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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: 82nd Masters

by Josh Culp
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Page 1 is going to look at GolfChannel.com's fantasy game and also the PGATOUR.com's Fantasy Game. 

Page 2
 will have a look at One-and-Done options as well as Daily Fantasy Sports picks (FanDuel and DraftKings). 

European Tour's Race to Dubai returns this week on Page 3. 


Editor’s Note: With over 15,000 reviews, DRAFT is the highest rated fantasy sports app. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link.

 

Golf Channel (PlayFantasyGolf.com)

Josh Culp 

“@FutureOfFantasy”


Last Week Points:
 465
Last Week Rank: 586th

Jordan Spieth ($33,300)
Tiger Woods ($5,000)
Adam Scott ($6,100)
Justin Rose ($33,200)|
Charley Hoffman ($15,400)
Bryson DeChambeau ($5,700)

Analysis: Loading up on some Augusta National course horses. Then finishing the squad with a par-5 tactician, Bryson DeChambeau. This lineup should rack up plenty of birdies and eagles. 


Mo Yoshimoto

 “@BearsGolf3423”

 

Last Week Points: 385.0

Last Week Rank: 4767

 

Justin Thomas ($33,300)

Justin Rose ($33,200)

Louis Oosthuizen ($14,100)

Russell Henley ($6,900)

Bryson DeChambeau ($5,700)

Tiger Woods ($5,000)

Analysis: Also going with a two-headed stud approach. Mo has chosen JT and Rose to anchor this team. Tiger is an easy plug and play at this price. 

PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO

Josh Culp

“@FutureOfFantasy”

 

Last Week Rank: 7,244

Season Rank: 3,827th *Did not play most of Segment 1*

 

Starters:

Jordan Spieth
Justin Rose
Sergio Garcia
Rory McIlroy

 

Bench:

Phil Mickelson
Paul Casey

 

Mo Yoshimoto

“@BearsGolf3423”

 

Last Week Rank: 17643

Season Rank: 652


 

Starters:

Justin Rose

Justin Thomas

Tiger Woods

Bubba Watson

Bench:

Phil Mickelson

Dustin Johnson

~


One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year. 

A ho-hum week out of my pick last week (Keegan Bradley). The good news is that it was a small purse event so plenty of chances to make up for that small payday. 

Let's open the bidding this week by looking at some course horses over the last 10 years:


Justin Rose (12-for-12 with seven top 15s)
Rory McIlroy (8-for-9 with six top 20s)
Jordan Spieth (T2-WIN-T2-T11)
Matt Kuchar (10-for-11 with four top 10s)
Sergio Garcia (14-for-19 with top 10s including last year's WIN)
Paul Casey (8-for-11 with six T11 or better)
Phil Mickelson (22-for-25 with 9 podium finishes, 3 of them WINS)
Adam Scott (14-for-6 with a WIN and RUNNER-UP)
Hideki Matsuyama (5-for-6 with three straight T11 or better)
Jason Day (6-for-6 with three top 10s)
Charl Schwartzel (6-for-8 with a WIN and THIRD PLACE)
Rickie Fowler (6-for-7 with three T12 or better)
Tiger Woods (19-for-20 with 4 WINS)
Charley Hoffman (4-for-4 with four top 30s)
Angel Cabrera (13-for-18 with a WIN and RUNNER-UP)

After that, let's look at a (weighted) baseline performance metric since the start of 2014. 

 

Dustin Johnson
Jordan Spieth
Rory Mcilroy
Jason Day
Henrik Stenson
Jon Rahm
Justin Rose
Sergio Garcia
Hideki Matsuyama
Rickie Fowler
Paul Casey
Adam Scott
Justin Thomas
Phil Mickelson
Matt Kuchar

Looking at both lists, we see some overlap with the following names: Jordan Spieth, Justin Rose, Rory McIlroy, Matt Kuchar, Sergio Garcia, Paul Casey, Phil Mickelson, Adam Scott, Hideki Matsuyama, Jason Day, and Rickie Fowler

This week is a pivotal point for One-and-Doners. It's a huge prize pool and the first of the majors which many leagues have a major bonus. Last year, I debated Rory vs Rose but went with Rory because of his Grand Slam determination. Oops. 

This year I have my list narrowed down to Spieth, Rose, Phil, and Rory. I'm not going to let any narratives get in the way this year. Instead, I will go with the golfer who has been T4 or better after 12-of-16 rounds played at Augusta National. Jordan Spieth is my pick. 

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team for each DFS site, per week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

The idea is to provide you a list of names to consider. I would not recommend copying these teams, golfer for golfer. Duplicate teams are no fun and don't help anyone. 


FanDuel Picks:


Jordan Spieth ($11,000): If you just read the One-and-Done section above, you'll know why I love Spieth here. His consistency of putting himself in contention in majors is unmatched over the last five years. 
 
Justin Rose ($11,400): It's been close call after close call here at Augusta National. Could this finally be the year he slips on the green jacket? 
 
Tony Finau ($9,900): Making his Masters debut but this big hitter has all the tools to pick apart this bomber-friendly layout. Has made a few pre-tournament trips to check out the course and he's way more mature than most first-timers here. 

After seeing Finau injure his ankle in the Par-3 Contest, I will replace him with Kevin Chappell at $9,400
 
Charley Hoffman ($9,000): He was the first-round leader here last year and he's also been T2 after R1 here before. Hoping for another fast start this week. 
 
Xander Schauffele ($9,300): He may be a first-timer at Augusta National but he proved he's not scared of the spotlight last year when he won the TOUR Championship as a rookie. 
 
Bryson DeChambeau ($9,200): Found himself near the top of the leaderboard thru 36 holes of his debut as an amateur so he's going to arrive with confidence. He's feasting on par 5s over the last year which is a recipe for success here at Augusta National. 


 


DraftKings Picks:
 

Jordan Spieth ($10,400): He's never finished worse than T11 in four appearances at this event. He's on the record in saying that you can't Spieth-proof a course so I expect him to keep shining. 

Justin Rose ($9,200): Runner-up finishes in two of his last three trips to the Masters. 

Patrick Reed ($7,700): The Georgia connections haven't paid off here just yet, but I think he packs a lot of upside this week. Has the confidence and mental game to take home a major. Why not one in his home state? 

Tony Finau ($7,400): Quietly building a nice major championship resume with top 20s in three of seven tries. This will be his first attempt at the Masters but his big-hitting game should fit the course nicely. 

After seeing Finau injure his ankle in the Par-3 Contest, I will replace him with Kevin Chappell ($6,900)

Henrik Stenson ($7,800): He was just $10K+ last week in Houston. He's way underpriced...based on course history? He may underperform here at Augusta National compared to his lofty standards but he still outproduced anything in this salary range. 

Charley Hoffman ($7,100): Top 30s in all four appearances here. He says it visually suits his eye and his stats back that up. 

 

 

~

 

2018 Fantasy Race to Dubai



Dave Tindall is our main man in Europe. In addition to his weekly previews of European Tour events on Mondays, he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com.
 
Format: Pick 6 golfers. Players accumulate points based on Race to Dubai (R2D) points earned. Captain’s points are doubled. Unlimited team changes can be made each week.
 
Team Tindall (Team name: YESSIR!)

 
 

Pos: 5645
 
Last week: Up a couple of thousand thanks to a decent show at WGC-Match Play.
 
Justin Rose (captain): Runner-up twice in last three Masters. GIR stats always high at Augusta and that’s the key.
 
Rory McIlroy: That lack of a Masters top three means preference is for Rose even though Bay Hill Rory will beat everyone.
 
Paul Casey: Top 6 the last three years and Valspar win suggests he could go even closer to the green jacket this time.
 
Matt Kuchar: Excellent Augusta record means this is the best major to cash in on Kuchar’s surprise availability.
 
Kiradech Aphibarnrat: My left-field pick. Sneaky top 15 on only Masters start in 2016 and top five in last two WGC events.
 
Sergio Garcia: Will be hard to re-create last year’s heroics but no reason why Sergio can’t have a solid to big week.

 

 
 
Matt Cooper is part of our European team. He contributes to player news, and he’ll share his selections and analysis for the Fantasy Race to Dubai at EuropeanTour.com. He was the winner of the Ladies European Tour’s Fantasy League in 2011.
 
Team Cooper (Team name: NormanStanleyFletcher)
 

Last week: Alex Noren's match play skills earned me a nice bounce back and the top 500 is in reach again.


Position
: 520th


Rory McIlroy
(captain):
We know his best golf works at Augusta (long carry, high flight) and we know he won at Bay Hill. Can he overcome the memories of the 10th tee? I believe he can.


Justin Rose
: 12 visits to the course, only twice outside the top 25, second in two of the last three years, and ticking along in form as if waiting to pounce.


Paul Casey
: Finally found the win at Innisbrook and can now return to a favored venue with one monkey off his back. T6-T4-T6 in the last three years. Neat.


Sergio Garcia
: Fatherhood and the hoopla associated with being the returning champion will be a real obstacle, but I'd rather pick him to make the top ten than many others up for selection.


Jon Rahm
: Not quite discovered how to prepare for and play majors, and his form is also a little sputtering, but the promise is too great to overlook. If he plays well he can feature.


Matt Kuchar
: Those with long memories might recall a toe-curling Augusta appearance with his dad, but in recent times he's been a monster on the course, ticking four finishes of T8 or better in his last six starts.

 

 

Josh Culp
Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.