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Week 7 FanDuel Recap

by Justin Van Zuiden
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:02 pm ET

This was one of the most predictable weeks we have had in daily fantasy football history. Several players were a bit underpriced and had good matchups, and this led to a lot of overlap in roster construction this week. Numerous players were 20%+ in terms of ownership, and picking the right diamond in the rough for your tournament lineups was more critical than normal in order to differentiate your squads from the herd. It was interesting to watch things unfold, and nothing was decided until Joe Flacco’s interception late in the fourth quarter on Monday Night Football; a touchdown and two-point conversion would have sent the game into overtime (which many Carson Palmer, Larry Fitzgerald, and Michael Floyd owners were rooting for!).

 

 

Here's a look at the winning lineup for this week's “Sunday Million” tournament on FanDuel.

 

 

Player

Pos

          FPs

     Salary

Andrew Luck

QB

26.0

$8,900

Todd Gurley

RB

30.3

$7,400

Lamar Miller

RB

37.1

$6,700

T.Y. Hilton

WR

29.0

$7,700

Stefon Diggs

WR

20.7

$5,800

Julio Jones

WR

19.7

$9,100

Ladarius Green

TE

16.5

$5,100

Blair Walsh

K

20

$4,700

St. Louis Rams

DST

25

$4,500

Total

 

224.3

$59,900

 

 

A very plausible strategy this week was to take a few of the popular plays and then make small adjustments to a lineup to differentiate from the crowd. That’s exactly what user “brettg83” did to take home the massive $500,000 payday in the Sunday Million tournament on FanDuel this week. He locked in two of the most popular plays this week – Todd Gurley and the Rams Defense – and built from there. The RB and D/ST combination is actually a highly correlated play in daily fantasy, as teams are generally playing from ahead if their defense is playing well. That means more rushing attempts by the time the second half rolls around. That’s exactly what happened here, as Gurley had a field day against the Browns after halftime. The Rams scored an early defensive touchdown on their way to the top defensive performance of the week, and Brett was off to a great start.

 

 

The first thing Brett did to differentiate his lineup was not taking the highly-owned Devonta Freeman, instead choosing to get his Atlanta ownership through Julio Jones. While this in and of itself wasn’t a game-changer, as Jones and Freeman finished with similar point totals, the key is that this opened up a roster spot for Lamar Miller as a second running back. Miller was part of a dynamic Dolphins attack in the first half, as he helped Miami jump out to a 42-0 lead on Houston. Unfortunately, this prevented him from playing in the second half. However, it’s hard to complain about a massive 37 fantasy point day – especially since that came in two quarters!

 

 

Stefon Diggs and Ladarius Green were reasonably popular options, as both came in at around 15% ownership. They both delivered solid performances, as each caught a touchdown pass and Diggs topped 100 receiving yards. The other thing Brett did to be different was using the under-owned combination of Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton. Game flow worked wonders here, as the Colts fell way behind and were forced to the air against the Saints. Hilton had a great second half, catching two long touchdown passes, and this combination paid off for Brett as both players were around 8-10% ownership.

 

 

Last – but certainly not least – Brett got a solid performance from his kicker, Blair Walsh. He kicked five field goals for the Vikings, including two from over 50 yards out, and this was a big key by the time the games ended for the week. The third place finisher in the tournament had 13 points from Steven Gostkowski, and he finished six points behind Brett. If Walsh would have matched Gostkowski’s point total, Brett would not have won the tournament. He needed those 20 points, and the ultimate boost was that Walsh was only 1.4% owned! Congratulations go out to Brett and all the other big winners this week!

 

 

 

STLCardinals84/Dean78904: Week 7 Recap


In an effort to change things up a little bit, I am going to break down a lineup that Dean Shavelson and I built on the air during our Sirius XM Radio show on Saturday afternoon. This lineup ended up doing pretty well, as we threw it in the “Sunday Million” tournament on behalf of our Sirius XM radio listeners.

 

 

To prevent any false assumptions or things being taken out of context, please note that I am not the owner of the account used to create this team. I do not personally see any of the winnings and am not responsible for any losses. This is a Sirius XM-hosted FanDuel account. Here’s the squad that Dean and I built on the air:

 

 

Player

Pos

          FPs

     Salary

Carson Palmer

QB

19.2

$8,200

Arian Foster

RB

27.0

$8,600

Todd Gurley

RB

30.3

$7,400

John Brown

WR

14.5

$6,700

Antonio Brown

WR

16.0

$8,300

Donte Moncrief

WR

11.4

$6,500

Ladarius Green

TE

16.5

$5,100

Josh Lambo

K

9.0

$4,700

St. Louis Rams

DST

25

$4,500

Total

 

168.9

$60,000

 

 

Like the winner of the Sunday Million, we opted to use a few “chalk” plays in our lineup with Todd Gurley and the Rams Defense. That was a good start, as we were on pace with the winner of the tournament. Ladarius Green was on our roster too, as by the time we aired on Saturday afternoon it was starting to look like Antonio Gates was doubtful to play in Sunday’s game. Hey, we’re three-for-three in having picks the same as the winner!

 

 

My thought for going against the grain this week was to fade DeAndre Hopkins and take Arian Foster instead. This worked wonders, as Foster managed two touchdowns in garbage time before getting injured late in the second half. Unfortunately, news later surfaced that he will miss the remainder of the season with an Achilles injury. It’s a tough blow for Foster, who seemed to be hitting his stride, only to be derailed by another injury. Another against the grain pick was paying up for Antonio Brown at wide receiver as opposed to taking the highly-owned Martavis Bryant. That didn’t have much effect by the end of the day, as Brown put up four more points than Bryant, but he also came at a more expensive price tag. Brown’s line of six catches for 124 yards dwarfed the 3-for-45 line from Bryant, but Bryant saved his day by hauling in the only touchdown catch for the team.

 

 

Another popular pick that we used was Carson Palmer for the Cardinals. In an attempt to be a little different than the crowd, we locked in John Brown as the paired-up wide receiver. His ownership was going to be kept down as he was questionable for the game with an injury, so this was a calculated risk since FanDuel doesn’t have a late swap feature. Brown outperformed Larry Fitzgerald, but the Cardinals had a pedestrian game through the air. Most of the damage was done by Chris Johnson on the ground.

 

 

All in all, our roster performed very well. Nobody put up a total stinker, though Donte Moncrief and Josh Lambo didn’t have GPP-winning type performances. This squad was able to turn $25 into $70, and that’s a victory in my book!

 

 

 

Stock Rising

 

1. Andrew Luck

2. Todd Gurley

3. Lamar Miller

4. Mike Evans

5. Ladarius Green

 

Stock Falling

 

1. Drew Brees

2. Dion Lewis

3. Arian Foster

4. Larry Fitzgerald

5. Greg Olsen

Justin Van Zuiden
STLCardinals84 has qualified for 3 separate live finals, including the FanDuel Baseball Championships in 2013 and 2014. Justin won the MLB Monster 3 separate times in 1 month on FanDuel and was one of the most profitable players in all of Daily Fantasy this past season. STL is ranked No. 6 overall. You can follow him on Twitter @stlcardinals84.