“Process over results … Process over results.”
Those were the only three words I could utter on Sunday night, following a tumultuous day of fantasy football.
I was walking around the house like an extra from The Walking Dead, and that’s a pretty accurate depiction of how I felt as well. That is, of course, without the uncontrollable urge to bite other human beings, but the aimless roaming without any words, direction, or meaning was a characterization I only wished was a dramatization.
“What would you like for dinner?” my wife innocently asked.
“Process over results” I grunted in an inaudible tone.
“Booth or table?” the hostess inquired.
“Process over results”.
“Are you ready to order, or do you need a few minutes?” the waiter questioned.
“Process over results”.
“Would you like to make that a double?” the bartender responded.
If you think I’m exaggerating, how about we flash back to last Sunday’s games (even if it means I have to relive it).
The Saints were one of the highest projected scoring teams of the day against a Tampa defense that was just slaughtered by a rookie QB. Jameis Winston and Vincent Jackson out-produce Drew Brees and Brandin Cooks in the same game.
Those were just a few examples of the head-scratching fantasy outcomes of week #2. However, looking back at it, the reason for selecting each of those players (Brees, Cooks, Hill, Brown) was correct; it just didn’t go according to plan. Wherein I’ll insert everyone’s favorite phrase once again:
PROCESS OVER RESULTS!
I’m taking the “process over results highroad” this week while rounding out out your FanDuel Must Plays for Sunday (and Monday) September 27-28. Wherein, I'm still outlining the players in the best position to suceed based on matchup, volume, and game flow, then pitting that against their respective FanDuel price.
PLATINUM: Build your lineup around these guys
Brandon Marshall – WR – NYJ (FanDuel Price: $7,400)
Marshall is probably my favorite play of this slate, checking in for a reasonable $7400 on FanDuel. It’s fair to say that he passed his first two tests of the season, puttuing up 6-62-1 and 7-101-1 against two of the most respectable defensive backs in the NFL. Now, he’ll get a matchup from the opposite side of the spectrum against a Philadelphia secondary that has gotten torched over the past two seasons. To make his fantasy prospects even better, a higher concentration of targets is likely with WR2 Erick Decker doubtful. Marshall is a focal point in cash games.
Adrian Peterson – RB – MIN (FanDuel Price: $8,900)
Before you scroll down to the comment section, just hear me out! Yes, I like Le’Veon Bell and Marshawn Lynch for similar salaries. However, I believe that Peterson marginally ranks ahead of them this week. Lynch could be in for a nice game as the Seahawks are 14 point favorites, and I fully recognize that Lynch is a monster at home. This situation lines up for plenty of carries, but his calf injury (questionable as of Friday morning) worries me. If the Seahawks build a healthy lead, they may just throttle back with their stable of reserve runners … In my opinion, Peterson has a safer bet for more carries in a home matchup vs San Diego. The Chargers have been gashed in the running game by Detroit and Cincinnati so far, which leads me to believe that Peterson can post an efficient line once again. He received 31 touches last week, totaling 192 yards and 18.2 fantasy points. I’m not concerned that he had two touchdowns vultured by Bridgewater and the fullback, as I’m willing to bet Peterson will find the end-zone on top of a solid yard per carry mark in this draw.
GOLD: Next wave to consider, in terms of priority
Antonio Brown – WR – PIT (FanDuel Price: $9,300)
Brown could be considered a daily fantasy staple every week if you are willing to pay his salary. Even though Le’Veon Bell is back in the mix demanding touches, Brown is still a top-flight WR 1 for all intents and purposes. I’m guessing that Pittsburgh will stick with the passing game, forced to throw over St. Louis’ stout front seven (which I still believe they are despite their lackluster performance last week). The Steelers have too many weapons, so defenses are forced to leave Brown in single coverage – where he routinely beats corners on short and deep routes alike .. Even when he doesn’t beat corners, he still makes plays for big gainers.
Cam Newton – QB – CAR (FanDuel Price: $7,900)
It’s really hard to deny Cam Newton this week. The quarterback position doesn’t have a clear-cut #1 pick on FanDuel this week. Brady and Rodgers lead the way, but they are pricey ... Russell Wilson? Sure, but how much will the Seahawks really need him? That leads us down to Carson Palmer and Cam Newton around the $8000 mark on FanDuel. I could see the rationale for either, but Newton’s increased rushing attempts (10 and 14 past two games) serves as the tiebreaker. It helps that New Orleans hasn’t looked good against the pass this season, letting Jameis Winston look extremely comfortable on the road last Sunday.
SILVER: Good options that narrowly rank ahead of similar players
Randall Cobb – WR – GB (FanDuel Price: $8,200)
I love Cobb for tournaments. I’ll blend him into cash games as well if I can’t quite reach for Antonio Brown. Kansas City’s secondary has been surprisingly bad to begin the season, giving up big games to DeAndre Hopkins and Emmanuel Sanders in consecutive weeks. The Packers may turn to their passing game a little more than usual if Eddie Lacy doesn’t play in this Monday Night battle (didn’t practice Thursday, looks highly questionable), and WR Davante Adams may miss this game as well. That leaves more production for Cobb in this welcoming matchup.
Latavius Murray – RB – OAK (FanDuel Price: $7,000)
Murray has a nice matchup against Cleveland’s soft rushing defense this week, ultimately vaulting him into RB2 consideration on FanDuel. The only concern comes from a “game flow” point of view, where the Raiders could fall behind (or lay an egg while traveling east, much like San Francisco did last week). Even if that takes place, fantasy backers can take comfort in the fact that Murray was heavily involved in the passing game (7 receptions) in a week 1 blowout loss vs Cincinnati. Due to this, I believe Murray has a relatively high floor with a great chance of upside if the Raiders get him going against the bad Cleveland run defense.
BRONZE: Not 100% necessities, but they mix well into a quality lineup
John Brown (FanDuel Price: $6,000)
Didn’t I mention John Brown adding to my ‘Walking Dead state of mind’ last week? Am I crazy for going back to the well? If you watched any of the Steelers-49ers game last week, you won’t think I’m crazy. The 49ers secondary was repeatedly torched by Antontio Brown and Darrius Heyward-Bey, especially on vertical passing routes, which is exactly what John Brown specializes in. I still like Larry Fitzgerald, but so does everyone else following his 3 TD performance. I really think John Brown has higher upside in a matchup like this, where he could easily get behind the defense for a long bomb on top of his “between the 20’s” work.
Greg Olsen (FanDuel Price: $5,900)
Olsen made this column in week one, but disappointed with just 1 catch and 11 yards. Last Sunday went slightly more according to plan with a moderate 6-70 stat line. I’m expecting Olsen to build upon that total even more as Carolina’s primary receiving threat. He’s a great red-zone commodity, and a fine pairing with QB Cam Newton considering the matchup against New Orleans.
PARTICIPATION RIBBONS: Fell just short of a featured spot
QB – Carson Palmer ($8,100)
RB – Marshawn Lynch ($8,700)
RB - Frank Gore ($7,000)
WR – Donte Moncrief ($6,000)
Seattle Defense ($5,300)