The NBA playoffs roll on Tuesday evening with two games featuring Western Conference foes. The Rockets will be looking to finish off the Mavericks in Game 5 in Houston at the Toyota Center, while the Spurs will visit the Clippers in a crucial Game 5 in a 2-2 series. With only two games to choose from, there’s little margin for error when building your FanDuel lineups. Here are my top plays for tonight’s contests.
Chris Paul, Los Angeles Clippers, $10,900 – With the exception of game three, Chris Paul has exceeded 42 fantasy points in each game of this series. The SAS/LAC game has a very appealing Vegas line with an over/under of 205 and the Clippers coming in as 2-point favorites. Chris Paul will also have the benefit of playing in front of his hometown fans at the Staples Center. Paul is an excellent top tier target tonight.
Jose Juan Barea, Dallas Mavericks, $4,500 – Barea is coming into Game 5 as free value on FanDuel. At just $4,500, Barea is a must play. With Rondo done for the remainder of the playoffs, Barea was able to produce to 17 points and 13 assists (38.1 fantasy points) in 36 minutes of action in game four. Lock Barea into your lineups tonight.
Monta Ellis, Dallas Maverick, $6,800 – It seems to be relatively easy to project the minutes total for Monta Ellis as he has played either 38 or 39 minutes in each of the first four games of this series. Ellis’ playing time is fairly secure due to Rondo and Parsons both being out. A fair price for a healthy amount of time on the court makes for a smart play at a thin shooting guard position.
Manu Ginobili, San Antonio Spurs, $4,100 – While he certainly has not played much in this series, Ginobili has made the most with his time on the court, as he’s averaged over a fantasy point per minute played. At $4,100, all he needs is right around 20 fantasy points to reach his value threshold. Ginobili gives you the ability to pay up for some the studs tonight, and is a great cheap option.
Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio Spurs, $8,600 – At this point in the playoffs, Kawhi Leonard should be priced much closer to $10,000. At $8,600, Kawhi Leonard is still an excellent value option. The Clippers have struggled defending opposing wing players all season long and not much has changed in the first round of the playoffs.
Al-Farouq Aminu, Dallas Mavericks, $5,100 – Much like teammate Barea, Aminu is basically free value on FanDuel. With the loss of Rondo and Parsons, Aminu has worked his way into a 30-plus minute role. In addition to the extended playing time, Aminu has produced at least 26 fantasy points in each of the last three games. All this adds up to Aminu being a solid value option tonight.
Blake Griffin, Los Angeles Clippers, $10,400 – Blake is another stud to potentially lock into your rosters tonight. He has exceeded 54 fantasy points in three out of the four games in this series. Blake’s athleticism appears to be too much to handle for the aging San Antonio Spurs.
Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks, $6,500 – Dirk has played at least 34 minutes in all four games of this series, which is excellent news for his DFS value. His price of $6,500 is still reflective of his regular season minutes cap. Dirk has produced over 30 fantasy points in all four playoff games, making him an excellent value option tonight.
Dwight Howard, Houston Rockets, $7,600 – The options at the center position appear to be very bleak tonight. Howard is by far the best and safest center option. Dwight has exceeded 42 fantasy points in two out of the four games in this series, which is a much higher ceiling than the other options at the position.