Bargain Bin Super Bowl
Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your DFS lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $7000/$6000 for QB, $6000/$5000 for RB/WR, and $5500/$4500 (FD/DK) for TE insomuch as possible. There isn’t much to choose from as we are down to the one game Showdown slate. Bargain will be a relative term here…
Rex Burkhead (FD: $10000, DK: $4800)
The Patriots are winning games by running the football. Although the Rams have held Ezekiel Elliott and Alvin Kamara to under 100 rushing yards (combined) in the playoffs, you know Belichick and Josh McDaniels are still going to dial up the run. It’s a crowded backfield no doubt, and you might be frustrated enough trying to choose between James White, Sony Michel and Burkhead to just say forget it.
For me, Burkhead is the answer, though by no means do I dislike the other two in the Super Bowl. Burkhead just seems to be the big play guy. He has fewer snaps than the others, fewer touches, but has still ran for three touchdowns in the last two games. When they call his number, they’ve got a good play in mind for him. Among all players in the post-season, Burkhead ranks second in fantasy points per 100 snaps (64.1; Michel is first with 78.7). At his low salary, the hybrid rushing and receiving ability Burkhead has makes me want him in all my lineups.
Greg Zuerlein (FD: $10000, DK: $3400)
Pricing is crazy. Zuerlein provides solid salary relief on DK, but is a decent option on both sites. Scoring in the Super Bowl can be erratic, but we’d expect both teams to get some field goal chances. Zuerlein is good on his last 20 extra point attempts, and has made 7-of-8 field goals in the playoffs. He hit four 50-plus yarders in the regular season, and won the trip to the Super Bowl with a 57-yard kick two weeks ago. His plant foot injury may force some people to lean toward Stephen Gostkowski, but he has had far fewer opportunities than Zuerlein and “Greg the Leg” showed no ill effects of the injury in the Conference Championship.
Rob Gronkowski (FD: $9000, DK: $6000)
One nice thing about the showdown slate is that you don’t have to roster a tight end. However, if you’re shopping for players in this range, I’d advise you to roster Gronkowski over Chris Hogan, Josh Reynolds (it’s closer), or even Phillip Dorsett (closest). Hogan could be the sneaky break-out weapon Bill Belichick unleashes in the Super Bowl, but he’s largely been an afterthought this season and isn’t a player I’m looking to trust in my first 10 showdown lineups. Reynolds is closer, but Gronkowski roared back onto the scene with 11 targets in the win over Kansas City. It may be his last game, and the Rams have to prioritize covering Julian Edelman over Gronk at this point.
I expect Dorsett to be the popular bargain play this weekend. He’s caught a touchdown in each of the last three games, and his TD receptions in the playoffs were Brady’s only two TD passes. He could continue to be the end zone guy, but nothing about his target share is reliable. Dorsett makes my third or fourth showdown lineups. Gronkowski is the receiver I’m taking first.
Cordarrelle Patterson (FD: $6500, DK: $1600)
You can do a lot with Patterson in your lineup. He may be twice as unreliable as Hogan, Reynolds, or Dorsett, but he is a gadget guy and Super Bowls are made for gadget plays. If you’re going to roster unreliability, a case should be made for doing it as cheaply as possible. Patterson is a path to getting a Jared Goff, Todd Gurley, Julian Edelman, Pats RB, Rams WR lineup.