Greetings gamers! Today we have a split slate featuring four games beginning at 12:35 PM ET and 11 games beginning at 7:05 PM ET. These featured recommendations will focus on the evening games since that is where many of the biggest FanDuel contests reside.
Carlos Carrasco – CLE at TB - $9,100 – Carrasco is the chalk play today against the struggling Tampa Bay Rays, who have mustered just three runs on just five hits in this series against Cleveland and have not scored five or more runs in over a week. While Carrasco has had a couple rough outings this month, the same can be said for nearly every pitcher out there.
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Jon Lester – CHC at NYM - $8,600 – Speaking of struggling pitchers, Lester is the current poster boy for the big contract swoon. His numbers to date on the season will keep a lot of gamers away, however, he gets a favorable ballpark shift going from Wrigley to Citi Field. (RotoGrinders has a useful Ballpark Factors tool to help you find an edge). The Mets have the fifth-worst weighted runs created plus (an advanced metric that neutralizes ballpark effects to create a league-wide baseline of 100) at 89 wRC+, meaning that they score 11% less efficiently against left-handed pitchers. As a bonus, most of their best batsmen hit from the left-side of the plate, and the Metropolitans also have a top 10 strikeout rate at 20.7%.
Jonathan Lucroy – MIL at PHI - $3,000 – Over his last 630 at-bats against right-handed pitching, Lucroy has posted a .353 wOBA (weighted on base average). Though he has been struggling since returning from injury, he did have a four-hit game on Monday. The matchup against RHP Aaron Harang is a good one, as Harang has been knocked around over the last three weeks with a 0-4 record, a 7.12 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Browse through more MLB player stats at RotoGrinders to help you finalize your lineups.
Anthony Rizzo – CHC at NYM - $4,100 – This price point is a steal when you consider Rizzo’s multi-extra base hit upside. The 42-year-old RHP Bartolo Colon has been rocked in his last two starts, giving up 10 earned runs in just over 10 innings. This season he is allowing a .315 batting average against and a .815 OPS against left-handed hitters. Rizzo is a tremendous option Wednesday night in all formats.
Neil Walker – PIT at DET - $2,600 – Over his last 10 games, Walker has just one outing in which he scored negative points. This kind of steady production is just what we are looking for from a discounted player. Though Walker is a switch-hitter, he fares much better in lefty/righty matchups, which fortunately is Wednesday’s starting pitcher Alfredo Simon’s weakness.
Howie Kendrick – LAD at ARI - $2,800 – Kendrick gets a phenomenal matchup with LHP Robbie Ray in the thin desert air of Chase Field. He has performed well against southpaws with a .354 wOBA and a 134 wRC+ dating back to 2014. Kendrick is on a bit of a heater currently with a six-game hitting streak, while hitting 13-for-25 during that span.
Early Options – Ben Zobrist
Luis Valbuena – HOU vs KC- $3,500 – This is one of my sneaky differentiation plays today. Most people shy away from Valbuena, and with today’s price point, even more will be looking elsewhere. On the season he has 19 home runs, with 14 coming against right-handed pitching in 176 at-bats. In daily fantasy baseball, it is important to focus more on the matchup than the name of the player.
Manny Machado – BAL vs TEX - $4,300 – Okay, sometimes it is the “name” player that does have a phenomenal matchup too. This season Machado has been outstanding against same-handed pitching with a .384 wOBA and a .235 ISO over 234 at-bats. RHP Nick Martinez struggles against fellow right-handers, making this a double bonus situation for Machado.
Jhonny Peralta – STL vs CHW - $3,400 – Peralta is a fine option today for a middle-of-the-road price against LHP Jose Quintana. He fares well against pitchers of all types and usually garners a solid batting order position in the heart of the lineup. If you have the funds, he makes for a very safe choice Wednesday.
J.J. Hardy – BAL vs TEX - $2,400 and Erick Aybar – LAA vs NYY - $2,200 – If you are looking to save cap space, either of these players is a decent option since their respective teams are in good matchups.
Denard Span – WAS at ATL - $3,300 – Span produces across the board and is continually overlooked by daily fantasy gamers. He has hits in 12 of his last 15 games and has also scored 12 runs in the same stretch, along with five stolen bases. The opposing pitcher today is RHP Matt Wisler, who allowed six runs on nine hits in his last start against the Nationals on June 25th.
Bryce Harper – WAS at ATL - $5,200 – Harper has been out of this world against right-handed pitching this season with a .343/.460/.750 slash line (.300/.400/.500 is considered outstanding) and 20 home runs in 172 at-bats. If you can scrape together the cap space, Harper is your guy.
Scott Van Slyke – LAD at ARI - $3,100 – Over the last three seasons (in 244 plate appearances) against southpaws, SVS has a robust .411 wOBA and an outstanding .267 ISO. He is another player that is so often ignored that you will find him on very few opposing rosters in this evening’s contests.