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Mookie Betts
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Daily Games

MLB DFS Plays: Friday 10/16

by Brad Johnson
Updated On: October 16, 2020, 10:08 am ET

This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

The action kicks off at 6:07pm ET. Remember, a key to small slate GPPs is to find unpopular, down-lineup heroes. I’ll try to highlight a couple while mostly focusing on the top targets at each position. Yahoo! is not running a contest.

PITCHER

Blake Snell – Rays (vs Braves) – DK: $8700, FD: $9200

After a slow start to 2020, Snell recaptured his ace-quality form from 2018 including over 11.00 K/9. He projects to easily lead the slate in strikeouts. The Astros had a below average offense against left-handed pitchers this year, although that largely comes down to multiple members of the lineup underperforming. The offense is clicking on… most… cylinders now. Not quite all of them. Certain members like Michael Brantley and Kyle Tucker are worse against southpaws.

None of the pitchers available tonight can be expected to work more than five frames. Framber Valdez has a slightly better matchup than Snell, though I do worry about him warming up to pitch last night.

Also Consider: Dustin May, Framber Valdez, Josh Tomlin

CATCHER

Will Smith – Dodgers (vs TBD) –DK: $4700, FD: $3100

No catcher is half as likely to homer as Smith. The potent fly ball hitter doesn’t pair well against fly ball pitcher Josh Tomlin, but it’s unlikely they’ll square off more than once. The Braves bullpen has quite a few ground ball pitchers against whom Smith has an increased chance to homer.

Also Consider: Travis d’Arnaud, Martin Maldonado, Mike Zunino

FIRST BASE

Freddie Freeman – Braves (vs Dustin May) –DK: $4800, FD: $4100

Although Freeman is probably one of the chalkier individuals tonight, it feels a tad contrarian to go with Braves hitters. A Dodgers stack will be the most popular build. Freeman’s matchup against May is neutral. Even though he’s not among the likeliest to homer, he compiles enough hits and run production to make up for it.

Also Consider: Mike Brosseau, Max Muncy, Ji-Man Choi, Yuli Gurriel

SECOND BASE

Chris Taylor – Dodgers (vs Josh Tomlin) –DK: $3900, FD: $2700

Taylor is both affordable and matches up well against Tomlin. He’s a line drive and ground ball hitter whose worst trait (strikeouts) will be muted against the Braves starter. As with Smith, Tomlin will probably only face Taylor once. More importantly, he’s a piece of the Dodgers stack who will likely slip through the cracks. If you’re convinced another 15-run drubbing is in the cards, differentiating your lineup with less popular Dodgers will improve your odds of winning a GPP.

Also Consider: Ozzie Albies, Brandon Lowe, Jose Altuve, Aledmys Diaz

THIRD BASE

Alex Bregman – Astros (vs Blake Snell) –DK: $4500, FD: $3700

No hitter is more snakebit than Bregman. While a .244/.354/.341 postseason batting line isn’t bad, he’s been on the wrong side of numerous fantastic defensive plays. The hits will come, eventually, and I want to be there when they finally fall. Snell is a ground ball pitcher and Bregman is a fly ball hitter. It’s a combination that produces favorable launch angles for hitters.

Also Consider: Justin Turner, Austin Riley, Yandy Diaz, Edwin Rios

SHORTSTOP

Corey Seager – Dodgers (vs Josh Tomlin) – DK: $5300, FD: $4200

As has often been the case throughout this Championship Series, Seager is one of the top five hitters in the slate. He matches up particularly well against Tomlin, although there are few right-handed pitchers of any flavor that represent a difficult pairing for Seager. The worst thing that could happen for him tonight is to face multiple of Tyler Matzek, A.J. Minter, Will Smith, and Grant Dayton. And that is quite plausible.

If you’re feeling contrarian, Willy Adames will probably be less than 10 percent rostered in GPPs even though he’s one of just four rosterable shortstops. Of course, he’s struggling mightily.

Also Consider: Carlos Correa, Dansby Swanson, Willy Adames

OUTFIELD

Mookie Betts – Dodgers (vs Josh Tomlin) – DK: $5400, FD: $4500

The Braves appear poised to use a bevy of left-handed relievers tonight to keep certain high-profile, left-handed hitting Dodgers off balance. Betts might directly benefit. The top-projected hitter has yet to homer this postseason despite otherwise hitting well (.273/.375/.424). He has multi-homer potential to go along with all the other ways he can fill up a box score.

Hunter Renfroe – Rays (vs Framber Valdez) – DK: $3200, FD: $2800

Few hitters have Renfroe’s home run potential. He consistently demonstrates better plate discipline and power against opposite handed-pitchers. He also prefers to face ground ball hurlers like Valdez. It’s a double whammy in favor of this all-or-nothing slugger.

While most DFSers will be using hot-hitting Randy Arozarena, Renfroe is even likelier to homer at a cheaper price. He’ll probably be one of the least used starters too. Of course, there’s good reason for that – he’s also one of the likeliest fielders to be removed in the middle innings.

Also Consider: Mookie Betts, George Springer, Cody Bellinger, A.J. Pollock, Marcell Ozuna, Cristian Pache, Austin Meadows, Manuel Margot, Randy Arozarena

Brad Johnson

You can read more from Brad Johnson on Rotoworld, FanGraphs, and RotoFanatic. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.