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Week 16 FanDuel Recap

by Justin Van Zuiden
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:02 pm ET

One week is all we have remaining for the 2015 regular season in the NFL, and next week will be an interesting one as we have some teams with a lot to play for, some teams who might rest players because playoff positioning is locked up, and some teams who are playing for a good draft pick. Before we get to that, let’s take a look back at Week 16 to see what transpired in daily fantasy.

 

Here’s a look at the winning lineup for this past week's “Sunday Million” tournament on FanDuel:

 

Player

Pos

          FPs

     Salary

Carson Palmer

QB

17.6

$8,700

DeAngelo Williams

RB

30.3

$7,400

Tim Hightower

RB

30.4

$6,300

Brandon Marshall

WR

27.5

$8,300

Keshawn Martin

WR

10.9

$5,400

Allen Robinson

WR

24.1

$8,400

Will Tye

TE

4.3

$5,100

Blair Walsh

K

23

$4,600

Arizona Cardinals

DST

33

$4,700

Total

 

201.1

$58,900

 

The winning lineup this week belonged to “onefifty9n2” and there are a lot of things to dissect here. At first glance, the actual performance of the winning lineup is different from what we normally see. In fact, there were arguably three duds on the squad, with one player scoring 4.3 points, one player scoring 10.9 points, and a quarterback scoring under 20 points. You usually don’t see that on a winning GPP team, but there were plenty of other amazing performances to make up for that. It was also a week where quite a few popular picks did poorly, so going against the grain paid off in some tournament approaches.

 

The only popular picks that the winning roster had were DeAngelo Williams and Allen Robinson. Everyone else checked in with an ownership percentage of 11% or less. Both Williams and Robinson had great games, and in fact those were the top performing “chalk” plays of the day. Avoiding some of the other landmines was a big reason why the winner had the success that he did. He made a great pick in Tim Hightower, who was leaned on more often with a banged up Drew Brees. In addition, the Saints got out to a big first half lead which allowed them to run the ball more than normal in this game.

 

My favorite pick of the bunch was Carson Palmer, though it wasn’t necessarily part of the reason for victory. David Johnson was a much more popular target this week, and fading him while taking Palmer was a great tournament strategy. It didn’t work out, but the kicker and defense performances were out of this world. The winning lineup saw a massive 56 fantasy points from Blair Walsh and the Arizona defense, and this gave him a huge leg up on the rest of the field. It even provided enough to overcome poor games from Will Tye and Keshawn Martin. Martin was a risky pick, but it makes logical sense as New England was down their two starting wide receivers, and Martin was thrust into a starting role.

 

Last, but certainly not least, we must recognize that the winning lineup had more than $1,000 in salary cap left on the table. It certainly would have been easy to upgrade a guy like Keshawn Martin or take a more expensive kicker or defense. Changing the kicker to a guy who was a few hundred dollars more expensive would have meant the difference between winning and finishing farther down the standings this week. I applied “onefifty9n2” for having the intestinal fortitude to leave that salary left on the table! Congratulations to all the winners this week!

 

 

STLCardinals84: Week 16 Recap

 

I only have to say one word about my teams this week: Yuck. Here’s a look at my ugly roster from Week 16:

 

Player

Pos

          FPs

     Salary

Cam Newton

QB

14.3

$9,300

David Johnson

RB

20.2

$7,300

Karlos Williams

RB

14.7

$5,400

Antonio Brown

WR

9.6

$9,300

Rueben Randle

WR

15

$5,700

Michael Floyd

WR

14.1

$6,300

Delanie Walker

TE

10.4

$6,600

Jason Myers

K

1

$4,700

Kansas City Chiefs

DST

8

$5,400

Total

 

107.3

$60,000

 

Do we even have to discuss this? It all went wrong, or so it seems. Since I used this in some cash games, I attempted to build a “safe” roster here. In fact, Newton, Johnson, Williams, Brown, and Randle were all in excess of 15% owned in most contests. Newton and Brown were the two highest-priced players, and they both disappointed greatly in good matchups. When you get just 24 combined fantasy points from two players that each cost you more than $9,000 of cap space, it’s going to be very tough to recover.

 

Outside of David Johnson having a decent game and Rueben Randle salvaging something with a long touchdown catch in the fourth quarter, this team was relatively quiet. Jason Myers was basically taken out of commission when Jacksonville fell way behind, as the Jaguars went for two on most of their touchdowns. Michael Floyd, Delanie Walker, and the Chiefs Defense were “meh” at best. In fact, there wasn’t a really great performance on this whole team.

 

The good news is that this was a very low scoring week. This team actually placed 38,700th out of 78,590 in the Sunday Million, and it was able to cash in some 50/50 contests, so this wasn’t a total washout. It was a very bizarre week, so at least take solace that you had some company if your teams performed poorly in Week 16. Good luck in the final week of the regular season!  

Justin Van Zuiden
STLCardinals84 has qualified for 3 separate live finals, including the FanDuel Baseball Championships in 2013 and 2014. Justin won the MLB Monster 3 separate times in 1 month on FanDuel and was one of the most profitable players in all of Daily Fantasy this past season. STL is ranked No. 6 overall. You can follow him on Twitter @stlcardinals84.