Loading scores...
Peter Uihlein
Getty Images
Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: Puerto Rico Open

by Josh Culp

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

 

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team for each DFS site, per week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

The idea is to provide you a list of names to consider. I would not recommend copying these teams, golfer for golfer. Duplicate teams are no fun and don't help anyone. 

 

DraftKings Picks:

Peter Uihlein (11,200): Has a pair of top 10s in four tries. The other two? MCs. It's boom or bust for him but I like his chances to boom. 

Aaron Baddeley (9,900): Finished T8 here in 2016. 

 

Ryan Blaum (9,200): Arrives in a slump but most of that has been out West. Should enjoy a return to grainy greens. 

 

Hank Lebioda (6,800): He's a birdie machine and based in Florida so the wind and grainy greens should suit him. 

 

Kristoffer Ventura (6,100): The Oklahoma State product has kept his game tight while playing on the Minor League Golf Tour. He won the January Abacoa Classic in January and also won two weeks ago at the Sunshine State Classic. A few wins should have his confidence high and the PR Open has been a good launching pad for young talent (Spieth, Day, Dechambeau to name a few). 

 

David Lingmerth (6,800): My least favorite selection here but I had slim pickings in this range. It was either Lingy or Teater and I liked the Swede with it being on grainy greens and him setting up shop in Florida. 

 

 

One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year. 

To start things off we will have a look at weighted tournament history over the Last 10 years: 

Scott Brown (6-for-6 with four top 10s including a 2013 win)
Retief Goosen (T21-T2)
Boo Weekley (6-for-7 with three top 10s)
David Hearn (T14-T8-T24-T17)
Will MacKenzie (5-for-5 with a pair of top 10s)
D.A. Points (T9-MC-T65-WIN)
George McNeill (5-for-5 with a WIN and solo 5th)
Whee Kim (T47-T58-T5)
Fabian Gomez (4-for-5 with a T7 and T2)
Peter Uihlein (MC-T6-MC-T5)
J.J. Henry (4-for-5 with a T8)
Freddie Jacobson (T14-T15-T56)
Michael Bradley (7-for-9 with a trio of top 25s)
Aaron Baddeley (T8)
Julian Etulain (T42-MC-T17)

  

After history, we can look at baseline performance over the last year. This will give us a good feel for who should pop regardless of past course results: 

Daniel Berger
Roberto Castro
Chris Kirk
Graeme McDowell
Johnson Wagner
Peter Uihlein
Aaron Baddeley
Matt Jones
Adam Schenk
Corey Conners
Nate Lashley
Sebastian Munoz
Shawn Stefani
Wes Roach
Alex Prugh

Looking for an overlap list we see a few names pop up: Peter Uihlein and Aaron Baddeley

 

Both golfers lean pretty heavily on their short game which should serve them well in the wind this week. 

 

Neither golfer has done much since the start of 2019 (Badds with a Top 20 at Desert Classic, Uihlein a T60 last week).

 

When looking for a tiebreaker I will glance at expected Top-5 % and see Uihlein with a 5% edge there. Then I'll look at the percentage of steady rounds (beating field average) over the last year and see Badds has a 2% edge in that department. Lastly, I will look at the percentage of "low rounds" over the last year which is beating the field by 3+ strokes in a single round. These rounds are crucial for top-heavy finishes. Uihlein has the 4% edge there, so Peter Uihlein will be my pick. 

Josh Culp
Josh Culp joined Rotoworld in 2014. The DFS enthusiast from Iowa State can be found on Twitter @futureoffantasy.