Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning Thursday, Sunday, and Monday night games are not included in the following analysis.
Andy Dalton - Cincinnati (vs. NY Jets)
Dalton is back as Cincinnati’s starting quarterback, creating an interesting situation for DFS tournaments. He actually wasn’t that bad as a starter this season, at least from a fantasy point of view. Dalton averaged a serviceable 17 FPPG through eight games, and there’s a good chance he’ll come in north of that mark on Sunday. His opponent, the Jets, have a defense that funnels production to the air. The Bengals already have a questionable rushing attack, so expect Dalton to see plenty of volume to post a rewarding fantasy return.
Ronald Jones II - Tampa Bay (at Jacksonville)
The Jaguars’ defense is vulnerable against the run, as Tennessee RB Derrick Henry kindly reminded us last Sunday. Jacksonville ranks 29th at defending opposing rushing attacks, creating an opening for Ronald Jones to put up some numbers. On top of that, there are supposed to be 15-20 mph winds in Jacksonville, which could have the Bucs leaning more on their backfield. Jones has been respectable in three of his last four games, and this is a great matchup to keep him going.
Phillip Lindsay - Denver (vs. LA Chargers)
Lindsay has been trending upward over the past two weeks, seeing 18 and 16 touches respectively. That’s in contrast to his backfield mate, Royce Freeman, who tallied nine and four touches through that span. It’s safe to say that Lindsay is the preferred running back in Denver at the moment, and that comes just in time for a confident matchup against a Chargers’ defense that ranks 20th against the run. The Broncos should attack that vulnerability instead of picking on a legitimate Chargers’ secondary, meaning Lindsay will be fed early and often. The Denver RB posted 147 yards and a score against LAC earlier this season, and a repeat performance isn’t entirely out of the question.
Tyler Boyd - Cincinnati (vs. NY Jets)
As mentioned earlier, the Jets are tough against the run and somewhat softer to the pass. I wouldn’t be surprised if Dalton throws the ball 40-50 times in this one, and Tyler Boyd should be the top target on the other side of those passes. We could be looking at 10-15 targets with upside for double-digit targets and 100+ yards. Boyd achieved that mark a few times with Dalton throwing him the ball earlier this season, and that connection could be alive and well on Sunday afternoon.
Alshon Jeffery - Philadelphia (at Miami)
Between injuries and general inconsistencies, Alshon Jeffery hasn’t been fantasy relevant in over a month. He’s expected to play on Sunday after missing the last few games, and the matchup should oblige. Miami suddenly looks like the worse pass defense in the NFL, as the Browns and Bills were able to shred them through the air over the past two weeks. This is a “get right” spot for Carson Wentz and his receivers, while Jeffery is a sneaky-good tournament pivot within that.
Tyler Higbee - LA Rams (at Arizona)
Higbee hasn’t done anything of fantasy significance this season, and he’s more of a blocking tight end than a fantasy-friendly version of the position. However, fellow Rams’ tight end Gerald Everett will not play this week. That promotes Higbee to somewhere near a full-time role against an Arizona team that has allowed the most fantasy points to tight ends this season. If you need a bargain filler to round out your lineup, look no further.
Also Consider: Kaden Smith