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Odds and Ends

Sunday Prop Shop: Week 11

by Sam Panayotovich
Updated On: November 21, 2020, 1:04 pm ET

Welcome to the Sunday Prop Shop. 

Every weekend, we'll dive inside the thousands of NFL props from our friends over at PointsBet Sportsbook. Please scale back your bet size on props, because a lot of these picks will be longer shots to win. I like to bet a little to win a lot with props. If you bet 100 dollars a game, go with 10 or 20 bucks a prop. 

Let's go.

$25 Aaron Jones Under 52.5 rushing yards (-115)

The Indianapolis Colts are one of my favorite bets this week. I think their size and strength at the line of scrimmage is going to make a huge difference against Green Bay. Add in the fact that the Colts are the fourth best team in football against the run and I'm even happier. The Packers are going to struggle to move the ball between the tackles and if they go down early, they'll need Aaron Rodgers – not Aaron Jones – to put on the cape. They definitely won't be running the rock if they're trailing. I'll go Under this pretty low number. 

$15 New Orleans Saints -6.5 (+118) 

I don't get the infatuation with the Atlanta Falcons this week. Obviously, Saints quarterback Drew Brees isn't going to play. But the Saints are still talented enough on both sides of the field to beat the lowly Falcons by a touchdown. Sharp money swallowed up all the +5.5s and +5s early in the week and now the market is down to New Orleans -3.5 at most sportsbooks. I'm not going to let Atlanta's recent wins over Carolina and Denver cloud my judgement, they're just not a good football team. Give me New Orleans by 7. 

$10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers to score in each quarter (+175) 

We'll stay in the NFC South as Tampa Bay hosts the L.A. Rams on Monday Night Football. There's nothing the league loves more than points in primetime and I believe there will be some fireworks at Raymond James Stadium. Believe it or not, Tom Brady and the Bucs have scored in all four quarters in three of their last four games. It would be silly not to run it back at that nice plus price. 

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Sam Panayotovich

Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst from the South Side of Chicago. He'll probably pick against your favorite team a lot. Follow him @spshoot