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Fantasy Forecast

Week 2 Fantasy Football Forecast

by Hayden Winks
Updated On: September 15, 2019, 8:06 am ET

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Forecast! My goal with this weekly column is to get you actionable information as quickly as possible, regardless if you're playing season-long fantasy, DFS, or are grinding player props. If you're just looking for fantasy football rankings and only have 10 minutes to skim through for your sit/start decisions, then head over to the "Forecast" sections below where I project each player's PPR finish based on a 12-team league. But if you want to get your research on, then I have full player breakdowns. As always, hit me up on Twitter @HaydenWinks if you have questions. 

Fantasy Forecast Week 2

Slate notes: The Patriots are in a tier of their own this week from a points and plays standpoint. Load up. The Rams, Chiefs, Ravens, and Eagles all have tons of upside. The Cardinals, Dolphins, and Giants aren't likely to play as fast as they did in Week 1. They all played faster given the scoreboard. The Jaguars are in a tier of their own but in a bad way.

 

Teams are listed in order of their implied points.

Page 1: NE, KC, BAL, LAR, PHI, HOU, DAL, PIT, ATL, CLE

Page 2: LAC, NO, CIN, TEN, GB, DET, BUF, OAK, SF, CHI

Page 3: SEA, NYG, MIN, IND, TB, WAS, DEN, NYJ, JAX, ARI, MIA

TNF: CAR, TB

 

1. Patriots (33.5 implied points, -18.5 spread) @ MIA

Updates: The weather forecast project high 80s temperature with 40% rain. 

Forecast: Tom Brady QB1, Julian Edelman WR1/2, Antonio Brown WR2/3, Josh Gordon WR2/3, Sony Michel RB1/2, James White RB2

Tom Brady has averaged 2.8 touchdowns and 274 yards over his last five games against the Dolphins. And this Dolphins’ team is much worse than it was over that span. Brady already has a 4,901-yard pace in his 12 games with Josh Gordon and will now add Antonio Brown to round out three-receiver sets. Brady is back in the QB1 mix.

Patriots air yards and targets

The Patriots are practicing with Antonio Brown, so I’m assuming he’ll play Week 2. I doubt Brown would get full snaps in his debut, but this matchup is too good to sit him in season-long leagues. … Brown’s presence should put the Patriots into more three-receiver sets, which should increase Julian Edelman’s percentage of snaps in the slot (60% last week). I don’t anticipate Edelman losing too much volume because of AB, and he won’t need a ton of targets to eat this week. In Edelman’s last three games against the Dolphins, he’s averaged 26.8 PPR points, making him a solid WR2 in fantasy. …  Josh Gordon will likely be sent on more deeper routes with Brown in town and could lose snaps whenever the Pats use two-receiver sets, which should make him a bit more volatile week to week. But Week 2 lines up as a potential ceiling week after rookie Marquise Brown got behind this Dolphins’ secondary twice for long touchdowns in Week 1. Gordon is a high-ceiling WR2/3. … “Ryan Izzo” was the only tight end to see a target Week 1.

Sony Michel was given a carry (15 total) on 65% of his Week 1 snaps, all of which were in the backfield. He has a modified LeGarrette Blount role, one that makes him extremely boom-or-bust, especially with Sexy Rexy getting involved. Michel needs a touchdown to pay off each week, but the Patriots should have a few inside-the-ten plays this week. Mark Ingram and Gus Edwards just combined for 12 Red Zone touches against them in Week 1. Michel is a boom-or-bust, high-end RB2 in PPR leagues. … James White lined up in the slot or outside on 39% of his Week 1 offensive snaps, which is a concern if the Patriots’ use three-receiver sets with Brown, Edelman, and Gordon. White may see the largest workload hit with Brown in the mix, but he’s still playing in an octane offense and White is used in high-leverage situations. The floor is lower, but White is an RB2/3 versus the Phins. … Rookie Damien Harris was a healthy scratch with Belichick rolling with Rex Burkhead instead. Burkhead was targeted seven times (!) and had eight carries, ones that were more effective than Michel’s. Burkhead will have to settle for scraps behind Michel and White, but he’s worth a pickup in deeper leagues and could tilt Michel owners off the face of the planet with a goal-line vulture. 

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2. Chiefs (30, -7.5) @ OAK

Forecast: Patrick Mahomes QB1, Sammy Watkins WR1, Mecole Hardman WR3/4, Demarcus Robinson WR4, Travis Kelce TE1, Damien Williams RB2, LeSean McCoy RB2/3

Patrick Mahomes went into Jacksonville and hung 378 yards and three touchdowns despite missing Tyreek Hill for most of the game. Mahomes is just too good to not have as a top-two quarterback every single week. The Raiders’ defensive roster is near the bottom of the league and could be without first-round safety Johnathan Abram (shoulder) and corner Gareon Conley (neck), so Mahomes will be my overall QB1. 

Chiefs air yards and targets

Tyreek Hill (collarbone) is out “weeks” so it will be the Sammy Watkins show for the foreseeable future. In Week 1, Watkins looked incredible. His foot didn’t look to be holding him back at all, and he was thrust into a more consistent slot role once Hill left the game early (34% slot snaps last year to 52% Week 1). In 2018, Watkins averaged 10.1 YPT and caught 75% of his slot targets. As Mahomes’ No. 1 or No. 2 target every play, Watkins has as much touchdown equity as any receiver on the slate, making him a fantasy WR1. … Mecole Hardman played on 80% of the Chiefs’ pass attempt snaps in Week 1, the second-most among Kansas City receivers. Hardman lined up outside on 57% of his snaps with Watkins spending more time inside. That snap count only translated to one target, however. Hardman was a raw prospect -- he originally was a corner at Georgia and only had 60 career receptions -- but his 4.33 speed will be schemed up by Andy Reid. Hardman is a boom-or-bust WR3/4, who could easily be a part of Milly Maker in DFS tournaments. … Demarcus Robinson played on 73% of the Chiefs’ pass attempts, but he was only targeted twice. Robinson doesn’t nearly have the athleticism of Hardman and likely won’t get the manufactured touches that the rookie will get. Still, Robinson has a chance to score playing with Mahomes, so he’s an upside WR5 against the Raiders. … Travis Kelce has at least 10 PPR points in 16 of his last 17 games, and he’ll now see a higher team share of targets with Hill, who had a 23% target share last year, out. Kelce had a 38.8 PPR point game against the Raiders last year, and he actually averages more PPR points on the road (20.4) than at home (15.5) with Mahomes. He’s the TE1 overall. 

 

Damien Williams

LeSean McCoy

Carries

13

10

Targets

6

1

Snaps on Passes

29

10

Snaps on Runs

16

10

Damien Williams was on the field near the goal-line, and that’s the most important piece of the puzzle here. Williams’ total volume isn’t typical of a top-15 fantasy running back, but he’ll have opportunities for touchdowns (plural) every week. Williams is an upside RB2. … LeSean McCoy should get more run as the season progresses, and he’s already involved enough to be in the mix as a flex, especially as touchdown favorites since it looks like he’ll be primarily used as a runner given his Week 1 usage. 

 

3. Ravens (30, -13) vs. ARI

Forecast: Lamar Jackson QB1, Marquise Brown WR3/4, Willie Snead WR4/5, Miles Boykin WR5, Mark Andrews TE1/2, Mark Ingram RB1/2, Justice Hill RB3/4, Gus Edwards RB3/4

The Ravens had the second-highest run rate (63%) on first downs within the first 28 minutes of the game last week, but that didn’t stop Lamar Jackson from finishing as fantasy’s QB1 overall. Jackson torched the Dolphins with pristine deep passing, and he gets a home matchup with the Patrick Peterson-less Cardinals’ defense that just allowed 385 yards and three touchdowns to Matthew Stafford. Jackson is a sure-fire QB1 with a massive ceiling as we saw Week 1.

Ravens air yards and targets

Rookie receiver Marquise Brown only played 14 snaps Week 1, so we can forget about him. Sike! Brown was electric. Just as he was at Oklahoma when he led the FBS with 11 catches of 40-plus yards last season. He just moves at a different pace than everyone else. Brown deserves more snaps, but the Ravens may have some type of pitch count on him since he’s still less than a year removed from a Jones fracture in his foot. Brown is a boom-or-bust WR3/4 in a plum home matchup against the burnable Cardinals. … Miles Boykin only played 18 snaps and had one target, but he made it count with a touchdown. Boykin needs more playing time before being worth a pickup in season-long, but Boykin has some near min-priced DFS tournament appeal this week as an explosive athlete in a great matchup. … Slot receiver Willie Snead was in on 58% of the Ravens’ passing plays, but he was only targeted three times with Jackson only letting it fly 20 times. Snead should be more involved in Week 2 as a WR4/5. … After not playing a full complement of snaps in the preseason, Mark Andrews led the Ravens’ skill position players in snaps on passing downs Week 1, leading to a huge 8-108-1 receiving line on a team-high eight targets. While the targets were a surprise to me, I’m definitely not surprised to see Andrews ball out. Last year, Andrews had the second-best season in terms of yards per target (11.0) among rookie tight ends with at least 50 targets. Andrews is a legit talent, and he belongs as a back-end TE1 in a great home matchup against a defense that allowed 6-131-1 to rookie TE T.J. Hockenson last week.

 

Mark Ingram

Justice Hill

Gus Edwards

Carries

14

7

17

Targets

0

0

0

Snaps on Passes

10

13

8

Snaps on Runs

15

9

21

Mark Ingram looks like he’ll be fed a ton of carries, including goal-line, in most games. In Week 1, Ingram scored two goal-line touchdowns and had 107 rushing yards overall, despite seeing just one touch in the fourth quarter. At home against a vulnerable defense and fast-paced offense, Ingram offers a ton of rushing upside, making him an RB1/2 in all formats. … Gus Edwards and intriguing fourth-round rookie Justice Hill were involved early, but their roles are lower-volume, making them inconsistent RB3/4s week to week. Hill, in particular, would offer a lot of upside if Ingram misses time.

 

4. Rams (27.25, -2.5) vs. NO

Forecast: Jared Goff QB1, Brandin Cooks WR2, Cooper Kupp WR2, Robert Woods WR2, Tyler Higbee TE2, Todd Gurley RB1/2, Malcolm Brown RB3, Darrell Henderson RB4

Jared Goff missed easy throws last week in Carolina, but he’s heading home where he has averaged 313 passing yards and 2.13 touchdowns over his last 15 games. This season will be more of a challenge with his offensive line weaker than before and with Gurley being limited, but he still has elite coaching and great receivers, so I’ll roll with him as a low-end QB1 this week with the Saints traveling across the country after playing Monday Night Football.

Rams air yards and targets

Brandin Cooks has averaged 8.0 more PPR points at home (19.6) than on the road (11.6) and has actually been more productive with Cooper Kupp, too. His matchup this week against Marshon Lattimore on the outside is the toughest of the three, Cooks has bounce-back potential in Week 2 as a WR2 with Goff playing much better at home. … Robert Woods led the Rams in targets (13), as Sean McVay continued to dial up manufactured touches for Woods on sweeps and short passes. When the Rams played the Saints in the NFC Championship Game, Woods led the team in targets (10), but he was limited to just 33 yards with the Saints selling out to limit big plays. Woods’ volume and high-floor make him a WR2. … Just like Goff and Cooks, Cooper Kupp has been better at home (15.8 PPR points) than on the road (11.6). In Week 1, Kupp looked healthy and was able to catch seven of his 10 targets. Kupp should get better as the season progresses, and this matchup against P.J. Williams is one to exploit. Kupp is an upside WR2. … Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett played a similar amount of snaps, but Higbee, who just signed a top-10 tight end contract extension a couple of weeks ago, came out with a score last week. Neither are stable enough to count on as more than TE2s. 

 

Todd Gurley

Malcolm Brown

Darrell Henderson

Carries

14

11

1

Targets

1

0

0

Snaps on Passes

33

10

1

Snaps on Runs

20

11

1

Todd Gurley was limited, and it wasn’t in the way most expected it. Gurley wasn’t used in high-leverage situations -- he was only targeted once and wasn’t used near the goal-line -- outside of seeing more work in the 4th quarter when the Rams were running out the clock. The usage was concerning, but Gurley looked more or less the same as he did before. The Rams are likely saving Gurley for the playoff push in November and December, so it’s safer to project Gurley for 15-20 touches instead of his typical 20-25. Gurley is a more boom-or-bust RB1/2. … Malcolm Brown was the better runner through three quarters and he took advantage of his goal-line usage with one- and five-yard touchdowns. Brown offers some standalone value as an RB3 who might have more touchdown equity than originally projected. … Darrell Henderson’s two snaps didn’t come until the second half. Henderson’s upside as a receiver and as a big-play runner make him a bench hold while we learn more about Gurley’s health and usage. 

 

5. Eagles (27.25, -2) @ ATL

Forecast: Carson Wentz QB1, Alshon Jeffery WR2/3, DeSean Jackson WR3/4, Nelson Agholor WR5, Zach Ertz TE1, Dallas Goedert TE2, Jordan Howard RB3, Miles Sanders RB3, Darren Sproles RB3/4

Carson Wentz and the Eagles’ offense struggled early, but they figured it out in the second half with the deep ball. This week, they get a friendly dome matchup against the Falcons, who gave up 28 points to the Vikings on just 10 pass attempts last week. Behind a good offensive line and with a ton of skill-position talent, Wentz is a solid QB1 in what should be a high-scoring affair.

Eagles air yards and targets

Alshon Jeffery has been targeted six or fewer times in seven of the last 10 games. That usage makes Jeffery very touchdown-dependent, but that’s alright in this high-scoring offense. Jeffery is a WR2/3 with upside. … DeSean Jackson was in on 75% of the Eagles’ pass attempts, and he looked just as fast as he’s always been. The Eagles utilized him both inside and outside, but he scored both of his long touchdowns in the slot, a place where 74% of his explosive plays have come from over the last two years. This week he gets speedy CB Desmond Trufant and a Falcons’ defense that pushes pass attempts underneath, instead of over the top. Jackson is still a boom-or-bust WR3 with touchdown equity. … Primary slot receiver Nelson Agholor played just as many snaps as Jeffery and was in on 75% of the Eagles’ pass attempts. He’s still a near-full-time player, even with intriguing rookie JJ Arcega-Whiteside (1 snap on a passing play in Week 1) breathing down his neck. But Agholor will still be targeted under six times per games most weeks, leaving him as a boom-or-bust WR5 playing on a good offense. … At halftime, Zach Ertz only had two targets, but he finished with the second-most targets (7) by the end of Week 1. Everyone knew it would happen with the added weapons, but the season opener was confirmation that Ertz’s targets will be less consistent than it was last year. Still, the Eagles’ 12 personnel percentage in Week 1 (35%) was almost identical to last year’s 36%, and he should finish top-six in tight end targets while playing in one of the highest-scoring offenses in the NFL. Ertz is obviously a top-four TE heading into Week 2. … Dallas Goedert was on the field for 41-of-74 plays -- yay -- but he blocked (25) more than he ran routes (16). Goedert is still capable of a touchdown here and there, but he’s a zero-floor TE2 whenever Ertz is in the lineup.

 

Miles Sanders

Jordan Howard

Darren Sproles

Carries

11

6

9

Targets

2

3

3

Snaps on Passes

24

10

8

Snaps on Runs

12

7

14

Miles Sanders has the biggest slice of the pie, but he’s sharing a lot of it with Jordan Howard and Darren Sproles. The Falcons’ defense has allowed the most receptions to running backs in each of the last four seasons and just gave up 111 rushing yards and two touchdowns to Dalvin Cook last week, so there's meat on the bone for these dogs. Sanders is a higher-ceiling RB2/3, while Howard and Sproles are RB3s in this great matchup. 

 

6. Texans (26.25, -9.5) vs. JAC 

Forecast: Deshaun Watson QB1, DeAndre Hopkins WR1, Will Fuller WR3, Kenny Stills WR5, Duke Johnson RB2/3, Carlos Hyde RB3/4

Deshaun Watson and the Texans' offense averages 30.6 points in games with DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller playing. That’s QB1 overall production. The Jaguars’ have limited Watson to two passing touchdowns in three career matchups, but Watson has too many weapons to drop him below QB2 overall at home, especially when Patrick Mahomes just had three touchdowns against them on the road. 

Texans air yards and targets

DeAndre Hopkins will face Jalen Ramsey again, but Hopkins has at least 14.0 PPR points in his last five games against Jacksonville and just hung 12 receptions and 127 yards on them last year. Hopkins deserves WR1 treatment still. … Will Fuller averages 16.6 PPR points in 12 career games with Watson. He’ll have an easier matchup than Nuk -- Fuller has the second-largest speed advantage of the week -- and offers tons of big-play potential as a high-ceiling WR3 at home. …  Kenny Stills ran a route on 51% of the Texans’ passing plays with Keke Coutee missing Week 1. Stills had a clutch 37-yard touchdown late, but his 10% target share is too low to be more than a boom-or-bust WR5, especially if Coutee (ankle) makes his debut this week. … Jordan Akins ran a route on 66% of the pass plays but was targeted just twice. He’s off the fantasy radar. 

 

Duke Johnson

Carlos Hyde

Carries

9

10

Targets

5

1

Snaps on Passes

31

10

Snaps on Runs

10

13

Pour one out for Duke Johnson. Carlos Hyde looks like he’ll prevent Johnson from playing in a three-down role this season. When the Texans trail, Johnson should have useful weeks, but Hyde’s rushing role significantly lowers the weekly floor. At home in Week 2, Johnson is on the RB2/3 borderline, while Hyde offers minimal standalone value as a touchdown-dependent RB3/4. 

 

7. Cowboys (26, -5.5) @ WAS

Forecast: Dak Prescott QB1/2, Amari Cooper WR1/2, Michael Gallup WR3, Randall Cobb WR4/5, Jason Witten TE2/3, Ezekiel Elliott RB1/2, Tony Pollard RB4

I’m pretty sure Kellen Moore is an analytics nerd:

Cowboys Offense

2018

2019

First Down Pass %

41%

62%

Play Action %

25%

48%

Pre-Snap Motion %

45%

73%

11 Personnel %

63%

73%

And that’s great news for Dak Prescott, who has been stuck in a Neanderthal offense his entire career. With Moore dialing up passes over the middle of the field, Prescott lit up the Giants for 405 yards and four touchdowns. It was yet another masterpiece for Prescott, who now averages 72.3 more passing yards and 0.44 more passing touchdowns with Amari Cooper than without. A tougher road matchup with the Redskins makes Prescott a QB1/2, but Week 1 was as positive as it gets for Prescott’s season-long future.

Cowboys air yards and targets

Amari Cooper has averaged 18.5 PPR points in his 10 games with Dak Prescott. He’s ballin’. This week he should go one-v-one with Josh Norman, but that doesn’t faze me with Moore calling the shots. Cooper is a high-ceiling WR1/2 this week. … Michael Gallup played on 83% of the Cowboys’ pass plays and finished with a solid 22% target share (7 targets) in the season opener. Gallup has a ton of big-play potential, as seen by his 62-yard gain last week, and the Redskins’ gave up a few bombs to DeSean Jackson last week. Gallup is an upside WR3. … The Cowboys’ 10% increase in 11-personnel from last year is good news for Randall Cobb, who was in on 78% of the Cowboys’ passing plays. Cobb is third or fourth on the pecking order of targets, but he should have a couple of ceiling games as a WR5 in PPR. … Jason Witten and Blake Jarwin scored touchdowns, but Witten is the slightly better option going forward since he played 20 passing down snaps compared to Jarwin’s 10. Witten is a low-end TE2. 

As reported, Ezekiel Elliott was limited in Week 1, but he did see more than the 20-25 snaps he was projected for (he played 37). Elliott’s rushing volume may slightly come down in Moore’s more pass-heavy offense, but Zeke will be used as a pass-catcher and should see just as many goal-line looks with the Cowboys’ looking more potent offensively. In Week 2, Zeke should ramp up his usage, making him an RB1 in Washington. … Tony Pollard played 22 snaps Week 1 -- that may be close to his season-high if Zeke stays healthy -- and only managed 24 yards on 13 carries. Pollard notably wasn’t targeted either, rendering him useless for fantasy unless Elliott misses time. 

 

8. Steelers (25.25, -4) vs. SEA

Forecast: Ben Roethlisberger QB1/2, JuJu Smith-Schuster WR1, Donte Moncrief WR3/4, James Washington WR4/5, Vance McDonald TE1, James Conner RB1, Jaylen Samuels RB4/5 

The Steelers got embarrassed by Bill Belichick. Again. Ben Roethlisberger did nothing without Antonio Brown, and there was no rushing attack given the scoreboard. The good news here is a home matchup. Roethlisberger has been seven fantasy points per game better at home than on the road, and the Seahawks’ defense just allowed 418 yards to Andy Dalton last week. Roethlisberger’s ceiling has been lowered without AB, but he still belongs on the QB1/2 borderline on volume alone. 

Steelers air yards and targets

JuJu Smith-Schuster played in the slot on 60% of his season-opener snaps, which is almost exactly the same as last year (59%). The issue last week was the Patriots’ “make someone else beat us” defense. Smith-Schuster won’t get that treatment (to that degree) every week, and he should have a lot more room to work with at home against the Seahawks, who just gave up eight receptions to Tyler Boyd and 158 yards to John Ross. Smith-Schuster is still a WR1, as long as his toe injury isn’t a big deal. … Donte Moncrief was on the field just as much as JuJu, but Moncrief became the 11th receiver since at least 1992 to have seven or fewer receiving yards on 10 or more targets (per Pro Football Reference). It was as bad it gets, but he at least was a near full-time player and was at least seeing a ton of targets. Efficiency may be a problem throughout the season, but Moncrief offers bounce-back appeal as a contrarian WR3/4 in DFS tournaments next week. … James Washington started, played on 60% of the Steelers’ passing plays, and had six targets. But it was more of the same. Washington only caught two passes -- one went for 45 yards -- and still looked like the inconsistent target he was in 2018. Washington remains a boom-or-bust WR4/5 who could pop for a long touchdown at any time. … Vance McDonald played on 72% of offensive snaps Week 1, up from 50% last year, but he was oddly targeted just four times. There are suddenly a lot more low-end TEs, but McDonald remains a TE1 in a spot where I expect the Steelers to get back on track.  

James Conner usage

Week 1 can be thrown out the window with the Steelers trailing big early, though James Conner was still deployed as a near full-time player. Jaylen Samuels remains purely a handcuff -- #TeamPreseasonUsage already knew that -- while Conner offers bounce-back RB1 appeal at home.

 

9. Falcons (25.25, +2) vs. PHI

Forecast: Matt Ryan QB1, Julio Jones WR1, Calvin Ridley WR3, Mohamed Sanu WR4, Austin Hooper TE1/2, Devonta Freeman RB2, Ito Smith RB4

Matt Ryan struggled Week 1, but the Falcons’ offense is poised for a rebound against the Eagles’ defense who gave up 380 yards and three touchdowns to Case freaking Keenum. Losing RG Chris Lindstrom (foot) hurts, but Ryan is a QB1 with a high ceiling.

Falcons air yards and falcons

Julio Jones averaged 2.8 YPT last week but escaped with a touchdown. This week’s matchup is more friendly. Jones torched the Eagles for 10 receptions and 169 yards last time they played and that was in Philly when the Falcons only scored 12 points. Jones is in the mix for the WR1 overall and offers cash and tournament consideration in DFS if you’re not solely playing the main slate. … Calvin Ridley and Mohamed Sanu played similar snaps and were both targeted six times. Ridley, of course, has the higher ceiling, making him a quality WR3 this week. Sanu is WR4 in PPR leagues. …  Austin Hooper caught nine passes for the fourth time in his career last week. Hooper has just 10 touchdowns in 47 career games, but he remains on the TE1/2 in PPR leagues.

Devonta Freeman was game-scripted out of the game plan Week 1 with the Vikings’ taking control of the scoreboard early. Freeman notably lost half of his snaps to Ito Smith, but that number should go down in close games. The other concern was Freeman’s burst, which appeared to be drained. Freeman is just a mid-tier RB2, even in a great home matchup. … Smith is worth an add in deeper leagues if he’s available after playing 51% of Week 1 snaps. Week 2 will determine if Smith’s Week 1 usage was due to the scoreboard or due to strategy. 

 

10. Browns (25.25, -6.5) @ NYJ

Updates: Dontrell Hilliard has been ruled out. That could mean a little more Nick Chubb as a receiver.

Forecast: Baker Mayfield QB1/2, Odell Beckham WR1, Jarvis Landry WR3/4, Rashard Higgins WR4/5, David Njoku TE1/2, Nick Chubb RB1

Baker Mayfield and the Browns’ offensive line spoiled one of the most anticipated games of the decade for Cleveland fans. Mayfield tossed three picks and may have come out of the game a bit banged up. A lot will be riding on this Week 2 performance on the road, but he has to improve getting the ball out faster. Mayfield is on the QB1/2 borderline in a “get right” spot.

Browns air yards and targets

Odell Beckham couldn’t break off a big play in Week 1, but he had 11 targets on a 29% target share. It’s going to be a big season for Odell as long as Baker can adjust. OBJ’s matchup is off the charts good, but Odell is a WR1 in just about every matchup possible. … Jarvis Landry was a full-time player but only had an 18% target share Week 1. This could be an inconsistent season for the slot receiver with OBJ being heavily targeted. Landry is a WR3/4. … Rashard Higgins played on less than half of the Browns’ passing plays -- Damian Ratley actually played more snaps -- and was targeted just three times. Higgins has some juice, so he could fall into an occasional long touchdown, but he’s only a zero-floor WR5. … David Njoku ran a route on 70% of Browns’ pass attempts and had a 16% target share Week 1. Those are strong numbers. The Jets’ star linebacker C.J. Mosley is questionable to play next week, and the Jets’ defense fell apart when he left the game last week. Njoku’s ceiling and floor would be higher if Mosley can’t suit up, but he’s a TE1 regardless. 

Nick Chubb played on 70% of offensive snaps, took 85% of the team carries, and received four targets while running a route on more than half of the Browns’ passing plays. Chubb just couldn’t find the end zone or break off a 20+ yard gain last week. Going forward, that won’t be the case, especially if the Jets are without Mosley and Quinnen Williams on defense this week. Chubb is a low-end RB1 on the road in Week 2. …  Dontrell Hilliard (concussion) is questionable to play, but he needs the Browns to trail for him to see the field. He can be left on the waiver wire in standard-sized leagues for now.