We have just a two-game slate tonight, as the Bulls try to keep the Bucks from forcing a Game 7, while the Spurs try to finish off the Clippers to avoid a Game 7 in Los Angeles. Despite the small slate, there are some big contests over on FanDuel, with the Slam ($25 entry) and Shot ($3 entry) both having big prize pools.
Derrick Rose, Chicago Bulls, $7,700 - Rose was fantastic through the first three games of this series as the Bulls raced out to a 3-0 series lead, and everyone was singing his praises. However, that was short-lived - the Bulls have dropped the last two and Rose has stunk the joint up in each game. I saw an interesting stat on Rose for this series: on two days rest in this series, he is averaging 28.5 PPG and 53% percent from the floor, but on one day of rest he’s only averaging 14 PPG and 29% percent from the floor. The Bulls haven’t played since Monday, so he’ll be working off two days rest for this one. I probably wouldn’t put a ton of stock in that stat for most players, but with Rose’s injury history and knee problems, it makes sense that he would perform better with more time off. He’s playing major minutes (42 last game) and I like him to bounce back with a strong performance tonight.
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Michael Carter-Williams, Milwaukee Bucks, $7,200 - Chris Paul is very much in play at the top end, but he’s expensive, will likely see Kawhi Leonard’s defense, and you’ll have to work to fit him into your NBA lineups. Tony Parker is also intriguing at $4,900, but his ceiling is very limited if you’re looking to take down a big tournament. MCW is the guy that I think can swing money one way or the other tonight in big tournaments. He flashed his upside last game with a near triple double and 49 FD points, and he put up 37 FD points in Game 3. However, in the other three games, he has failed to top 24 FD points. He’s a guy I’m looking to plug into my tournament lineups - he has the same upside as CP3, but at a much lower cost.
Also Consider - Chris Paul
Jimmy Butler, Chicago Bulls, $9,100 - Jimmy Butler is playing all of the minutes - hence his “Jimmy Minutes” nickname. He’s played 40+ minutes in each of the past four games, producing at least 46 FD points in three of those four contests. Butler put up 49 FD points despite shooting 5-for-21 from the field last game, and the SG position is very thin tonight with almost all of the options having limited ceilings. He’s not going to come cheap, but he’s the top option to target at SG.
Manu Ginobili, San Antonio Spurs, $4,400 - Ginobili has been very productive in this series, but he is playing limited minutes, as he hasn’t topped 22 in any game. However, he’s getting heavy usage when he is in the game, and has shown he can easily put up 25 FD points in 22 minutes. With this being a close-out game at home, I’d expect Ginobili to play 22 minutes as opposed to 18, which should put him in a prime position to produce the 23 FD points he needs to pay off this salary.
Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio Spurs, $8,500 - SF is really ugly on this short slate, so I’m looking to lock in some production with Kawhi. He had a poor Game 5, shooting only 5-for-16 from the field. I’m expecting a strong bounce back game from him though, as he’s shot the ball well in his home arena this series, averaging 45 FD points. Look for Leonard to put up a big game as the Spurs try to close out the Clippers.
Mike Dunleavy, Chicago Bulls, $4,000 - It’s tough to fit in both Kawhi Leonard and Khris Middleton, who are the top two SFs of the night, but if you can that’s the top SF combo of the night. If you’re looking for a value SF, I’m looking at Mike Dunleavy. Yes, I know he was horrific in Game 5, somehow putting up NEGATIVE FanDuel points. That performance should keep his ownership down, and it is obviously concerning. However, in the previous four games in this series he put up between 21 and 23 FD points in each and played at least 33 minutes, which is what you want at his cheap price tag.
Also Consider - Khris Middleton
Blake Griffin, Los Angeles Clippers, $11,600 - This is a steep price for Griffin, but he’s been well worth it in this series, and he’s a guy I’m trying to fit into my lineups. He’s been a matchup problem for the Spurs this entire series, and outside of a bad Game 3, he has been fantastic. He’s topped 54 FD points in four of the five games, including two 60+ FD point games. The Clippers are battling for their playoff lives and the Spurs don’t appear to have an answer for him, so I expect another huge performance from Griffin tonight.
John Henson, Milwaukee Bucks, $4,900 - Tim Duncan and Pau Gasol are both great options as well, but I wanted to provide a value alternative at PF. There are two value PFs that are in play tonight: Henson and Boris Diaw. It’s a really tough choice between the two of them, and I’m looking at Henson for large field tournaments and Diaw for cash games. Diaw looks to be the safer of the two, but Henson has the higher ceiling in my opinion and would be my target for tournaments. He can pile up blocks, steals and rebounds in a hurry when he is given minutes, which gives him the upside that I am looking for in tournaments.
Zaza Pachulia, Milwaukee Bucks, $4,000 - I’d expect Joakim Noah to be the highest owned center tonight since he’s sitting at an affordable 6.5K, and for DeAndre Jordan to probably be the second-highest owned option. However, Jordan hasn’t hit 5x value in the playoffs yet, and Noah has been non-existent offensively (averaging 5.6 PPG for this series), which limits his upside. On the other hand, Zaza is cheap at 4K and has put up 26.5 and 29.5 FD points in his last two games, which averages out to 7x value. He’s a great way to differentiate your lineups and save some money, and could be that low-owned cheaper option that takes you to the top of tournaments standings tonight, that is if Jordan and Noah continue to put up 30-35 FD point games.