Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning the Sunday night game is not included in the following analysis.
Cam Newton - New England (at Houston) - DK: $6,200 FD: $7,600 Yahoo: $27
Despite throwing only one touchdown over his last five games, Newton has come back around as a viable DFS threat. Most of that comes from four rushing scores over his past three outings. There’s a good chance Newton will keep things going on the ground against this generous Houston defense. Perhaps he’ll be able to produce more through the air as well, given that the Texans rank 26th in yards per pass attempt (7.3) this season. You can run Newton by himself or pair him with WR Jakobi Meyers in tournaments.
Nyheim Hines - Indianapolis (vs. Green Bay) - DK: $5,200 FD: $6,100 Yahoo: $17
Hines is the epitome of a risk/reward tournament play. You never know which Indianapolis RB will have the hot hand on any given week. Last time around, Hines broke through with 115 total yards and two touchdowns (17 touches). Also, he had two receiving touchdowns despite only getting eight touches at Detroit earlier this month. In other words, we’ll need him to keep the hot hand and find a little bit of luck in order to keep “running good” for DFS purposes. The matchup looks great against Green Bay, who has allowed the second-most fantasy points to the RB position.
Kalen Ballage - LA Chargers (vs. NY Jets) - DK: $5,600 FD: $5,800 Yahoo: $16
Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson will remain sidelined for the Chargers, meaning Ballage will retain the role of lead RB. He has produced 186 total yards on a combined 40 touches over the past two weeks, and that volume probably won’t dissipate against a bad Jets’ defense. New York has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing RBs, and game flow certainly favors the running game. Go ahead and target Ballage as a fine value choice in tournaments and potentially as a flex filler in cash games as well.
KJ Hamler - Denver (vs. Miami) - DK: $3,600 FD: $5,200 Yahoo: $10
Hamler is extremely cheap on all three DFS sites, and that comes despite seeing 10 targets apiece in the last two games. The efficiency has been lacking, as Hamler caught half of those passes for a combined 125 yards. His QB, Drew Lock, is questionable, but the Broncos will likely be slinging the ball regardless of who is under center. Hamler could continue to see double-digit targets with Jerry Jeudy playing through a bum ankle, and I don’t mind rolling the dice for such a cheap salary.
Curtis Samuel - Carolina (vs. Detroit) - DK: $4,700 FD: $5,600 Yahoo: $20
Samuel was listed in this spot last week, and he flopped with 2.7 fantasy points. However, the “GPP Pivot sentiment” rings true once again, this time in a better matchup against the Lions. Carolina RB Mike Davis will likely be the focal point of many DFS lineups, leaving diluted contingencies for teammates Samuel, DJ Moore, and Robby Anderson. Samuel has gotten things done on the ground and through the air this season, and he could realistically sneak a touchdown (or two) away from Davis to give you leverage on the field.
Hayden Hurst - Atlanta (at New Orleans) - DK: $4,400 FD: $5,500 Yahoo: $17
Taysom Hill will be the most popular “TE” on FanDuel, as that’s where he’s listed for only $4,500. The Saints’ new starting QB is at his rightful position on DraftKings and Yahoo … Hurst makes for an interesting pivot on FanDuel and a respectable choice through all formats on DraftKings and Yahoo. The Atlanta TE has seen seven or more targets in each of his last three games, and now he’s facing a New Orleans’ defense that funnels production to his position. The Saints have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to TEs this year, opening the door for Hurst to potentially enjoy a breakout game.