Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
With that, let’s dive into tonight’s main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Eduardo Rodriguez – Boston (vs. Colorado)
Rodriguez got off to a horrific start this season, which is the culprit behind his current 4.53 ERA. However, the Boston southpaw has been much better lately, tossing back-to-back quality starts while allowing just one earned run over 13 innings with 11 strikeouts. I understand that it’s somewhat scary to select a pitcher in hitter-friendly Fenway Park, but Rodriguez finds himself in a sneaky-good matchup tonight. His opponent, Colorado, ranks 24th in wRC+ (82) with the eighth-highest strikeout rate at 25.1%. He’ll need to look out for Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story, but Rodriguez should be able to navigate the rest of the Rockies’ order.
Ronald Guzman – Texas (at Kansas City)
The Rangers check in with one of the highest run-scoring projections of the night. They are going up against Kansas City RHP Jorge Lopez, who has surrendered four or more earned runs over five straight starts. Lopez also carries a vulnerable .361 wOBA split to left-handed bats. Guzman could be an underrated pick within a Texas stack. He usually hits towards the bottom of the order, but there’s enough power upside for him to post a rewarding return on this bargain salary.
Enrique Hernandez – LA Dodgers (vs. San Diego)
Hernandez has slowed down after a hot start to the season, and his salary has relaxed because of that. However, let’s not forget that he’s a strong platoon bat against left-handed pitching. Playing at home with excellent lineup security doesn’t hurt either. San Diego LHP Matt Strahm has looked better over the past month, but facing an intimidating Dodgers’ offense on the road could cause regression. Keep Hernandez in the back of your mind when assembling tournament lineups.
Maikel Franco – Philadelphia (vs. Milwaukee)
Franco has bad career numbers against Milwaukee LHP Gio Gonzalez. That will likely translate to a very low ownership rate. However, we can agree that Gonzalez is far beyond his prime years, which is when those BvP numbers accumulated. On top of that, Franco has flexed resurgent upside in a quality Philadelphia offense this season. Gonzalez carries a .338 wOBA split to right-handed bats over the past two seasons, and this could be the time when Franco finally takes advantage.
Dansby Swanson – Atlanta (vs. St. Louis)
St. Louis RHP Michael Wacha has been the face of mediocrity this season, currently holding a 5.35 ERA after surrendering 11 earned runs and 19 hits through 15.2 innings over his past three starts. In other words, he’s giving up a ton of contact, and you shouldn’t be afraid to target hitters against him. Swanson is another player who got off to a blistering start this season, but regression has loomed over the past three weeks. As a result, the Atlanta shortstop has a modest salary despite the premium lineup spot while facing Wacha’s generosity and .338 wOBA split to right-handed bats.
Victor Robles – Washington (vs. NY Mets)
Robles usually flies under the radar, as he doesn’t have a ton of name recognition yet. He has been elevated to a premium lineup spot due to numerous Washington injuries. Tonight’s matchup is a good one, as Robles will step in against Mets’ RHP Wilmer Font, who carries a .339 wOBA split to right-handed bats. The Nationals make for an interesting stack tonight, as Juan Soto and Adam Eaton are on my list as well.
Kevin Kiermaier – Tampa Bay (at Miami)
Jose Urena is coming off a nice outing against the Cubs, but I’m not buying it. The Marlins’ pitcher holds a .341 wOBA split to left-handed bats over the past two seasons, and he has yet to show consistency at the major league level. Even though Marlins Park is considered a pitcher-friendly environment, don’t forget about stacking some Tampa hitters (particularly lefties) like Kiermaier, Choi, Meadows, or Lowe.