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FanDuel Strategy

FanDuel Fit: THE CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 13, 2020, 11:49 am ET

The TOUR takes on a new venue this week. It's Shadow Creek, located in North Las Vegas. 

The course is a par 72 that plays over 7,500 yards, while playing around 2,000 feet above sea level. 

Looking for course-fit angles, let's jump into the data to see who plays better on this kind of turf and the see who plays well in this part of the country. 

Better on Bentgrass

We have a new course being used this week but we do have information on the turf. Golfers will see bermudagrass that's overseeded with ryegrass from tee-to-green and then bentgrass putting surfaces. 

Some comp courses that come to mind in that regard (ryegrass + bentgrass greens) might be Augusta National, Muirfield Village, or TPC River Highlands.

Let's see who has performed best on courses with bentgrass greens, over the last two years: 

Jon Rahm
Patrick Cantlay
Justin Thomas
Xander Schauffele
Hideki Matsuyama
Dustin Johnson
Rory McIlroy
Tony Finau
Viktor Hovland
Tommy Fleetwood
Louis Oosthuizen
Tyrrell Hatton
Collin Morikawa
Matthew Wolff
Gary Woodland

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Jim Herman
Mark Hubbard
Andrew Landry
Daniel Berger
Tyler Duncan
Cameron Smith
Abraham Ancer
Alex Noren
Corey Conners
Tom Hoge
Ryan Palmer
Brendan Steele
Dustin Johnson
Adam Hadwin
Tyrrell Hatton

Overlap List: names that show up on both lists include Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau, Viktor Hovland, and Matthew Wolff

If you've followed my work over the years then it's probably no surprise to see Finau on the list. He's someone that I've been avoiding on bermuda for years so he always gets a boost for me when playing on cool-season grasses. 

 

Regional Comfort

It's another week where we get to use this angle. Some golfers thrive in the Southeast while others feast out West. We want to target the latter this week as the TOUR plays in Las Vegas for the second week in a row. 

Here are the top performers in the West, over the last two years: 

Rory McIlroy
Jon Rahm
Xander Schauffele
Justin Thomas
Justin Rose
Marc Leishman
Jason Day
Dustin Johnson
Patrick Cantlay
Collin Morikawa
Gary Woodland
Tony Finau
Hideki Matsuyama
Matt Kuchar
Daniel Berger

We can also look at a golfer's performance versus their baseline to see who over-performs most. Here is that list: 

Marc Leishman
Harry Higgs
Mark Hubbard
Jason Day
Andrew Landry
Tom Hoge
Sung Kang
Xander Schauffele
Cameron Champ
Adam Hadwin
Daniel Berger
Gary Woodland
Tony Finau
Michael Thompson
Collin Morikawa

Overlap List: names that show up on both lists include Xander Schauffele, Marc Leishman, Jason Day, Gary Woodland, Tony Finau, Collin Morikawa, and Daniel Berger

 

 

FanDuel Focus 

Daniel Berger ($10,400): Many gamers have him bucketed as a bermuda-only, target in the Southeast option. The stats suggest otherwise as his game travels well. Just look at his last six starts in the Cali/Nevada/Arizona region: 23th, 18th, 29th, 9th, 5th, 13th. 

Collin Morikawa ($10,800): Two of his three TOUR wins have come out West. One of those came in Nevada at the 2019 Barracuda Championship. That event was played at another private course with a very similar look as Shadow Creek. Montreux Golf & Country Club is played at higher elevation but still plenty of similarities in the visuals. He arrives off back-to-back missed cuts but he actually posted scores better than the field average in both of those events. He's not that far from some good form. 

Josh Culp
Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.