the most popular third baseman among all DFSers. Sure, Jorge De La Rosa has been solid on the road, but again, the asking price is plenty reasonable, and it’s not like the Rockies lefty is someone you ever go out of your way to avoid. Bryant has shown the most power potential against lefties and doesn't put a dent in your pocket.  

 

 


SHORTSTOP

 

Xander Bogaerts vs Chicago White Sox, $2,700

 

Typically I dread rostering a shortstop, especially on a short slate, but I'm borderline giddy to plug the Red Sox shortstop into my lineup. This is partially a product of picking on the vulnerable John Danks, who has struggled against righties. Bogaerts has been hot practically all month, and most recently, he has banged out 17 hits over his last 10 games. I don't expect him to extinguish this fire tonight.

 

 

J.J. Hardy vs Atlanta Braves, $2,700

 

Hardy makes for an enticing GPP pivot off the aforementioned Bogaerts. He is the same price, and while the Orioles shortstop hasn't been all that impressive this season, he has a history of flashing power versus lefties. It is hard to make an argument for Hardy over Bogaerts, making him an off-the-board tournament play.  

 

 

OUTFIELD


Hanley Ramirez vs Chicago White Sox, $3,400

 

One more Red Sox bat for the road (not that I'd ignore Mookie Betts). HanRam has been a frustrating player to roster, and hasn't exactly lived up to his "lefty masher" reputation, but this is a spot that can't be ignored. A .366 MUwOBA when paired up with John Danks backs this up. I should also mention that the top MUwOBA play in all of the outfield is Nelson Cruz. If you have a few extra bucks, by all means roster the Seattle slugger.  

 

 

Adam Jones vs Atlanta Braves, $3,000

 

Alex Wood has given up a .303 AVG / .797 OPS to lefty bats this season. Most recently he's been hammered for 16 hits and 10 ER in his last two starts. A game in Camden Yards is not the ideal place to turn these numbers around. Meanwhile, Jones has hit southpaws to the tune of a .348 AVG / .989 OPS on the season. Add it all up and it is evident that this is price point that needs to be exploited. Chris Young has thoroughly destroyed left-handers and is also worth a look at a similar asking price.

Dean "Dean78904 Shavelson
Dean Shavelson has soared up to the Top 25 Overall Rankings and is a well-rounded top player at Daily Fantasy Football, Baseball and Basketball. Dean78904 is contributor to and Assistant Producer for RotoGrinders and can be found on Twitter @DFS_Almanac.