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Draft Guide Preview

Draft Guide Preview: Draft Day Fades

by Rotoworld Staff
Updated On: August 28, 2020, 6:33 pm ET

We're in the thick of fantasy football draft season, and fantasy managers are making moves ahead of the 2020 NFL campaign. 

At Rotoworld, our goal is to give you the tools to guide you towards winning a championship. As such, we'll be providing you with a few looks into a variety of the tools available in our 2020 Rotoworld Fantasy Football Draft Guide from the Rotoworld Premium EDGE+ Roto package as we march closer and closer to the start of the regular season.

Complete with content aimed at providing the knowledge you need to make the perfect draft decisions in a variety of league formats — from projections, rankings, a start/sit tool and trade analyzer to exclusive expert columns — this year's edition is the finest we've ever produced.

Today, we're previewing our top draft day fades, the player's that our experts have doubts about headed into this year's drafts.  

Check it out:

 

This isn’t necessarily a do-not-draft list. Every player has the right price. The problem is, these players are marked up. Whether it’s too much injury optimism, too little committee skepticism or simply too much hype, they have red flags that suggest they will not return proper value on their ADPs. Will they automatically hurt your team? No. Will taking too many of them in the wrong rounds lower your championship odds? Almost certainly.  

 

Aaron Rodgers, ADP QB12

Why Rodgers is being drafted as a QB1 is a true mystery. He was the QB14 in fantasy points per game last season and registered a four-year low in pass attempts under first-year coach Matt LaFleur. A product of the Shanahan coaching tree, LaFleur favors a run-based approach on offense. Rodgers was also dealt a poor offseason hand with the Packers doing literally nothing to help him, selecting no wideouts in the draft and only signing Devin Funchess, who ended up opting out anyway. In a league that is going more pass-happy, the Packers are doing the exact opposite. Outside of Davante Adams, I don’t want any part of the Green Bay passing offense. Rodgers is no exception. There are far better fantasy QBs. — Nick Mensio

 

Stefon Diggs, ADP WR26

Diggs in the sixth round of 12-team leagues make much more sense for those who go wide receiver heavy early in their drafts than those who take running backs in the first two or three rounds. That's because he could be your WR4 or even WR5 if you take the Zero RB approach, and if his production takes a hit in the Bills run-heavy system (and Josh Allen's errant down-field throws), it's hardly a disaster for your fantasy team. If, however, you're drafting Diggs as your WR2 — a guy you have to start every week — you'll feel the effects of an electric wideout trapped in a receiver-unfriendly offense. That is, unless you're projecting Diggs to command a monster target share. Courtland Sutton, who is going a few picks before Diggs, and Will Fuller — going almost a full round after Diggs — come with safer floors and ceilings at least as high as Diggs'. — Denny Carter

 

Josh Jacobs, ADP RB11

Jacobs’ poor receiving usage as a rookie (7.5 routes per game, three drops on 27 targets) is commonly being mistaken as something to improve on as opposed to his best-case scenario. The Raiders have virtually shouted as much, re-signing third-down RB Jalen Richard before bringing on former Broncos receiving back Devontae Booker, chess-piece rookie Lynn Bowden, and Theo Riddick, the latter being one of the decade’s most impactful satellite runners. No matter what coachspeak leaks from Las Vegas’ camp, it’s clear the Raiders have no intention of using Jacobs as a three-down bell-cow. And in eliminating that option, the 22-year-old’s ceiling is limited behind those in his tier who will inevitably catch passes (Austin EkelerAaron Jones, etc.). — John Daigle

 

Rob Gronkowski, ADP TE8

A Hall-of-Fame player? I’ll raise you. He’s the best tight end to ever do it. How much does that matter for the 2020 season? I’m not sure it does. Gronkowski’s health is at least a question mark in Tampa Bay, and the team certainly doesn’t have to force the issue with him given their depth chart. Between the 20s and even within the red zone, Tom Brady will be leaning on Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, an elite receiver duo that Gronk never had to compete with during his peak run in New England. O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate are also quality backup options at his own position, so much so that NBC Sports’ Peter King is betting on Gronk finishing third in snaps among Bucs’ tight ends after visiting their training camp. Unless Gronk is near full health after taking the year off, we shouldn’t expect Gronk-like receiving yardage in 2020. Is it possible he lucks into eight touchdowns? Sure. But I’ll chase the younger tight ends (Evan EngramTyler HigbeeHayden HurstMike Gesicki, or late-round TE2 options) with an easier path to receiving yards. — Hayden Winks

 

For the full draft day fades list plus all that our Draft Guide and Season Tools for NFL, MLB, NBA and NHL have to offer, you can purchase EDGE+ Roto here for as low as $3.99 per month! And if you're into DFS and betting, be sure to check out our EDGE+ Pro package that includes our DFS Tools for as low as $7.99 per month and try out our new betting tools FOR FREE.