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Draft Strategy

Draft Guide Preview: Pitcher Outliers

by Rotoworld Staff

With Opening Day less than a month away, there's no time like the present to start cramming for your fantasy baseball drafts. And there's no better resource to help guide you to another championship than our 2019 MLB Draft Guide. This year's edition is as jam packed as ever with over 1,500 player profiles, customizable projections, rankings, positional tiers and a ton of exclusive columns. 

A series of those columns are the positional outliers, where our experts compare their rankings to find a composite ranking and determine who among them is an outlier for certain players. Here's a small sampling of what you can get in the full online Draft Guide.

 

Starting Pitcher Outliers

 

D.J. Short had James Paxton 10. The composite ranking was 14.71.

I wasn’t shocked to find that I’m the high guy on Paxton, but I said he would be a top-10 starter in our staff Bold Predictions, so I’m sticking with that here. In truth, Paxton likely would have been 11th if Luis Severino was healthy, but the point is that I’m projecting big things for Paxton in the Bronx this season. It’s all about the innings, really. Paxton reached a career-high with 160 1/3 innings last season, but he still missed time with back inflammation, a forearm contusion, and pneumonia. If he can finally avoid any lengthy absences this year, I see huge totals in wins and strikeouts, perhaps among the league leaders in each category. Hopefully his home run issues from last season don’t persist. And hey, even if we see something closer to his 2018 numbers, that’s still pretty good. - D.J. Short (@djshort)

 

Starting Pitcher Outliers 2

 

Matthew Pouliot had Cole Hamels 23. The composite ranking was 35.43.

Hamels was old, boring and unwanted in Texas a year ago, and for good reason, considering that his strikeout rate plummeted in 2017. However, Hamels’ strikeout rate bounced all of the way back last year, and while it still didn’t result in any fantasy value during his time with the Rangers, he had a 2.36 ERA in 12 starts after getting traded to the Cubs. Even after 13 seasons and 2,500 big-league innings, Hamels is throwing about as hard as he ever has, and he’s in a great situation for pitchers in Chicago. He’s topped 190 innings 10 times in the last 11 years. He might still be a rather boring pick, but he’s an awfully good one as a third starter in mixed leagues. - Matthew Pouliot (@matthewpouliot)

For the rest of this columns, and everything else in the Draft Guide, you can purchase here! Take advantage of our package deals and gain access to our MLB Season Pass and MLB DFS Toolkit products as well!

Rotoworld Staff