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FanDuel MLB Plays: Saturday

by Andy “A25Smith” Smith
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:02 pm ET

Today there is a short four-game day slate, but a huge 11-game night slate on FanDuel. I’ll be focusing on the bigger late slate for this article. If you’re playing the day slate, here’s a quick synopsis of what I’m looking at.  I’d look to target David Price in cash games, with Gerrit Cole being a great GPP option (check the wind in Wrigley though). In terms of bats, eight of Miguel Cabrera’s nine home runs this year have come during day games and he’s facing a lefty in Tyler Lyons - I’d get him in some lineups. All of the other Detroit right-handed bats are great plays as well. For value, the Tampa Bay lefty bats are cheap (David DeJesus and Kevin Kiermaier) as well some of the Miami right-handed bats (Martin Prado and Jacob Realmuto). Freddie Freeman and Giancarlo Stantonare right there behind Miggy as the top bats on the early slate. Now to the late slate:



Pitchers

 

Danny Salazar, Cleveland Indians, $8,700 - There are some great pitching options on the night slate, but Salazar is my favorite GPP play of the bunch as he provides the same upside of the upper tier but at a big discount. He’s not as safe as the guys in the upper tier as he is more blowup prone, but the Rangers have struggled against right-handed pitching this year. Vegas likes the Indians to get to Colby Lewis, so Salazar should be in line for the win, which is key on FanDuel. He has at least 7 strikeouts in each outing this year, and in fact, he has double digit strikeouts in each game against teams other than the Royals (who strike out the least in MLB).

 

Max Scherzer, Washington Nationals, $11,000 - If you’re spending at pitcher, It’s a tough choice between Hernandez, Greinke and Scherzer tonight, but I give the edge to Scherzer. He’ll be pitching in a spacious ballpark in San Diego against a team full of right-handed bats. San Diego does have some powerful bats in that lineup, but Scherzer has been tough on righties in his career and according to the RotoGrinders Daily K Predictor he is expected to rack up 8.26 strikeouts, which only trails Danny Salazar. According to the Vegas lines, San Diego has the second-lowest team total on the day, making Scherzer a great option to anchor your lineups.

 

Also Consider- Felix Hernandez, Zack Greinki, Jacob deGrom

 

 

 

Catcher

 

Salvador Perez, Kansas City Royals, $2,400 - C.C. Sabathia continues to struggle against right-handed batters and all of the Royals’ right-handed bats look to be in great spots tonight. Perez has hit righties hard throughout his career and seven of the eight home runs allowed by C.C. this year have come to right-handed bats. 

 

Jason Castro, Houston Astros, $2,400 - If you’re looking for home runs tonight, the Astros’ bats are a great place to start your search. They’re a team with a ton of power (but also strike out a ton) and Marco Estrada has had a major problem with home runs throughout his career. Castro is cheap and has homered in two of his last four games. Estrada has allowed 1.46 hr/9 to lefties and 1.40 hr/9 to righties for his career, so Evan Gattis also very much in play as well for GPPs.

 

Also Consider - Evan Gattis, Russell Martin

 

 

First Base

 

Joey Votto, Cincinnati Reds, $3,900 - This is a perfect situation to target some of the Reds’ bats against Ryan Vogelsong. He’ll be away from his spacious home ballpark and is heading to a favorable hitting environment in Cincinnati. On the season, he’s allowed a .488 wOBA to left-handed batters, which is terrible, but on the road it gets even worse as he has allowed a huge .784 wOBA to lefties. Last year he had similar road splits as he allowed a road wOBA of .404 to left-handed bats. Votto is a great target for 50/50 and H2H as he’s always on base and has even shown some the ability to steal some bags this year.

 

Chris Davis, Baltimore Orioles, $3,600 - Joey Votto is my go to cash game option tonight and I’ll have him in some GPPs as well, but Chris Davis is my favorite GPP pivot tonight away from Votto. The Orioles, including Davis, were popular targets against Jered Weaver last night and threw up a complete dud. That should result in lower ownership today, and Davis is always a boom or bust option with the potential to go yard. Matt Shoemaker has not been the same pitcher he was last year and has already allowed 10 home runs on the season, including 6 to lefties.

 

Also Consider - Edwin Encarnacion. Paul Goldschmidt, Brandon Belt, Nick Swisher

 

 

Second Base               

 

Howie Kendrick, Los Angeles Dodgers, $3,300 - Jorge De La Rosa has struggled against right-handed bats for his career, even away from Coors Field, as he’s allowed a career. 360 wOBA to righties on the road. I prefer to target the Dodgers’ offense when a righty is on the mound, but Kendrick is a great option himself when a lefty takes the hill as he holds a .364 batting average and .401 against lefties on the year.

 

Jason Kipnis, Cleveland Indians, $4,400 - He’s expensive, so he could be tough to fit if you’re spending at pitcher. However, if you have some cash to spend he’s a great option at 2B as he has at least three hits in four of his last six games. He’s also facing a pitcher in Colby Lewis, who has struggled against lefties for his career as he’s allowed a .359 wOBA to them for his career.

 

Also Consider - Robinson Cano, Alex Guerrero

 

 

Shortstop

 

Alcides Escobar, Kansas City Royals, $2,800 - Shortstop is a weak position tonight and is a spot where it’s probably best to save. Escobar doesn’t offer any power, but he does have some speed and will be leading off for the Royals. He will also have the platoon splits in his favor against C.C. Sabathia, who as already mentioned, struggles mightily with righties.

 

Brandon Crawford, San Francisco Giants, $2,300 - Continuing with the cheap shortstop theme, Crawford is very cheap. And while he doesn’t hit high in the order like Escobar, he does offer some power as he has 5 home runs on the year. The Giants are getting a huge park bump and Mike Leake has had difficulties with lefties throughout his career.

 

Also Consider - Marcus Semien, Brad Miller

 

 

Third Base

 

Luis Valbuena, Houston Astros, $3,000 - Valbuena isn’t hitting for a high average, but he is providing power as he has nine home runs on the year. As discussed with Jason Castro and Evan Gattis, Marco Estrada’s biggest weakness is home runs, so Valbuena looks like a potential cheap source of power this evening.

 

Todd Frazier, Cincinnati Reds, $4,200 - The Reds are there at the top of the list when you’re looking at team stacks as Ryan Vogelsong has been brutal on the road. Frazier is the highest priced 3B option on the board, but for good reason, as he already has 12 home runs on the season. I prefer him slightly more against lefties but he’s fairly neutral when it comes to his splits and 7 of those 12 home runs have come against right-handed pitching.

 

Also Consider - Lonnie Chisenhall, Kyle Seager

 

 

Outfielders

 

Michael Brantley, Cleveland Indians, $4,700 - His price has really sky-rocketed, but for good reason. He has hits in 9 of his last 10 games and has shown that power and speed combination that is great to target as he has three home runs and three stolen bases during that time span. Colby Lewis has been solid this year, but his indicators point to regression and Vegas agrees as they have Cleveland pegged for the highest team total on the day. Lewis has always struggled with lefties so loading up with some of those Cleveland lefties is a great option tonight.

 

Jose Bautista, Toronto Blue Jays, $4,600 - I’m expecting some power out of the Houston bats, but the Jays should also be in line to put up some runs against Scott Feldman. The Astros’ ballpark is very favorable to right-handed bats, especially a power righty like Bautista who can easily poke one over the Crawford Boxes. Feldman is an average pitcher that has shown reverse split so far this year, allowing a .377 wOBA to righties this year.

 

David Peralta, Arizona Diamondbacks, $3,500 - I couldn’t go the entire article without picking on Jerome Williams at least once. Philadelphia is a favorable park for lefty bats and Peralta has smashed right-handed pitching so far in his major league career. Williams, on the other hand, is a journeyman pitcher and is allowing a .393 wOBA to left-handed bats so far this year.

 

Also Consider - Mike Trout/Kole Calhoun, Brandon Moss, Ender Inciarte, Colby Rasmus/George Springer, Jay Bruce, Lorenzo Cain

 

Andy “A25Smith” Smith
Andy has been playing fantasy sports for 15 years started playing Daily Fantasy Sports in 2012 with a $150 bankroll and is now ranked in the top 50 of the RotoGrinders leaderboard, including the top 15 in CFB and top 25 in NBA, under the name A25Smith. You can follow him on Twitter @SouthwesternAg.