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DraftKings Strategy

DraftKings Preview: Bermuda roster recs

by Will Gray
Updated On: October 28, 2020, 5:21 pm ET

The PGA Tour has landed in Bermuda for the second straight year.

This time with no WGC event being played concurrently, the winner will receive the full treasure trove of exemptions usually afforded to a Tour champion: a spot in the 2021 Masters to go along with invites to the Sentry Tournament of Champions, The Players and PGA Championship next year. But the 132-man field isn't exactly flush with star power, with defending champ Brendon Todd the only participant who also teed it up in last week's Zozo Championship.

But that dynamic opens the door for several players looking to breakthrough with a career-changing victory this week along the coast, where winds and rain could become an issue throughout the week. Checking in at less than 6,900 yards on the scorecard, Port Royal GC will be more about accuracy off the tee and putting on the greens than driving prowess - even if the winds kick up as expected.

From a former U.S. Amateur champ to a veteran who came close at this event a year ago, here are some players to consider when building a DraftKings roster for this week's event in the Atlantic:

Favorites

Doc Redman ($10,400 on DraftKings): Relatively weak field on a course where scores will be low and accuracy and short game are prioritized over power. That sounds like a similar recipe to the one we saw at the Wyndham in August and the Safeway in September, both of which ended in T-3 finishes for Redman. He's among the top players still in search of a maiden PGA Tour win, and ranked No. 85 in the world he's among the top-ranked players in this week's field. Redman has come a long way since his early days as a pro, when he struggled to gain status, and he's now one of the Tour's best iron players: 11th last season in Strokes Gained: Approach and already 21st in the category this season. Redman has missed four of his last 11 cuts, but each of the seven times he played the weekend translated into top-30 finishes.

Emiliano Grillo ($10,100): Grillo appears to be simmering and could get an upgrade this week. The Argentine has had previous success in Puerto Rico in similar conditions, and his recent form is quite solid: four straight finishes of T-35 or better, and eight straight made cuts dating back to the Memorial in June. Grillo is one of the best putters in any field when he's rolling it well, and last season he created ample birdie opportunities after finishing 13th in SG: Approach and seventh in GIR percentage. Grillo opened with a 64 last time out at TPC Summerlin, and a similarly strong start could put him in the mix to win again for the first time since 2015.


Value Plays

Justin Suh ($8,700): Remember the press conference last summer at the Travelers ushering a handful of newly-minted pros that have already gone on to big things: Collin Morikawa, Matthew Wolff and Viktor Hovland? Well there were actually four seats at that table, with Suh rounding out the quartet. He hasn't matched the prodigious ascent of his counterparts, but he is starting to show signs of a potential breakthrough of his own: back-to-back top-15 finishes in Punta Cana and Las Vegas, on the heels of three top-10 finishes on the mini-tour circuit. Suh was fifth in SG: Approach at the Shriners, just behind tournament winner Martin Laird, and has finished outside the top 25 just once in seven worldwide starts since the break.

Russell Knox ($7,600): Knox might be my favorite pick this week regardless of format, given his propensity for playing in the wind, results from last year and signs that a turnaround may be near. The Scot won the Irish Open two years ago in blustery conditions, and he finished T-11 last year in Bermuda after an opening 64. But the biggest reason for optimism may be found in his comments from last month's Safeway Open, where he finished T-9 and revealed a recent coaching change and re-dedication to his "DNA" of prioritizing fairways over distance. While he has missed two cuts since, this course should better fit the skillset of a player who has won at TPC River Highlands, lost a playoff at Mayakoba and tends to shine more brightly when the emphasis is on accuracy over brawn.


Sleepers

Fabian Gomez ($6,700): Gomez has won on another quirky layout by the ocean (Waialae) and finished alone in seventh place at this event a year ago after going 66-65 over the weekend. The Argentine has only one top-10 finish since, but that came in July against a similar field at the Barracuda, where he finished T-3. Like many players on this list, Gomez tends to factor more often on layouts where driver isn't the deciding factor. He produced a solid T-41 finish last month in Punta Cana and had a misleading missed cut at Shriners in his most recent start, where he shot rounds of 66-71.

Brian Gay ($6,300): When you think fairway accuracy and putting prowess, Gay's name quickly bubbles to the top - and that's before you take into consideration his T-3 result from last year's inaugural edition. At age 48, Gay is likely counting down the days until he's unleashed on the PGA Tour Champions circuit, and he has made only two of 11 cuts since the break. But as a player who won at both Harbour Town and El Camaleon, Gay has the exact skill set that tends to shine on these coastal layouts that become more about ball control and birdie efficiency. He's a deserved longshot to win for the first time since 2013, but a brush with contention certainly isn't out of the question and would be a welcome return at this price point.

Will Gray

Will Gray joined Golf Channel in 2007 and currently serves as a staff writer for GolfChannel.com. Gray has been covering fantasy golf since 2012 and is a regular contributor to the Golf Central blog and covers several PGA Tour events each year. He's also a regular contributor to several digital properties on GolfChannel.com, including Stat Man, On the Clock, Fantasy Central, Grill Room and the Monday Scramble podcast.