When setting your weekly NFL DFS lineups, it can be just as helpful to have an idea of whom you DON’T want to include as whom you do. Every Friday we’ll highlight a few players that you might want to fade. When a player appears here, it mainly refers to fading him in cash games. If you play in a lot of large field, multi-entry tournaments, you might consider just being underweight on these players relative to the field rather than not using them at all.
Players I’m fading for Week 6 include:
Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans
It’s almost a green light for Watson to excel when I fade him, it seems. Here it isn’t because I think he’ll have a bad game – not at all. I just think his opponent, Ryan Tannehill, for one, and Matthew Stafford, for another, will put up similar numbers to his at significant salary savings. If all three have a great fantasy day with 25 fantasy points, I’m going to be happier I went with one of the cheaper options.
Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
Ryan, I have zero faith in. He has passed for one touchdown in the last three games. He started the season strong against what we now know to be incredibly suspect defenses and has struggled since. Julio Jones is still not practicing and other receivers have also been plagued with nagging injuries. The Falcons I will consider rostering this week include Calvin Ridley and Todd Gurley, because the Vikings are a strong fantasy matchup, but there are too many options at QB this week for me to pay the Top 5 (DK) or Top 7 (FD) salary for Ryan.
Robert Tonyan, TE Green Bay
There will definitely be some points chasing going on with Tonyan this weekend. Coming off a 3 TD game before the Packers’ BYE week, everyone will want a piece of it. This fade is mainly directed at FanDuel, who has Tonyan as the second-highest salary at TE. The risk/reward formula makes more sense on DraftKings and Yahoo, given that neither George Kittle nor Travis Kelce are on the main slate. TE is slim pickings, but either go with Mark Andrews or save more than Tonyan allows.
Joe Mixon, RB Cincinnati
You’re never fading Mixon in season-long leagues, but I have yet to slot him into a DFS lineup for Week 6. The matchup with the Colts is not a good one – they allow fewer fantasy points to running backs than anyone on the main slate (only San Francisco has been worse). Furthermore, the Colts are allowing the fewest overall fantasy points per game this season. I expect it to be tough sledding for all the Bengals this week and they’re a team I’m generally avoiding with one of the lowest implied team totals of the week.
La’Mical Perine, RB NY Jets
With Le’Veon Bell moved on to the Chiefs, the expectation is for Perine to get a lot more work. This is where I say, if I had a nickel for every time a failed to do something the fantasy community expected or thought would be smart…I’d have a ton of nickels. I’m fine with spending almost nothing to get Perine in a high upside GPP lineup, but I’m also prepared to be disappointed when he proves not to be Ezekiel Elliott. The Jets are the biggest underdogs of the week. They have myriad problems on both sides of the ball, and don’t forget that Frank Gore and Josh Adams are in the mix as well. Fun fact: Adams is the Jets’ highest weekly RB scorer of 2020, with 9.2 half-PPR fantasy points in Week 1.
Players I like, but who are expected to have high ownership in Week 6 include: Matthew Stafford, Kenny Golladay, Ben Roethlisberger, Lamar Jackson, Alexander Mattison, Chase Claypool, Myles Gaskin, Calvin Ridley, Davante Adams, Mark Andrews, New England D/ST, NY Giants D/ST. You might consider deviating away from this player pool and pivoting in large GPPs.