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Odds and Ends

Will Jets pull off biggest upset in history?

by Sam Panayotovich
Updated On: October 29, 2020, 9:32 pm ET

The reigning Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs are laying almost three touchdowns at home this Sunday against the hopeless, winless New York Jets.

Earlier in the week, PointsBet Sportsbook was dealing Kansas City as 21-point favorites. That number has since been bet down to -19.5 and the total currently sits at 49. An outright Jets win would pay at almost 12-to-1 odds and it would be the largest upset in NFL history according to the point spread.

“Come on, it's not even an option,” longtime Vegas oddsmaker Dave Sharapan told NBC Sports. “They’re not going to win. The Jets beating the Chiefs would be the one of the biggest upsets in the history of sports.”

Largest NFL underdogs to win

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The largest spread upset in league history took place way back in Super Bowl III. Joe Namath’s infamous guaranteed victory came true when the Jets took down the Baltimore Colts. “Broadway Joe” and the boys won 16-7 as 18-point pups.

Sharapan explained that NFL games with ridiculously high spreads usually scare bettors away. The general public doesn't prefer to get involved with big spreads and games that are lined 17+ rarely draw good action behind the counter.

“Unless it’s a marquee team with a marquee player like Patrick Mahomes, these games usually don’t get that much action," he said. "That’s the funny part. When the number gets too out of whack, it gets ignored. It might be one of the least bet games on the whole card.”

I pressed Sharapan one more time on the possibility of an upset. He remained bullish on his stance that the Jets don’t have a chance in hell. 

“Mahomes and Chad Henne would both have to get hurt,” Sharapan quipped with little hesitation. “And whoever the third guy is, him too. Maybe if Andy Reid is out there taking snaps with his shield on, the Jets might have a shot.”

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Sam Panayotovich

Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst from the South Side of Chicago. He'll probably pick against your favorite team a lot. Follow him @spshoot