We’re almost halfway through the season. Unreal. Time flies when you’re having fun.
But let’s get down to business and talk about the guys you need to fade this week when you go for the gold (or straight up money, however you want to look at it).
Aaron Rodgers at Denver for $9,000
The Denver Broncos defense is nasty. So far this season the Broncos have forced nine interceptions, a league-high 26 sacks and they have recovered a league-high eight fumbles. They give up an average of 10.09 FanDuel points per game to opposing quarterbacks. Do I think Aaron Rodgers will fare better than that? Yes, I do. But I do not think he will score over 20 FanDuel points, and that’s what you need if you’re going to put down $9,000 on a player. This game will be a defensive battle, so the fantasy points will be hard to come by.
Chris Ivory at Oakland for $7,700
Chris Ivory is practicing in full and seems to be confident that his hamstring issue is barely an issue at all. I’m not as sure. This week it’s a hamstring and there’s also been talk of a quad issue, but the moral of the story is that Chris Ivory’s high volume of play is wearing on his body. In every game that Ivory has completed, he received 19 to 29 touches. Don’t look for his touch total to be that high this week. They need to preserve Ivory for the long haul, so look for Ryan Fitzpatrick to throw. There is always a chance of a touchdown and Ivory certainly has been a FanDuel superstar this year, but don’t be surprised if they give him plenty of rest throughout the game.
Randall Cobb at Denver for $7,600
In general, I’m fading almost all of the players in the GB@DEN game. There’s some conjecture as to whether Chris Harris Jr. will shadow Cobb or not, but let’s just say that I don’t want to play any of the receivers going up against Harris and/or Aqib Talib. This week also marks the return of Davante Adams. Considering James Jones has solidified his role in the end zone, I’m not sure if there is enough upside to plug in Cobb even as a contrarian play.
Mike Evans versus Atlanta for $7,800
Mike Evans was electric in Week 7 when he caught eight of his 12 targets for 164 yards and a touchdown. Unfortunately, he won’t go up against a beat-up Washington secondary every week. In fact, this week he goes up against the tough Atlanta secondary, led by Desmond Trufant, that gives up the 3rd fewest FanDuel points to opposing wide receivers. And in case that wasn’t bad enough, Louis Murphy just went out with a season-ending injury and Vincent Jackson is listed as doubtful with a knee injury and you can pretty much assume he won’t play. That leaves us Donteea Dye as the other wide receiver on this team. You think Evans will get double coverage or triple coverage? Really, those are your choices.
Antonio Gates at Baltimore for $5,900
Luckily this week Gates plays in an early game, so we won’t have to wait to hear his status. However, I think you can sit him either way. Gates does not feel confident running on his knee right now and he’s still not practicing. When it comes to game flow, this is a great matchup for Rivers and his receivers. Even if Gates does play, he’ll be more of a decoy than anything else. The Chargers simply don’t need him to score points, so it seems unlikely that they will risk worsening his injury. Also, Ladarius Green has been playing exceptionally well. The Baltimore Ravens give up the 2nd fewest points to opposing tight ends, but if you want to put one of these players in, go with Green at $5,300.
All Dallas Running Backs versus Seattle
Let’s start off this conversation by stating the fact that Seattle gives up the 2nd fewest FanDuel points to opposing running backs. Then let’s focus on the fact that this committee has been all over the map this year in terms of production so even when we think we’ve figured it out, we’re wrong. I’ll also bring up the fast that Darren McFadden looked great last week when he carried the ball 29 times for 152 yards and a touchdown. But do you think it’s a good idea to run a guy 29 times when he has the longest and most sordid injury history in the league? This is a confusing situation in a bad matchup. Each player on this team has a low floor and minimal upside.
Sometimes you need to make the tough choices, but these were pretty clear fades and passing on them should be pretty easy. Instead, go out there and find those upside guys. Good luck in Week 8.